As the 2024 regular season approaches, it’s time to look at our NFL season predictions on the NFL Draft side.
Which teams are projected to exceed expectations, and which teams are expected to have a chance at adding blue-chip talent in the 2025 NFL Draft? Using the PFN Season and Playoff Predictor, I played out the entire season, generating the draft order that I predict we could see when we head to Green Bay next year.
Whether you love or hate what you see in my predictions, reach out to me on X @IC_Draft.
Cummings’ Summer 2024 NFL Season Predictions
1) Denver Broncos (3-14)
It’s never fun for fans to see their team projected with the No. 1 overall pick. In this prediction, the Denver Broncos and New York Giants were tied with the lowest record — but the Broncos won out at the top of the board with a lower strength of schedule.
There are elements of the Broncos’ roster I like, chief among them All-Pro cornerback Patrick Surtain II. But Bo Nix is a rookie quarterback with a weapons core that’s relatively susceptible to injury. There are holes in the trenches on both sides of the ball, and the talent core is thin outside of Surtain and several others.
I expect the Broncos to be competitive in their fair share of close losses, and I think better days will come for Sean Payton with another year of building. But in the AFC, the margin for error is slim, and the losses could stack for an incomplete team like this one.
Prospects to Watch: Luther Burden III, Travis Hunter, Will Johnson, Mason Graham
2) New York Giants (3-14)
The second and final 3-14 team on my list is the New York Giants. This one’s a bit simpler: Quarterback, quarterback, and quarterback.
I don’t trust Daniel Jones to rebound. And I don’t trust the offensive roster to properly insulate his resurgence just yet. Malik Nabers is a strong addition, and Andrew Thomas once again anchors the offensive line — but there’s too much uncertainty outside of those two players, let alone with Jones himself.
New York’s defense could be their saving grace in a few games. Dexter Lawrence is a monster, Brian Burns and Kayvon Thibodeaux make up a fearsome EDGE tandem, Bobby Okereke is a stud, and the secondary is young and ascending. But if this offense bottoms out again, it could get ugly.
Prospects to Watch: Carson Beck, Donovan Smith, Jaxson Dart, Shedeur Sanders
3) Las Vegas Raiders (4-13)
I actually like the Raiders’ roster more than their 4-13 record would imply. The offensive line is stronger now, save for right tackle. The defensive line can be a stalwart force with Christian Wilkins, Maxx Crosby, and others. And Antonio Pierce can coach his players up.
For Las Vegas, my biggest questions come at quarterback and defending the pass on the other side of the ball. Amidst a heavy AFC arms race, the Raiders’ offense might stall out with Aidan O’Connell and Gardner Minshew, and the running game might not be strong enough to rely on.
Meanwhile, on the other side of the ball, someone will have to step up alongside Jack Jones and Nate Hobbs out of DeCamerion Richardson and Jakorian Bennett. Vegas has more than enough talent to play spoiler a few times, but consistent wins may not come until 2025.
Prospects to Watch: Carson Beck, Donovan Smith, Jaxson Dart, Shedeur Sanders
4) Tennessee Titans (5-12)
The Titans have the feel of a team that could enter a hot streak at some point during the season. Many of the tools are there. The veteran receiving trio of DeAndre Hopkins, Calvin Ridley, and Tyler Boyd passes the eye test. On defense, Jeffery Simmons and L’Jarius Sneed raise the bar.
Right now, however, Tennessee’s roster is simply too thin across the board for me to buy in just yet. The right side of the offensive line is very suspect, and Will Levis may still have lumps to iron out in his second year. Like Las Vegas, 2025 may be the Titans’ time.
Prospects to Watch: Luther Burden III, Tetairoa McMillan, Emery Jones Jr., Mason Graham
5) Arizona Cardinals (5-12)
It’ll take another year or two for the Arizona Cardinals.
I like what’s being built under Jonathan Gannon and Monti Ossenfort, but the weapons core just isn’t deep enough yet, and the front seven isn’t strong enough yet. It’ll take a bit more time to reach the next level.
That said, the bright spots on Arizona’s squad are already beginning to show. The Kyler Murray-to-Marvin Harrison Jr. combination should dazzle audiences more than once this season. The offensive line is strong enough to underlie a balanced offense, and young talent abounds in the secondary.
Prospects to Watch: Luther Burden III, Will Johnson, Mason Graham, Malaki Starks
6) Carolina Panthers (5-12)
Ironically, the Carolina Panthers and New Orleans Saints — NFC South competitors — both wound up 5-12 in my season simulation. And at the end of it all, I felt much better about the Panthers, even though they scored the higher pick.
The 2024 campaign doesn’t need to be a playoff outing for the Panthers to consider it a success. We just need to see Bryce Young take the next step under Dave Canales. And if the defense pesters a few opposing offenses with its first and third-level talent, that won’t hurt.
If Young and Canales do truly make a match in heaven, then Diontae Johnson, Xavier Legette, and others could take advantage of weaker secondary matchups. And the Panthers’ improved offensive line can play ball control.
Prospects to Watch: Will Johnson, Luther Burden III, Travis Hunter, Abdul Carter
7) New Orleans Saints (5-12)
It seems as though the New Orleans Saints are still clinging to a playoff window that’s long closed. Even Dennis Allen — the former defensive coordinator under Sean Payton — is perhaps a representation of this misplaced nostalgia.
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Derek Carr appears to be a middling starter in an offense with little playmaking depth and uncertainty on the offensive line. And on defense, the team’s best pieces are aging fast. New Orleans’ cornerback room is strong, especially after adding Kool-Aid McKinstry — but overall, the team seems positioned to stall out sooner rather than later.
Prospects to Watch: Jaxson Dart, Donovan Smith, Shedeur Sanders, Emery Jones Jr.
8) Washington Commanders (6-11)
Like several other teams on this list, the Washington Commanders feel like an “egg” team. The dragon’s egg is starting to hatch. And in 2024, we’ll see the fiery potential that a Jayden Daniels-led offense has. We’ll see the fruits of a Dan Quinn-led defense with the talent on the line. But one more offseason of talent acquisition is needed.
With the firepower from Daniels, Terry McLaurin, and others, the Commanders can play spoiler for at least one or two playoff hopefuls. To take the next step in 2025, they’ll need to withstand turnover, strengthen their weapons core, and shore up the secondary.
Prospects to Watch: Luther Burden III, Travis Hunter, Will Johnson, Malaki Starks
9) Los Angeles Chargers (7-10)
If we’re being honest with ourselves, the Los Angeles Chargers’ roster almost looks like a 5-12 or 6-11 squad. But the experience of Jim Harbaugh and the sheer talent of Justin Herbert — now with a competent line in front of him — should be enough to get L.A. closer to .500.
Against teams with stifling secondaries, the Chargers’ weapons core might not be enough to stay afloat. And against teams with more offensive firepower, the Chargers’ patchwork defense could be exposed. But the Chargers’ strong coaching foundation and QB play should be of aid in Harbaugh’s first year back.
Prospects to Watch: Tetairoa McMillan, Colston Loveland, Kenneth Grant, Mason Graham
10) Pittsburgh Steelers (7-10)
All good things must come to an end. That includes Mike Tomlin’s streak of winning seasons. One losing season won’t come close to dooming Tomlin’s tenure in Pittsburgh. But a 7-10 finish may emphasize that a more drastic franchise transition needs to occur.
The Steelers’ strong trench play and steady coaching will keep them in games week in and week out, but the talent core past the trenches is less vast, and both Russell Wilson and Justin Fields bring their own questions at the quarterback spot.
Pittsburgh will be good enough to compete, as Tomlin’s team always is. But as the AFC grows more formidable, more winnable games could fall outside their reach.
Prospects to Watch: Donovan Smith, Shedeur Sanders, Benjamin Morrison, Tyleik Williams
11) New England Patriots (7-10)
Looking at the Patriots’ roster is not dissimilar from looking into a kaleidoscope. At first glance, it’s a mess of colors. But look closer, and you’ll see that there’s perhaps more structure and more cohesion than what meets the eye.
Drake Maye will need to settle in before the Patriots start to string wins, and the same goes for his young weapons core. But New England’s defense is truly a formidable unit, and the Patriots have enough size and physicality up front on offense to dictate the possession game.
Once Maye finds his stride, and once weapons like Ja’Lynn Polk catch on, the Patriots could notch a few surprising wins later on.
Prospects to Watch: Tetairoa McMillan, Abdul Carter, Travis Hunter, Benjamin Morrison
12) Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-10)
In his two seasons with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Todd Bowles has hovered right around the .500 mark. I expect the 2024 season to be more of the same, but holes on the interior offensive line and at multiple levels of the defense could swing the Buccaneers in the wrong direction.
Graham Barton should grant an assist at center, and Baker Mayfield has a strong WR trio to work with in Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, and Jalen McMillan. However, Ben Bredeson is a weak spot at left guard, and Cody Mauch is still growing on the opposite side.
Meanwhile, on defense, Logan Hall has yet to find his stride on the interior, and it’s unclear how much pass-rush production Tampa Bay’s EDGE rotation will bring. Couple in the uncertainty at cornerback opposite Jamel Dean, and volatility could claim another victim.
Prospects to Watch: Tyler Booker, Mason Graham, Benjamin Morrison, Abdul Carter
13) New York Jets (8-9)
The New York Jets and Miami Dolphins are two teams in the AFC East whose arcs could be intertwined more so than many realize. Both are talented teams with magnified injury risk across their rosters. One of them won’t make it through the year. I lean New York.
The Jets have two veteran offensive tackles with notable injury histories, protecting a soon-to-be 41-year-old quarterback coming off an Achilles tear. Mike Williams is coming off an injury. Alijah Vera-Tucker has a history as well. So does Breece Hall.
Miami and New York both have risk-ridden rosters, but Mike McDaniel, in my opinion, is better equipped to hedge for these concerns with schematic insulation. The Jets’ defense will keep them competitive, but I don’t trust the offense to last 17 games at full capacity.
Prospects to Watch: Shedeur Sanders, Donovan Smith, Jaxson Dart, Emery Jones Jr.
14) Minnesota Vikings (8-9)
The Minnesota Vikings are the quintessential competitive team, in large part because of who they have on the headset. Regardless of who’s under center to start — Sam Darnold or J.J. McCarthy — Kevin O’Connell can keep the Vikings afloat with the talent they have on offense.
In my opinion, the instability at QB — combined with the unsteady talent base on defense, particularly on the interior defensive line and in the secondary — will keep the Vikings from seriously contending this year. But a competitive season in 2024 can lay the groundwork for a playoff return.
Prospects to Watch: Mason Graham, Deone Walker, Benjamin Morrison, Malaki Starks
15) Dallas Cowboys (8-9)
In my simulation, the Cowboys were in the hunt for the NFC East along with the Philadelphia Eagles until a late-season collapse doomed them to elimination and a disheartening season-ending loss against the surging Commanders.
Dak Prescott is an exceptional quarterback, and with him, the Cowboys should remain competitive no matter what. Additionally, their defense remains a pressure and turnover threat to the highest degree with Micah Parsons, Trevon Diggs, and DaRon Bland.
All this being said, I have great doubts about Dallas’ ability to play ball-control offense without a reliable running back and with young players on the offensive line. I also have doubts about their ability to stop opposing teams from playing ball-control with their lighter front seven. That may cause the Cowboys to level out.
Prospects to Watch: Shedeur Sanders, Tetairoa McMillan, Kenneth Grant, Jaishawn Barham
16) Indianapolis Colts (9-8)
The Indianapolis Colts are one of the teams I’m most excited to see this year. Ultimately, I think their secondary will be picked on a bit too much because of its youth, and that could land them on the losing end of one too many shootouts — but they’ll be on the playoff fringe.
If Anthony Richardson can stay healthy, he’s a dream fit for a Colts attack that now includes Adonai Mitchell alongside Josh Downs (sidelined for now) and Michael Pittman Jr. And with Jonathan Taylor behind their offensive line, they can control the game against lesser defensive fronts.
Prospects to Watch: Colston Loveland, Benjamin Morrison, Tacario Davis, Malaki Starks
17) Cleveland Browns (10-7)
Kevin Stefanski will keep Cleveland in the playoff conversation. That much is clear — and that’s even before you look at the Browns’ defense, which still boasts Myles Garrett, Denzel Ward, Martin Emerson, Za’Darius Smith, Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah, and others.
The Browns’ defense will cause fits for teams with less well-equipped blocking fronts, and the offense has enough merit with its talent up front. Deshaun Watson’s viability as a franchise quarterback is still up in the air, however, and Jedrick Wills could prove to be a weak spot on the left side.
Those offensive weaknesses, while minute, could contribute to Cleveland just missing the postseason rush.
Prospects to Watch: Will Campbell, Emery Jones Jr., Jonah Savaiinaea, Kelvin Banks Jr.
18) Seattle Seahawks (10-7)
I ended up liking the Seattle Seahawks more than I expected to in this season prediction. In fact, they started the year 6-2 in their first eight games, and for a moment, they were right alongside the Rams and 49ers in the NFC West race.
The Seahawks have many things I look for in contenders. They have a true field general at quarterback, they have a three-headed monster at wide receiver, and they have a well-equipped defense with a creative schematic mind overseeing it.
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All this being said, the Seahawks’ interior offensive line is too suspect, and health is an issue at right tackle as well. And the questions up front could prove costly later in the year in games against the 49ers, Jets, Falcons, Packers, and Rams.
Prospects to Watch: Tyler Booker, Parker Brailsford, Emery Jones Jr., Conner Weigman
19) Atlanta Falcons (9-8)
A first-round playoff exit is all too familiar for a Kirk Cousins-led team, but playing in the weak NFC South might not adequately prepare the Falcons for the trials and tribulations to come.
To be fair, the Falcons may be the most playoff-ready squad in the division. Cousins can put up numbers with Drake London, Kyle Pitts, and Bijan Robinson out of the backfield. And the defense has enough top-end talent to be a respectable unit, even without an elite pass rush.
That said, the Falcons could end up maxing out in the Wild Card Round if they meet the wrong team. In my simulation, they crossed paths with Brock Purdy, Kyle Shanahan, and the San Francisco 49ers. Raheem Morris doesn’t have enough to win that matchup yet.
Prospects to Watch: Nic Scourton, James Pearce Jr., Isaiah Bond, Shavon Revel
20) Jacksonville Jaguars (10-7)
He has Brian Thomas Jr. now, along with Christian Kirk, Gabe Davis, and Evan Engram. I think this is the year Trevor Lawrence truly gets the respect he deserves.
In the simulation, it wasn’t easy beating out the Browns for the final playoff spot, but Lawrence gets it done.
Beyond having enough support on offense, the Jaguars also have a respectable defensive unit. Arik Armstead helps beef up the defensive line alongside Josh Allen and Travon Walker, and the secondary quietly has a lot of playmaking juice.
Unfortunately, the Jaguars drew the Texans and lost in the Wild Card Round in this simulation — but with Lawrence inked long-term, 2024 can be another step forward.
Prospects to Watch: Will Campbell, Jonah Savaiinaea, Kelvin Banks Jr., Shavon Revel
21) Chicago Bears (10-7)
Yes, Caleb Williams is a rookie — but he’s one of the highest-graded QB prospects ever. He has an elite WR trio already in DJ Moore, Keenan Allen, and Rome Odunze. His offensive line is decent at least, and sturdy at best. And Chicago’s defense has one of the best second and third-levels in the game, with a blue-chip EDGE in Montez Sweat.
Williams has everything he needs to hit the ground running with Matt Eberflus and Shane Waldron. And if Williams hits the ground running, there’s nothing stopping the Bears from entering the fight for the NFC North, and becoming true Wild Card players.
The Bears might need to get stronger in the trenches on both sides before they have a sustained playoff run — but the 2024 season can preview the promise to come.
Prospects to Watch: Nic Scourton, James Pearce Jr., Tyler Booker, Malaki Starks
22) Philadelphia Eagles (11-6)
There’s been some drama around the disconnect between head coach Nick Sirianni and quarterback Jalen Hurts. But the Eagles’ offensive line is still very strong. They still have A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith. And the defense should improve with new additions in the secondary.
The Cowboys should be susceptible against the Eagles’ strong running game. And the Commanders and Giants both appear too far from contention to pose a consistent threat. Simply put, the Eagles should still be the favorites in the NFC East, despite some internal turmoil.
That said, if the Eagles face a more complete, more cohesive team like the Lions in the playoffs, their postseason stay could be short.
Prospects to Watch: James Pearce Jr., Princely Umanmielen, Tyleik Williams
23) Buffalo Bills (11-6)
The Buffalo Bills and Miami Dolphins tied at 11-6 in 2023, with the Bills coming away with the division tiebreaker. In 2024, I have the same records for both squads — except this time, the Dolphins get the division tiebreaker. And in the playoff head-to-head, the Dolphins get the win.
Josh Allen’s presence alone is always a drastic boost to the Bills’ chances, and defensively, they’re still a formidable force, with a sturdy defensive line, playmakers at the second level, and a mix of experience and versatility on the back end.
My biggest hang-up with the Bills is this: Their weapons core might need another year to mature. Keon Coleman will take his lumps as the WR1, and Curtis Samuel and Khalil Shakir have their limitations despite being solid ancillary assets.
Prospects to Watch: Emeka Egbuka, Isaiah Bond, Chris Brazzell II, Abdul Carter
24) Baltimore Ravens (12-5)
Many of the same merits that have kept the Ravens in the playoff race for years on end are at play in 2024. Lamar Jackson is the defending MVP with a host of weapons, including Zay Flowers, Rashod Bateman, and Mark Andrews, and he has Derrick Henry to shoulder the load at RB.
On defense, losing Mike Macdonald and Anthony Weaver could hurt schematically, but the talent is still there. Roquan Smith and Kyle Hamilton are central pieces, and players like Justin Madubuike, Odafe Oweh, Kyle Van Noy, Marlon Humphrey, Marcus Williams, and others solidify the unit.
Ultimately, the non-elite depth in the weapons core, combined with youth and potential medical concerns on the offensive line, could hurt the Ravens later in the year. Nevertheless, they’ll be in the thick of things.
Prospects to Watch: Kelvin Banks Jr., Tyleik Williams, Jaishawn Barham, Isaiah Bond
25) Miami Dolphins (11-6)
The Miami Dolphins aren’t without their drawbacks. Specifically, a clean bill of health is something the Dolphins have struggled to maintain in recent years. That makes any preseason prediction precarious — but I like the depth Miami has accumulated to combat that.
On offense, a newly extended Tua Tagovailoa should once again benefit from the tug-of-war that Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle inflict on defenses. And on defense, Jalen Ramsey and Kendall Fuller underscore a secondary that quietly appears as one of the league’s better units.
Miami’s ability to both produce and protect in the passing phase bodes well, and McDaniel’s expertly-attuned running game should only help matters. I have Miami winning the AFC East and a playoff game — but they’re stopped short by a Super Bowl hopeful.
Prospects to Watch: Tyler Booker, Jonah Savaiinaea, Tyleik Williams, Deone Walker
26) San Francisco 49ers (11-6)
Brandon Aiyuk’s situation is still up in the air. But even if he’s traded, it shouldn’t shift San Francisco below the competition tier. Even if Ricky Pearsall struggles to remain available, Kyle Shanahan has proven he can scheme up his weapons, and Brock Purdy has proven he can operate the offense.
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Still, there are question marks across San Francisco’s roster. Trent Williams is holding out, and the rest of the offensive line is less inspiring without him. On defense, Javon Hargrave and Nick Bosa anchor an otherwise uncertain rush rotation. Dre Greenlaw and Talanoa Hufanga are unavailable, and the cornerback room is unproven past Charvarius Ward.
The 49ers are still poised to compete, but another run to the Super Bowl might be tough to pull off — in an NFC with multiple surging competitors.
Prospects to Watch: Jonah Savaiinaea, Fernando Carmona Jr., Kelvin Banks Jr., Shavon Revel
27) Cincinnati Bengals (11-6)
There’s one major wild card in Cincinnati’s season outlook, and that’s the health of Joe Burrow. He’s been working his way back from a torn ligament in his right wrist, and it seems as though he’ll be ready. But being ready and withstanding weeks of full-speed contact are two different things.
Nevertheless, if Burrow can stay healthy, the Bengals will remain a threat in the AFC. Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins are back for one last rodeo together, and the offensive line has a level of depth it hasn’t had often. On defense, the pass rush could be precarious, but the secondary is strong, and so too is the second level.
How far the Bengals go may depend on how quickly their large rookie class acclimates. But with Burrow, Chase, and Higgins at full strength, they’re always in the mix.
Prospects to Watch: Chris Brazzell II, Isaiah Bond, Princely Umanmielen, Tyler Booker
28) Detroit Lions (11-6)
Ben Johnson is back. Aaron Glenn is back. The offensive line is still one of the league’s best. Jared Goff has an abundance of firepower. And the one glaring weakness the Lions had — cornerback — was attacked in the offseason, with Terrion Arnold as the crowning acquisition.
There are still areas of potential concern on the Lions’ roster. Is the wide receiver core deep enough when more is needed past Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jameson Williams, and Sam LaPorta? And who else will generate pressure opposite Aidan Hutchinson?
Nevertheless, the Lions are well-positioned to make another run at the NFC Championship game. Unfortunately, I have them falling just short this time around.
Prospects to Watch: Princely Umanmielen, Patrick Payton, Kenneth Grant, Isaiah Bond
29) Los Angeles Rams (12-5)
If they can stay healthy — that’s the key — I like the Los Angeles Rams a lot. They invested heavily in their interior offensive line, and their competent tackle duo from 2023 is returning. Matthew Stafford has Puka Nacua and Cooper Kupp at his disposal once again, forming one of the best WR tandems in the league.
On defense, there was improvement as well. No one will be able to fill the void left by Aaron Donald, but Kobie Turner and Braden Fiske pose their own threat, with Jared Verse crashing off the edge. Ernest Jones commands respect in the middle, and the secondary looks stronger on paper as well.
Talent and coaching should merge to once again make the Rams a threat to take the NFC. In fact, they secure the 1-seed by a hair in my season prediction. However, a challenger stops their run in the NFC title game.
Prospects to Watch: Jonah Savaiinaea, Fernando Carmona Jr., Emeka Egbuka, Kenneth Grant
30) Kansas City Chiefs (13-4)
As long as Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid are together, it doesn’t matter what’s happening around them. The Chiefs will be one of the finalists in the AFC. That much has been assured in recent years. It doesn’t look like it will change in 2024.
That said, there are small susceptibilities underneath the surface. The Chiefs’ receiving core still has questions orbiting its long-term viability. Kingsley Suamataia is a rookie at left tackle. And on defense, youth at the boundary cornerback spot could prove easy to expose.
These susceptibilities are ultimately why Kansas City is not my Super Bowl pick for the AFC — but Mahomes will have them on the doorstep again. It’s just what he does.
Prospects to Watch: Shavon Revel, Tacario Davis, Chris Brazzell II, Patrick Payton
31) Green Bay Packers (11-6)
I’m following the momentum for my Super Bowl picks this year, and you could argue that no NFC team has more momentum than the Green Bay Packers. They’re young, they have an ascending passer in Jordan Love, and they have all the organizational support they need to thrive.
On offense, Love is truly a top-tier passer in the making with a deep weapons core and a strong, versatile front five. On defense, Jeff Hafley has all the personnel he needs on the back end to run his scheme, and the defensive line is an alignment-versatile wrecking crew.
The young Packers are converging on opportunity at exactly the right time, and Matt LaFleur has proven he can get the most out of them. Last year, “the most” was a playoff win and nearly a second. This year, “the most” could be close to all of it.
Prospects to Watch: Nic Scourton, Tacario Davis, Shavon Revel, Jordan Hancock
32) Houston Texans (12-5)
My Super Bowl pick for the 2024 season is the Houston Texans.
It’s a trendy pick, but the Texans are truly loading up this year. C.J. Stroud is a budding MVP candidate who now has Nico Collins, Stefon Diggs, and Tank Dell in the same receiving room. His line is strong, and the coaching staff is rolling it back.
Meanwhile, on defense, Will Anderson Jr., Danielle Hunter, Derek Stingley Jr., and Jalen Pitre add to the unit’s star power, as does Denico Autry once he’s back from his six-game suspension. And that star power is matched by savvy signings like Foley Fatukasi and Azeez Al-Shaair.
The Texans have the talent. They have the coaching. And they have the quarterback. If there’s ever a year for Houston to unseat the empire in Kansas City, this is it.
Prospects to Watch: Shavon Revel, Denzel Burke, Harold Perkins, Tyleik Williams