If you’re planning to make NFL prop bets for this fascinating Cleveland Browns vs. Baltimore Ravens Week 15 Saturday matchup, then you’ve come to the right place.
We’ve analyzed the game’s highest-probability scripts to assess the most likely outcomes, including which players are in line to thrive more than anticipated and which could fall short of expectations. All prop bets are based on DraftKings Sportsbook, BetMGM, or FanDuel Sportsbook, where you can get a no-sweat first bet up to $1,000.
Browns vs. Ravens: Top Prop Bets To Target
The following NFL betting recommendations are based on proprietary PFN predictive analytics pulled from decades of NFL historical data. Using this data, I’ve built dozens of models showing actionable probabilities of better-than-expected and worse-than-expected outcomes.
These recommended bets assume . . . well, I’ll be honest with you. This is an unusually tough game to predict. This will mark Deshaun Watson’s third game in the past two years, as well as J.K. Dobbins’ sixth game in the past two years. Tyler Huntley will earn the sixth start of his career.
And to make matters more difficult, the seemingly indomitable Nick Chubb and Mark Andrews — two positionally elite performers — have endured statistical downturns in recent weeks. Chubb has averaged a mere 3.5 yards per carry in his last four outings. For a guy who’s No. 3 in all-time yards per carry among RBs, that’s a major slump.
Meanwhile, Andrews has a 19-216-0 receiving line in his last six games. For context, Tennessee rookie Chigoziem Okonkwo has enjoyed a 16-268-1 line in his last six games despite averaging an approximate 43% snap share. Simply put, Andrews has been an entirely different player than the one we’re accustomed to seeing.
So that’s what makes this game so tough to gauge. Chubb and Andrews won’t be held down for long. Watson should improve as he gets more reps. And Dobbins was one of the best young RBs in the league before tearing his ACL in August 2021.
There’s a lot of pop to the featured players in this contest. The question is which ones are most likely to make good on their potential.
If I had to guesstimate, I’m eyeing a roughly 26-20 Browns victory. With that in mind, here are my recommended prop bets for several key players.
Deshaun Watson Prop Bets
The 5-8 Browns likely need to win out (and finish 9-8) to have any shot at the postseason. They acquired Watson to elevate their offense. He’s on the upswing and has a healthy collection of playmakers.
Baltimore has surrendered the seventh-most passing yards on the ninth-most pass attempts. Watson should find enough passing lanes to generate 280+ yards in a season-defining matchup.
- Passing yards over 213.5
(-113) — FanDuel - Rushing yards over 25.5
(-110) — DraftKings - Interceptions under 0.5
(-120) — DraftKings
Nick Chubb Prop Bets
Only the 49ers and Titans are yielding fewer yards per carry than the Ravens. Chubb probably will continue to struggle with efficiency. That said, I’m willing to bet on his continued modest usage in the passing game. Cleveland has to figure out how to get their star running back going.
- Rushing yards under 74.5
(-115) — DraftKings - Receiving yards over 9.5
(-110) — DraftKings
Amari Cooper Prop Bets
I like betting on talent — even slumping talent — in favorable matchups. Amari Cooper has been hobbled a bit. He should be a full go for this one. The Browns added him this offseason to serve as a game-breaking No. 1 receiver. He’s been hit or miss. Based on the stakes and the opponent, I trust that Cooper will shine.
- Receiving yards over 55.5
(-114) — FanDuel
Donovan Peoples-Jones Prop Bets
Donovan Peoples-Jones has 44+ yards in nine of his last 10 games. Granted, David Njoku was sidelined for some of those. But the 23-year-old wideout is no longer a mere flier. He’s dropped only one pass on 80 targets while establishing impressive consistency. It would be shocking if he finishes with less than four catches for 56 yards.
- Receptions over 3.5
(-110) — DraftKings - Receiving yards over 48.5
(-115) — DraftKings
J.K. Dobbins Prop Bets
The Browns have given up the sixth most yards per carry. With Huntley at QB, I expect Baltimore to operate fairly conservatively as long as Cleveland doesn’t jump out to a sizable lead. Dobbins is a good bet for 60+ rushing yards on 14+ carries. While there are no props available for carries, the yardage prop line seems too low to ignore.
- Rushing yards over 48.5
(-110) — BetMGM
Mark Andrews Prop Bets
Baltimore doesn’t have a choice. Andrews needs to be a featured player in this intra-divisional battle. Demarcus Robinson leads all Ravens wideouts in targets, catches, and receiving yards. The same Demarcus Robinson who served as the Chiefs’ No. 5 receiver last season. The same Demarcus Robinson released by the Raiders this summer.
That’s not a knock on Robinson, who’s clearly stepped up. But this team arguably has the league’s least-effective wideout corps. And it won’t suddenly improve with Huntley at the helm.
Look to Huntley to lean more heavily on Andrews — the team’s best receiver by a mile.
- Receiving yards over 51.5
(-115) — DraftKings