Week 13 brings a rematch of the 2022 AFC Championship Game as the 9-2 Kansas City Chiefs take on the 7-4 Cincinnati Bengals. The Chiefs are looking to make a big road statement as they get closer to clinching the AFC West. The Bengals are trying to pull ahead in the feisty AFC North.
We’re covering all sports betting aspects of this matchup, with lines courtesy of our friends at FanDuel Sportsbook. On top of grabbing these Chiefs and Bengals player prop bets, I highly recommend grabbing your no-sweat first bet for Week 13 while you can.
Chiefs vs. Bengals: Top FanDuel Prop Bets To Target
We’re using every tool at our disposal to make sharp prop bets for this AFC battle, including fantasy averages, player trends, and the best vig. Let’s dive into the best prop bets you can target.
Ja’Marr Chase Anytime TD (+105)
I don’t want to weigh last year’s matchup too heavily in projecting how this game plays out, but it’s hard to envision either team straying too far from what’s worked for them. Neither team performed out of character in the playoffs. The Bengals relied upon Tee Higgins for volume and Ja’Marr Chase for the more valuable touches.
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Chase caught six passes for 54 yards and one touchdown in the AFC Championship game. Despite missing four games, he leads the Bengals in touchdowns with six this season. And yet, sportsbooks are offering us similar odds for Chase to score as Higgins despite the former being a significantly bigger threat.
The biggest concern with this bet is whether Chase is more of a decoy or is on a partial snap count. But with Kansas City ranking as a below-average defense against receivers, allowing 165.4 yards and a league-high 1.36 touchdowns per game to the position, Chase should get an opportunity to reach the end zone.
It’s also worth noting there is a $5 bet on the over of Chase’s receiving total that could win you $200 on DraftKings Sportsbook.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling Anytime TD (+225)
The Chiefs are oddly built, as their No. 1 wide receiver is about as likely to score as someone who has eight receptions on the year (ahem, Jody Fortson). For all we know, this could’ve been Kadarius Toney’s coming out party if he weren’t injured with a hamstring pull. Landing on Marquez Valdes-Scantling blends value with logic.
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The absence of Mecole Hardman opens the door for Valdes-Scantling to be a bigger priority in the red zone. Hardman is second on the team in touchdowns, while Valdes-Scantling has only scored once. It’s time for some positive regression for a player with eight red-zone targets.
The best case for Valdes-Scantling is that head coach Andy Reid utilizes him like he did Hardman, who has two rushing scores in addition to his four receiving touchdowns.
Isiah Pacheco Under 58.5 Rushing Yards (-120)
Kansas City can be difficult to project as far as their commitment and effectiveness while running, but this appears to be an unfavorable matchup for their backfield. The Bengals are coming off a three-game stretch with two excellent performances. They shut down D’Onta Foreman in Week 9 and then Derrick Henry in Week 12.
Pacheco is nowhere near the rusher those two are, but he benefits from facing light boxes and running behind an excellent offensive line. He can quickly gash any defense, and he doesn’t have to deal with Clyde Edwards-Helaire threatening to steal touches. But this matchup is tricky.
The Bengals have bounced between being awful against the run and being great. I’m taking the gamble that Patrick Mahomes will take on a bigger workload and that we’ll see plenty of Jerick McKinnon on passing downs.
Joe Burrow Under 294.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Neither team was overly effective at throwing the ball in their matchup in the playoffs. I think that trend continues this game, even if both secondaries lost their best corner from last season. When these teams last met, Burrow had only 250 yards while Mahomes had 275 despite them being two of the best overall passers in the NFL.
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Kansas City lacks some of the individual talents they had in 2021-22, but their unit is good. They’ve only allowed the 21st most yards despite facing the 29th most attempts. K.C. has been bad at keeping passing offenses from scoring, though, ranking 30th with 22 touchdowns allowed through the air.
As explosive as Burrow is, he’s prone to having very quiet games. He has thrown for 270 or fewer yards in three of his last four games.