The Green Bay Packers and Dallas Cowboys were supposed to be headliners in the NFC Super Bowl race. The Cowboys have met expectations, but the Packers are playing for their playoff lives already in Week 10. We’re diving into the best player prop bets for their big matchup, including CeeDee Lamb, AJ Dillon, and Aaron Rodgers.
We’re covering all sports betting aspects of this matchup, with lines courtesy of our friends at FanDuel Sportsbook. On top of grabbing these Cowboys and Packers player prop bets, I highly recommend grabbing your no-sweat first bet for Week 10 while you can.
Top Cowboys vs. Packers Player Props To Target
We’re using every tool at our disposal to make sharp prop bets for this NFC matchup, including fantasy averages, player trends, and the best vig. Let’s dive into the best prop bets you can target.
AJ Dillon Player Props: Anytime TD (+105)
Player usage and trends are huge when it comes to finding prop bet value. The Packers have given Dillon one more carry in the red zone this season, but because of the offensive line’s struggles and predictable playcalling, he’s been far less effective than Aaron Jones. Dillon has only 15 yards and one touchdown in the red zone, compared to Jones’ 36 yards and three total scores.
I think last week was a good sign of things changing in Dillon’s favor — he out-snapped Jones for the first time all season. Dillon wasn’t especially productive, but the Packers have to try something to jumpstart the offense. Specializing Jones as a receiver and getting Dillon more traditional carries out of short-yardage situations would be wise.
We’re hunting value with Dillon’s player props. Oddsmakers have overrated the threat of Jones as a scoring threat in comparison. Dillon has only one touchdown all year, but his growing usage should lead to a decent opportunity this week.
It’s also worth noting is a $5 bet on the over of Dillons’ rushing total would win $200 on DraftKings Sportsbook.
Aaron Rodgers Player Props: Under 238.5 Passing Yards (-115)
It’s hard to fully blame Rodgers for the issues plaguing the Packers’ offense this year. Personnel decisions left this team with a lower ceiling than in previous seasons, and injuries have further hampered who has been consistently available for Rodgers. It’s been a mess, and Rodgers’ stats have suffered significantly.
His 232.3 average passing yards per game is the lowest rate of his career as a starter, but it’s really just the tip of the iceberg in decline. Rodgers’ yards per attempt are at a career-low, and so is his quarterback rating. Also, his interception rate is the highest we’ve seen since 2017.
Rodgers has gone under this 238.5 passing yard mark in four of his nine games, two of his last three, and three of his last five contests. The bevy of injuries to his receiving corps has been a massive issue. Dallas’ defense won’t help them out.
The Cowboys have allowed the fourth-fewest passing yards in the league and are a stellar bunch. Expect Rodgers to be scrambling for time throughout the entire afternoon.
CeeDee Lamb Player Props: Over 64.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
The Packers have an elite passing defense, giving up the second-fewest yards in the league. Some of that is due to the run-heavy offenses they’ve faced, and the success opponents have found while running all over this defense. Dallas can attack Green Bay both ways.
Lamb is an intriguing prop bet play, even against Jaire Alexander and a talented secondary. The Packers have shown some vulnerability, even if the raw numbers are impressive.
Only two defenses have seen fewer receiver targets per week, meaning the volume faced has skewed their effectiveness. Green Bay ranks 11th in pass defense EPA.
With 68 or more receiving yards in six of his last seven games, Lamb has been on fire. He has three straight games averaging 13.6 yards or more per catch and 68 total yards. Lamb is on pace for a career-high in touchdowns, receptions, and yards.