If you’re planning to make Arizona Cardinals prop bets or any other wagers on season-long NFL player production, here are our suggested 2022 bets for three of the their playmakers. All prop bets are based on FanDuel over/unders, featuring Kyler Murray, James Conner, and Marquise Brown.
Top Arizona Cardinals prop bets for 2022
The following NFL betting recommendations are based on 10 years of NFL research analyzing the correlation between preseason expectations and outcomes. Age, durability, shifting personnel, schedule, and other factors help shape these assessments.
Kyler Murray
Heading into last season, Kyler Murray was a can’t-miss, elite QB with the talent and personnel to dominate. In the first two weeks, he had 689 passing yards, 51 rushing yards, and nine total scores. But in seven of his final 12 games, he didn’t exceed one TD. Injuries to him and DeAndre Hopkins didn’t help. And with Hopkins out the first six games this season and Christian Kirk in Jacksonville, it’s fair to wonder if Murray can be elite in 2022.
Hopkins is now 30 years old. Zach Ertz will be 32 in November. A.J. Green is 34. The young Rondale Moore might or might not become a reliable playmaker. There are more questions than answers in this passing attack. The newly acquired Marquise Brown stabilizes the situation, as does the savvy addition of catch-friendly Darrel Williams (47 receptions last year) in the backfield.
[bet-promo id=”174860″ ]The offense will be fine. Will Murray be elite or even near elite? On a macro level, that’s a huge question. But for these props, he doesn’t need to be even a top-eight QB. He simply needs to do what he did last year — 250+ passing yards and 1.7+ passing TDs per game — to get the job done for confident bettors.
Passing yards: Over 4,000.5
Passing TDs: Over 24.5
Passing INTs: Under 11.5
James Conner
Coming out of college, James Conner didn’t profile as an NFL bell cow. The relatively slow yet strong runner broke out when Le’Veon Bell held out in 2018. To date, that remains Conner’s best season in terms of rushing yards, yards per carry, receptions, and receiving yards. Conner’s legend was enhanced last year when he essentially took over the offense in the absence of 1A RB Chase Edmonds and with the passing game struggling (no thanks to the injuries highlighted above).
Yet betting on more of the same from the 27-year-old Conner seems overly ambitious. Yes, he should rack up plenty of fantasy points as a bell-cow-caliber option. But Darrel Williams and perhaps Eno Benjamin or Keaontay Ingram probably will cap his ceiling. And Conner’s questionable efficiency on the ground makes him more TD-friendly than yardage-friendly. And by “TD-friendly,” I mean being capable of 6-7 scores, not his 2020 outlier of 15.
Rushing yards: Under 800.5
Rushing TDs: Under 8.5
Marquise Brown
Brown has shifted from being a (somewhat) unrivaled No. 1 WR on a run-first team to a (somewhat) co-No. 1 WR on a pass-friendly team. Simply put, his current prop line assumes his college-era chemistry with his QB won’t translate on the field. It also assumes Hopkins will return after a six-week suspension, ready to reclaim his longtime alpha role.
Neither of these scenarios seem realistic. While Brown is a long shot at dominating all season long, he should have all the runway he needs to rack up 450+ yards and 3+ scores in the first six weeks. When Hopkins returns, Brown won’t need to do much to exceed expectations.
Receiving yards: Over 875.5
Receiving TDs: Over 5.5