This AFC North divisional matchup features two of the best defenses in the NFL, but for one of the best games of the day, we figured to give you our favorite player prop bets. So without further ado, let’s dive into the PFN Betting Team’s favorite Cleveland Browns vs. Baltimore Ravens player prop bets, which include Deshaun Watson, Lamar Jackson, and Mark Andrews to name a few.
Top Browns vs. Ravens Player Prop Bets To Target
Deshaun Watson Player Props
- Passing Yards: 186.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
- Pass Touchdowns: 0.5 (Over -195/Under +150)
- Pass Completions: 17.5 (Over -125/Under -105)
- Pass Attempts: 28.5 (Over -135/Under +105)
- Interceptions: 0.5 (Over -150/Under +120)
Blewis: I was in the camp of giving Deshaun Watson the benefit of the doubt for his terrible play last year, thinking he was extremely rusty and was learning a new system midway through the season. But his QBR is nearly identical from a year ago.
Watson had an efficient day in their 27-0 win over the Cardinals last week, but a road matchup against this Ravens defense is as difficult as it gets for him. For the season, the Ravens are allowing an NFL-best 4.6 yards per attempt, and the gap between them and second-best is greater than second and 16th.
It’s a very low passing total, especially for a a quarterback on a team that is an underdog of nearly a touchdown. But this matchup, Watson’s erratic play, and the injuries on their offensive line work in our favor.
Pick: Deshaun Watson under 193.5 passing yards (-114 at FanDuel)
Elijah Moore Player Props
- Receiving Yards: 30.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
- Receptions: 3.5 (Over +124/Under -160)
- Longest Reception: 15.5 (Over +105/Under -135)
- Anytime Touchdown Scorer: +475
- First Touchdown Scorer: +2200
Katz: After the Browns traded away Donovan Peoples-Jones, that seemingly elevated Elijah Moore into the clear WR2 role…or did it? Last week, rookie Cedric Tillman actually played more snaps than Moore. While Moore ran three more routes, it wouldn’t surprise me to see that flip in Tillman’s favor as he gets more acclimated to the NFL.
Moore has caught exactly two passes in each of his past two games for no more than 30 yards. He’s gone over this number just once in his last five games, and that was against a weak Colts pass defense.
This week, Moore has to deal with a Ravens defense that leads the NFL in fewest yards per route run allowed at 10.1. They are allowing a paltry 57.6% catch rate to WRs, fourth-best in the league.
Moore is not talented enough to command targets, nor beat a defense this good. It wouldn’t surprise me if he goes catchless.
Pick: Elijah Moore under 33.5 receiving yards (-110 at DraftKings)
Lamar Jackson Player Props
- Passing Yards: 202.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
- Pass Touchdowns: 1.5 (Over +185/Under -245)
- Pass Completions: 18.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
- Pass Attempts: 27.5 (Over -145/Under +114)
- Rushing Yards: 42.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
- Interceptions: 0.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
Broyles: The Browns’ defense has been formidable this season, so taking the over on any props against the fearsome unit has been an exercise in futility. The Ravens have been on fire lately, as the Todd Monken offense seems to be taking flight. The Ravens possess the top rushing attack in the NFL, but I don’t expect them to have their way with the Browns’ front seven.
MORE: Brian Blewis’ NFL Week 10 Predictions and Picks Against the Spread To Tail
Expect Lamar to step up in the passing game, and with the ground game taking the scores lately, positive regression is in store for the Ravens QB.
Picks: Lamar Jackson over 202.5 passing yards (-115 at DraftKings), over 1.5 passing touchdowns (+185 at DraftKings)
Gus Edwards Player Props
- Rushing Yards: 46.5 (Over -105/Under -125)
- Rush Attempts: 11.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
- Anytime Touchdown Scorer: +140
- First Touchdown Scorer: +650
Rolfe: This week’s rushing line for Gus Edwards feels like an overreaction to how things played out last week. Sure, he only carried the ball five times, but part of that was simply the game getting out of control and the Ravens’ utilizing more depth on their roster. It led to a Keaton Mitchell breakout game, but the rookie RB is now dealing with a hamstring injury.
Edwards should be the lead back once again in terms of carries this week and 43.5 yards (at FanDuel) just looks too low given he has cleared that mark in seven of the past eight games. Even his anytime TD prop at +140 feels like value given he has scored six touchdowns in the past three weeks. However, it is tough to back that against a defense that has yet to give up a rushing TD this season.
Pick: Gus Edwards over 43.5 rushing yards (-114 at FanDuel)
Mark Andrews Player Props
- Receiving Yards: 45.5 (Over -125/Under -105)
- Receptions: 4.5 (Over +124/Under -160)
- Longest Reception: 18.5 (Over -120/Under -110)
- Anytime Touchdown Scorer: +185
- First Touchdown Scorer: +800
Broyles: Mark Andrews is the alpha in the Ravens’ passing attack. Yes, Baltimore has added Odell Beckham Jr. and Zay Flowers this offseason, but if the Ravens receivers were a solar system, Andrews remains the sun. The Ravens must open up the offense against a daunting Browns defense.
Pick: Mark Andrews over 45.5 receiving yards (-125 at DraftKings)
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