Two teams that have suffered one close loss after another meet up this week with a chance to share stories of their heartbreak. But will the Los Angeles Chargers be able to go on the road and get a win over a desperate Green Bay Packers team that has lost five of their last six and is in danger of watching their season disappear? Let’s break down this matchup.
Chargers vs. Packers Betting Lines, Start Time, and More
All odds from DraftKings Sportsbook.
- Spread: Chargers -3
- Moneyline: Chargers (-166), Packers (+140)
- Over/Under: 44
- Game time: 1:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Lambeau Field
- Channel: FOX
Chargers vs. Packers Prediction
While this looks like a matchup headlined by the quarterbacks — Justin Herbert and Jordan Love — the two running games seem like they will be equally important.
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The Chargers’ Austin Ekeler hasn’t had a 100-yard rushing game since Week 1 — 117 yards vs. the Dolphins — but has scored four total touchdowns over his last three games.
Meanwhile, the Packers’ Aaron Jones has averaged just 43 rushing yards a game and 3.5 yards a carry over his last four games. However, he has exactly four receptions in each of his last three games.
Love will certainly welcome help from his receivers this week because he will be facing the league’s worst pass defense in the Chargers. Los Angeles is giving up nearly 300 passing yards a game (291.2).
The Chargers do have 31 sacks — tied for third-most in the NFL — but Green Bay has allowed only 19 sacks all season.
As for Herbert, he is coming off one of his best games of the season, throwing for 323 yards and a career-high-tying four touchdowns. But it came in another close loss, this time to the Lions, 41-38.
It was the 13th loss of Herbert’s career by three or fewer points since he came into the league in 2020, the most such losses in the NFL over that span.
So, if the game is close in the fourth quarter, advantage Packers, right? Not necessarily.
This season, Love has thrown six of his 10 interceptions in the fourth quarter, the most fourth-quarter picks in the league. For his career, nine of his 13 interceptions have come in the fourth quarter.
Injury-wise, the Chargers are still listing wide receiver Keenan Allen (shoulder) as questionable, but since he participated in a full practice, there should be optimism that he will play Sunday.
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The Packers’ biggest injury issues are on the defensive end, where as many as four starters could be out. Edge rusher Rashan Gary (shoulder), linebacker Quay Walker (groin), and cornerback Jaire Alexander (shoulder) are all questionable, while safety Rudy Ford (biceps) is doubtful.
The Chargers aren’t exactly a dominating team in this spot, with a 5-3 record against the spread as a road favorite — 1-1 ATS this season. On the other hand, the Packers are 0-3 against the spread in non-conference games.
While the Chargers’ record sits at 4-5, four of their five losses have been by three points or less. The Packers’ record is 3-6, but four of their six losses have been by four points or less.
So, which is the more hard-luck team?
In any event, the Chargers appear to have a lot more riding on this game than Green Bay. Los Angeles has a chance to get to .500 and remain in legitimate playoff discussion. At some point, Herbert has to have some luck go his way, right?
Count on the Chargers to come up with a way to pull out a big road win.
Best Bet: Chargers -3 (-108 at DraftKings Sportsbook)
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