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    Early Anytime TD Scorer Predictions Week 15: Targets Include Zonovan Knight, Alvin Kamara, and Chris Olave

    Looking for anytime TD scorer predictions for Week 15? Before the betting lines are publicized, here's PFN's early look at intriguing targets.

    If you enjoy making NFL bets on player touchdowns, then welcome to our Week 15 rundown of favorite anytime TD scorer predictions.

    We’ve analyzed the game’s highest-probability scripts to assess the most likely outcomes, including which players are the best bets to reach the end zone. All prop bets are taken from DraftKings, FanDuel, or BetMGM.

    NFL Week 15 Anytime TD Scorer Predictions

    The following NFL betting recommendations are based on proprietary PFN predictive analytics culled from decades of NFL historical data. Using this data, I’ve built dozens of models showing actionable probabilities of better-than-expected and worse-than-expected outcomes.

    Miles Sanders

    Some of the highest-percentage anytime-TD bets come in high-scoring games. Makes sense, right?

    But there’s an added layer. A high-scoring game for a spread-the-ball offense is much different than a high-scoring game for, say, the 2022 Philadelphia Eagles. Jalen Hurts, Miles Sanders, and A.J. Brown have accounted for 31 of Philly’s 49 offensive touchdowns (63%).

    As long as nothing changes — injuries, depth chart, coach’s ire, etc. — then when it comes to top-heavy offenses, we can make bets with relative confidence.

    MORE: Early NFL Week 15 Predictions and Picks Against the Spread

    Sanders and the Eagles will face a Bears defense yielding a league-high 21 rushing scores, along with a sub-middling 4.7 yards per carry. While Philly’s clinched a playoff berth, they’ll face the Cowboys in Dallas next week. That likely will determine whether the Eagles clinch no worse than the No. 2 seed.

    So there are interesting scenarios at play. I believe Sanders will get his usual double-digit carries, and because Chicago probably will keep things close, Sanders should get a lion’s share of the RB goal-line work — where he’s scored seven times (inside the 5-yard line).

    Kenneth Gainwell

    That brings us to Kenneth Gainwell. On the assumption Philadelphia will have its eye on Dallas the following Saturday, they might get Gainwell more involved to help keep Sanders fresher for their crucial NFC East battle.

    Three of Gainwell’s four scores have come from the 4-yard line or closer. Don’t put too much stock in his single touch last weekend. He combined for 15 in his previous two outings and remains a key member of the supporting cast, and an invaluable fill-in when game script (or Sanders’ usage) necessitates more run for Gainwell.

    Zonovan Knight

    Let’s keep rolling with running backs. Zonovan Knight has officially supplanted Michael Carter as the Jets’ lead back for the rest of this season. He looked terrific against a tough Bills defense. Now he gets the Lions, who have surrendered the second-most rushing scores and 5.0 yards per carry.

    New York’s superb defense should enable Knight to get all the work he can handle, as I doubt Detroit will be able to break through better than Buffalo did. In fact, since Week 3, only one team (the Vikings) has scored more than 20 points on the Jets.

    Knight is a great bet to find the end zone in what could be an otherwise relatively low-scoring affair.

    Alvin Kamara

    Alvin Kamara has struggled beyond all comprehension, averaging only 3.0 yards per carry in his last six games. Coincidentally, the only week he’s scored this season was six games ago, when he tallied three touchdowns against the porous Raiders defense.

    While the 4-9 Saints are nearing the end of the road, they’re still in postseason contention in the anemic NFC South and have two prized playmakers: Kamara and Chris Olave.

    MORE: NFC South Playoff Picture

    I cannot envision a scenario where New Orleans pushes Kamara aside in a winnable matchup like this one. He’s still their starter. He’s still effective through the air. And against the subpar Falcons, he should get the opportunity to reach the end zone.

    Chris Olave

    Of course, we cannot leave out Olave. Atlanta’s pass defense has been overwhelmed for most of this season. They don’t have the personnel to stop Olave, whose mere three scores are more a function of his minimal usage inside the 10-yard line, where he’s earned only two targets.

    Inside the 10-yard line, 124 players have more than two targets. That’s right: 124.

    As always, I believe in the power of NFL adjustments. Olave has been grossly under-targeted in the highest-value situations. It makes little sense, since he’s actually tied for 33rd in red-zone targets.

    Inside the 10, teammates Michael Thomas (three), Taysom Hill (three), and Juwan Johnson (four) have more targets. Thomas is out for the year. Hill remains a gadget player. And despite his situational value, Johnson is a below-average pass-catching TE with a career reception rate below 60%.

    This is a huge game for the Saints and for Olave. I think we’ll see him used more inside the red zone, particularly, inside the 10. New Orleans can’t afford to settle for field goals in this must-win game.

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