You might have heard that the Kansas City Chiefs are traveling to East Rutherford, NJ, to play the New York Jets on Sunday Night Football. You also might have heard that Taylor Swift will be in attendance for Chiefs vs. Jets game, supporting her new boyfriend (?) Travis Kelce.
We have already reached our maximum word count for talking about Swift, so let’s talk about the actual game on tap.
The Chiefs offense came back to life last week, putting up 41 points in a rout over the Chicago Bears. Meanwhile, it seems like we’re back in 2022 with the Jets, as Zach Wilson looks as bad as ever, and his teammates aren’t happy about it.
When the Chiefs are road favorites of at least seven points, they’re just 5-8 against the spread but 13-0 outright. With a large point spread for tonight and a very untrustworthy offense for the home team, how should you bet on the game? Our betting team is here to help, providing their Chiefs vs. Jets predictions, favorite player prop bets, and more.
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Kansas City Chiefs vs. New York Jets Betting Lines, Start Time, and More
All odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook unless stated otherwise.
- Spread
Chiefs -9.5 - Moneyline
Chiefs -425, Jets +330 - Over/Under
41.5 - Game Time
8:15 p.m. ET - Location
MetLife Stadium - How To Watch
NBC, Peacock
Blewis: I’m having a very hard time picking either side against the spread. Coming off their starters outscoring the Bears 41-0 by the middle of the third quarter, there’s no value in betting on the Chiefs in this spot, especially when they’re 1-5 ATS in their last six games as a road favorite of seven or more points. Meanwhile, I can’t stomach backing the Wilson-led Jets right now.
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I can’t remember seeing a total this low in a game with Mahomes, and that’s almost entirely an indictment of how bad Wilson is. In Wilson’s last five starts, the Jets are averaging just 8.6 points per game. Yikes.
But the under is where I am leaning at the moment. It’s still at a key number as of writing this at 41.5, which makes it even more appealing to me despite it being a low total.
Through three weeks, the Chiefs defense has looked better than ever in the Mahomes era, with the fourth-best success rate as a unit. They feasted on a bad offense last week in the Bears and have arguably an even more advantageous matchup tonight.
While the Chiefs defense has been a pleasant surprise, the Jets defense, which was supposed to be one of the best in the NFL, has been a disappointment so far, ranking 15th in success rate and 25th in EPA per play. But they have too much talent on that defense for it to continue, and there could be extra motivation at home on prime time, like in Week 1.
Pick: Under 41.5 (-110 at DraftKings)
Soppe: Isiah Pacheco has run for over 50 yards in 11 of Kansas City’s past 13 wins, and seven of the Chiefs’ past eight regular-season wins have come by at least six points. The fact that I can back both of those trends and get plus money in this mismatch has me very interested.
Pick: Pacheco 50+ rush yards, Chiefs -5.5 (+100 at DraftKings)
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Katz: The Chiefs’ WR situation is still very much in flux. But we know Skyy Moore isn’t good. And we know Kadarius Toney will never be featured. What we don’t know is whether Rashee Rice is good. I wasn’t big on him as a prospect, but I am open to being wrong. Again, he hasn’t definitively proven he can’t play football at an NFL level.
So far, Rice is passing the eye test. Last week, he saw a significant increase in snaps (over 50%) and routes run (21). He rewarded the Chiefs’ belief in him by catching five of seven targets for 59 yards.
This could be chasing last week’s stats. However, early in the season, I am more willing to believe I am just ahead of the curve on noticing a change in usage. I think that’s what we’re seeing with Rice.
Rice’s receiving yardage line is incredibly low for a guy who may just be the best WR on the team. I’m willing to take the chance that he is, and we saw the start of it last week.
Pick: Rashee Rice over 25.5 receiving yards (-113 at Caesars)