The New York Jets might have an elite defense, but I think it’s safe to assume they won’t hold the Los Angeles Chargers to negative net passing yards like they did to the New York Giants last week.
The Chargers’ offense had a resurgence in the win over the Chicago Bears last week, but can Justin Herbert and company carry over their momentum? Let’s dive into the player prop bets you should be targeting for Chargers vs. Jets on Monday Night Football.
Top Chargers vs. Jets Player Prop Bets To Target
All odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook unless noted otherwise.
Justin Herbert Player Props
- Passing Yards: 250.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
- Pass Touchdowns: 1.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
- Interceptions: 0.5 (Over +110/Under -140)
Broyles: The Chargers are significantly more talented than the Jets, but styles make fights. The Jets are the tougher, more physical team, and I believe the Jets punch the Chargers in the face repeatedly with Breece Hall until they break.
Expect the Jets to control the clock, keeping Herbert on the sideline. With no Mike Williams and a hampered Joshua Palmer, the once-dynamic Chargers passing game is a shell of its former self.
Pick: Justin Herbert under 250.5 passing yards (-115 at DraftKings)
Austin Ekeler Player Props
- Rushing Yards: 46.5 (Over -120/Under -110)
- Receiving Yards: 29.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
- Receptions: 4.5 (Over +130/Under -166)
- Anytime Touchdown Scorer: -135
- First Touchdown Scorer: +425
Blewis: In Austin Ekeler’s first three games back from injury, he has rushed for 101 yards on 43 carries, an average of 2.35 yards per attempt. Even though they’re road favorites, I’m not expecting the Chargers to get out to such a big lead early that they’re in a positive game script for a large portion of this game.
The Chargers are a pass-first team (10th in neutral pass rate) and are facing a Jets defense that is fifth-best in success rate in stopping the run. This doesn’t shape up to be a big Ekeler game on the ground, and even at a low rushing total, I lean toward the under.
Pick: Austin Ekeler under 47.5 rushing yards (-114 at FanDuel)
Keenan Allen Player Props
- Receiving Yards: 77.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
- Longest Reception: 23.5 (Over -120/Under -110)
- Anytime Touchdown Scorer: +150
- First Touchdown Scorer: +750
Blewis: After facing Stefon Diggs and CeeDee Lamb in the first two weeks of the season, this Jets defense at full strength hasn’t faced a legitimate WR1 since. They did go against A.J. Brown a couple of weeks ago, but that was without their two starting corners.
Both Diggs and Lamb went for over 100 yards against them, so for as good as the Jets’ defense is, elite wide receivers are still capable of big performances against them.
MORE: Chargers vs. Jets Predictions and Picks
As we have noted in numerous columns, the biggest change in the Chargers passing offense under Kellen Moore is that Justin Herbert is being much more aggressive. As a result, Allen’s average depth of target is up from 8.6 to 10.0, which is his highest since 2019.
In seven games this season, Allen has had a reception of at least 24 yards five times. Even against this Jets defense, I think the Chargers will take enough shots downfield for Allen to go over this number.
Pick: Keenan Allen longest reception over 23.5 yards (-120 at DraftKings)
Zach Wilson Player Props
- Passing Yards: 215.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
- Pass Touchdowns: 1.5 (Over +185/Under -245)
- Interceptions: 0.5 (Over -150/Under +120)
Soppe: One. That is how many interceptions Zach Wilson has thrown over his past 170 attempts (projected attempt count on MNF: 31). I don’t want to say Aaron Rodgers being around this team is having an effect on Wilson’s decision-making, but I won’t say it hasn’t!
With a 7.4 aDOT, Wilson isn’t taking a ton of shots and is, by default, putting the ball in danger less often. The Bolts make contact with the quarterback at the third-lowest rate in the league, making it unlikely that Wilson is forced into a poor decision.
Of course, we need to avoid the late desperation interception, but with seemingly every Charger game coming down to the final five minutes, I don’t think we have to sweat a significant step up in aggression for Wilson.
Pick: Zach Wilson under 0.5 interceptions (+120 at DraftKings)
Breece Hall Player Props
- Rushing Yards: 57.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
- Receiving Yards: 18.5 (Over -135/Under +105)
- Anytime Touchdown Scorer: +115
- First Touchdown Scorer: +550
Soppe: Hall is averaging 7.0 yards per target this season and has seen 21 targets over his last four games. His versatility is a tremendous asset, as his low aDOT targets help lower the turnover potential of Zach Wilson’s dropbacks.
MORE: Chargers vs. Jets: Same Game Parlay Picks
In an underdog role against the worst yards-per-pass-attempt defense in the league, Hall is in a spot to shine.
Pick: Breece Hall over 18.5 receiving yards (-135 at DraftKings)
Garrett Wilson Player Props
- Receiving Yards: 65.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
- Receptions: 4.5 (Over -150/Under +120)
- Longest Reception: 23.5 (Over -120/Under -110)
- Anytime Touchdown Scorer: +165
- First Touchdown Scorer: +800
Gallimore: Garrett Wilson just went for 100 yards receiving against the New York Giants and 90 yards against the Philadelphia Eagles. Why can’t he go for 66 or more against the Los Angeles Chargers at home?
Alpha receivers have had their way with the Chargers’ defense this season: Tyreek Hill had 215 yards, Travis Kelce had 179, Justin Jefferson had 149, and CeeDee Lamb had 117. Davante Adams, even with rookie Aidan O’Connell making his NFL debut, finished with 75 yards.
I’m not overthinking this one.
Pick: Garrett Wilson over 65.5 receiving yards (-115 at DraftKings)
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