San Francisco 49ers quarterback Brock Purdy may have come up just a bit short of his fairy tale story finding its happily-ever-after ending by hoisting the Lombardi Trophy in his first full season as the starting quarterback. However, his fantasy production has already helped managers win a lot of their matchups through his first two years in the NFL.
Should fantasy football managers consider Purdy a legitimate QB1 option heading into the 2024 NFL season?
Should You Select Brock Purdy at His Current ADP?
PPR Industry Consensus ADP: 99th Overall (QB11)
- Impressive First Full Season: In his first full season as the 49ers’ starting quarterback, Purdy threw for 4,280 yards and 31 touchdowns, finishing as the QB6 in fantasy football. His strong performance rewarded those who took a late-round flier on him.
- Consistent Fantasy Production: Purdy has proven his fantasy worth, finishing as the QB6 from Weeks 14-18 of the 2022 season and repeating that finish as QB6 overall in 2023. His consistent production in a loaded 49ers offense makes him a reliable QB1 option.
- Aggressive Downfield Passing: Purdy led the league in key metrics that highlight his aggressive approach, including yards per attempt (9.6), air yards per attempt (5.5), and deep-ball attempts (72). He also posted the best QBR (72.7) and deep-ball completion rate (55.3%) in the NFL.
- High-Powered Offense: The 49ers finished second in scoring (28.6 points per game) and third in red-zone trips in 2023, despite averaging the third-fewest passing attempts per game. This efficiency underscores Purdy’s ability to maximize his opportunities.
- Elite Supporting Cast: Purdy benefits from playing in an offense loaded with elite playmakers, including Christian McCaffrey, George Kittle, Deebo Samuel, and Brandon Aiyuk. The addition of WR Ricky Pearsall in the 2024 NFL Draft only adds to his arsenal.
- ADP Analysis: Purdy’s current ADP of QB11 at No. 99 overall suggests that some fantasy managers remain hesitant to fully embrace him as a QB1. Given his proven production and the strength of the 49ers’ offense, this hesitancy may be unwarranted.
- Final Verdict: Purdy has already established himself as a top fantasy quarterback with a high floor in a high-powered offense. If Purdy is available in the 10th round of your draft and you haven’t selected a quarterback yet, he’s a must-draft player with QB1 upside.
PFN Consensus PPR Fantasy Ranking for Brock Purdy
Note that these rankings are the PFN Consensus Rankings and may not fully match my analysis. Since Purdy is ranked outside the top 75 in the PFN Consensus Rankings, we’ve listed the consensus QB rankings instead.
5) Anthony Richardson, QB | Indianapolis Colts
6) C.J. Stroud, QB | Houston Texans
7) Joe Burrow, QB | Cincinnati Bengals
8) Kyler Murray, QB | Arizona Cardinals
9) Dak Prescott, QB | Dallas Cowboys
10) Brock Purdy, QB | San Francisco 49ers
11) Jordan Love, QB | Green Bay Packers
12) Kirk Cousins, QB | Atlanta Falcons
13) Jayden Daniels, QB | Washington Commanders
14) Caleb Williams, QB | Chicago Bears
15) Jared Goff, QB | Detroit Lions
Brock Purdy’s Fantasy Profile for the 2024 NFL Season
Anyone who put their faith into Purdy toward the end of their fantasy drafts last season was rewarded with outstanding overall production — 4,280 passing yards and 31 TDs to be exact — in his first full year as the starting quarterback of the 49ers.
I know Purdy is a touchy subject for the army of Trey Lance truthers in the fantasy football world, but his impressive five-game run at the end of his rookie season turned out to be merely a preview of things to come for the last pick of the 2022 NFL Draft.
From Weeks 14-18 of the 2022 NFL season, Purdy was the fantasy QB6.
Well, guess where Purdy finished the 2023 campaign among fantasy signal-callers … QB6 overall.
If you aren’t a believer in Purdy’s status as a QB1 in fantasy football, then you are either in denial or trying to fool yourself. Sure, you can make a case for other dual-threat signal-callers who have more fantasy upside with their legs, but Purdy’s floor feels firmly established in this loaded 49ers offense.
Purdy took this loaded 49ers offense to another level by leading the league in multiple categories that speak to his aggressiveness pushing the ball down the field. He finished first in the league in yards per attempt (9.6), air yards per attempt (5.5), and passing attempts where the ball traveled 20+ yards (72).
Additionally, Purdy’s efficiency ratings also produced league-best marks in QBR (72.7) and deep-ball completion rate (55.3%).
Purdy’s exceptional efficiency through the air orchestrated a scoring offense that finished second in scoring (28.6 points per game) and generated the third-most trips to the red zone in 2023.
This is particularly impressive when you consider the Niners averaged the third-fewest passing attempts per game this year — only ahead of the Baltimore Ravens and Tennessee Titans.
Purdy is the unquestioned starting quarterback of a loaded 49ers offense that features elite playmakers like Christian McCaffrey, George Kittle, Deebo Samuel, and Brandon Aiyuk — and even added Florida WR Ricky Pearsall with the No. 31 overall pick in the 2024 NFL Draft for good measure — which gives him a great fantasy outlook for the coming season.
Is Purdy a Good Value in Fantasy Drafts?
Purdy’s ADP at No. 99 overall, coming off the board as the QB11, still suggests fantasy managers haven’t been fully converted to believers in San Francisco’s third-year quarterback.
Quite frankly, what more does Purdy have to do to enter the QB1 conversation? Purdy has the best collection of playmaking weapons in the league and orchestrates Kyle Shanahan’s offensive scheme at an MVP-caliber level.
If Purdy falls to the 10th round of your fantasy draft and you haven’t selected a quarterback yet, then you should smash the draft button immediately.