To wrap up NFL Week 9, we have the Los Angeles Chargers playing against the New York Jets on Monday Night Football. But before we dive into the Chargers vs. Jets predictions, here’s a brief preview of this matchup.
The Jets enter this game as one of the hottest teams in the NFL, as they’re winners of three straight games. The Chargers had an easy get-right win last week but are facing a Jets defense that has been dominant in recent weeks, including holding the Giants to negative passing yards last week. There is no such thing as locks typically, but I can confidently guarantee that won’t happen in this game.
Justin Herbert will be facing a Jets team that has had a lot of success against elite quarterbacks this season, but will that continue on Monday night? Let’s check out the Chargers vs. Jets predictions, player prop bets, and more from the PFN betting team.
Los Angeles Chargers vs. New York Jets Betting Lines
Despite being on a three-game winning streak and having a better record, the Jets are home underdogs on Monday Night Football. The spread has moved up from its opening number of 2.5 when the Chargers vs. Jets odds came out last Sunday night. The total, on the other hand, has moved down from 42.5 as the public has started to catch onto the trend of prime-time unders.
All odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook unless stated otherwise.
- Spread
Chargers -3.5 - Moneyline
Chargers -180, Jets +150 - Over/Under
40
Los Angeles Chargers vs. New York Jets Predictions
Blewis: Primetime unders are 21-7 for the season, and this feels like another low-scoring game on national television.
The Jets have faced four of the best quarterbacks so far this season — Josh Allen, Dak Prescott, Patrick Mahomes, and Jalen Hurts — and the under went 4-0 in those games. Their defense had a lot of hype going into the season, and it has lived up to it.
MORE: Chargers vs. Jets: Same Game Parlay Picks
As good as the Jets defense has been, their offense has been almost as bad. Granted, this is a favorable matchup against a bad Chargers defense, but this is still the worst passing offense by success rate and EPA for the season.
The Chargers meanwhile, had a very good offensive performance last week, but that was vs. the Bears defense, which is one of the worst in the NFL. In the prior two weeks against two of the best defenses in the NFL in the Cowboys and Chiefs, they averaged 17 PPG and 315 yards of offense.
Pick: Under 40 (-110 at FanDuel)
Soppe: One. That is how many interceptions Zach Wilson has thrown over his past 170 attempts (projected attempt count on MNF: 31). I don’t want to say Aaron Rodgers being around this team is having an effect on Wilson’s decision-making, but I won’t say it hasn’t!
With a 7.4 aDOT, Wilson isn’t taking a ton of shots and is, by default, putting the ball in danger less often. The Bolts make contact with the quarterback at the third lowest rate in the league, making it unlikely that Wilson is forced into a poor decision.
Of course, we need to avoid the late desperation interception, but with seemingly every Charger game coming down to the final five minutes, I don’t think we have to sweat a significant step up in aggression for Wilson.
Pick: Zach Wilson under 0.5 interceptions (+120 at DraftKings)
Soppe: Breece Hall is averaging 7.0 yards per target this season and has seen 21 targets over his last four games. His versatility is a tremendous asset, as his low aDOT targets help lower the turnover potential of Zach Wilson’s dropbacks.
In an underdog role against the worst yards-per-pass-attempt defense in the league, Hall is in a spot to shine.
Pick: Breece Hall over 18.5 receiving yards (-135 at DraftKings)
Broyles: The Los Angeles Chargers are significantly more talented than the New York Jets, but styles make fights. The Jets are the tougher, more physical team, and I believe the Jets punch the Chargers in the face repeatedly with Breece Hall until they break.
MORE: Chargers vs. Jets Player Prop Bets
Expect the Jets to control the clock, keeping Justin Herbert on the sideline. No Mike Williams, a hampered Josh Palmer, the once dynamic Charger’s passing game is a shell of its former self.
Pick: Justin Herbert under 250.5 passing yards (-115 at DraftKings)
Gallimore: Garrett Wilson just went for 100 yards receiving against the New York Giants and 90 yards against the Philadelphia Eagles. Why can’t he go for 66 or more against the Los Angeles Chargers at home?
Alpha receivers have had their way with the Chargers defense this season: Tyreek Hill 215 yards, Travis Kelce 179, Justin Jefferson 149, CeeDee Lamb 117. And Davante Adams, even with rookie Aidan O’Connell making his debut, finished with 75 yards.
I’m not overthinking this one.
Pick: Garrett Wilson over 65.5 receiving yards (-115 at DraftKings)
Our Betting Lines page has the freshest lines and promos to get BANG for your buck. PFN’s FREE Parlay Calculator and Betting Odds Calculator are also available for your betting process! New to sports betting? Check out our guide on How to Bet on the NFL. Visit our Sports Betting Legal Tracker on how to bet legally in the U.S.