If you enjoy making NFL bets on player touchdowns, and/or took our advice on Thursday and bet on KhaDarel Hodge to score (22-to-1 payout), then welcome to our Week 10 rundown of favorite anytime TD scorer predictions for Monday Night Football between the Philadelphia Eagles and Washington Commanders.
We’ve analyzed the game’s highest-probability scripts to assess the most likely outcomes, including which players are the best bets to reach the end zone. All prop bets are taken from DraftKings, FanDuel, or BetMGM.
MNF NFL Week 10 Anytime TD Scorer Predictions
The following NFL betting recommendations are based on proprietary PFN predictive analytics culled from decades of NFL historical data. Using this data, I’ve built dozens of models showing actionable probabilities of better-than-expected and worse-than-expected outcomes.
DeVonta Smith (+200) — FanDuel
I believe Philly will score 38+ points tonight. That adds up to at least four touchdowns (if Jake Elliott has a field day — pun intended) or at least five if the Eagles’ offense is clicking.
I’m also a fan of the squeaky-wheel theory. Because in practice, it’s fairly predictable, at least when it comes to great players in great systems.
DeVonta Smith is a great player in a great system. He’s been nearly invisible in four games. Yet, he has almost as much blowup potential as A.J. Brown. And in a contest that could/should see plenty of scoring, I’m banking on Jalen Hurts connecting with Smith 5+ times. That should translate into at least one touchdown.
A.J. Brown, (+115) — FanDuel
Self-explanatory. Brown has five touchdowns in his last three outings and 30 in his young career. What can be said? He has a knack for hitting paydirt. At slightly better than even odds, he’s worth a wager in a favorable matchup.
Dallas Goedert (+200) — FanDuel
Playing the percentages? Sure. But why can’t Dallas Goedert, Brown, and Smith all score tonight?
MORE: Top NFL DFS Picks for Monday Night Football
Again, if we’re headed toward a blowout, we should bet based on our perceived expected outcome. There’s a clear path for Hurts to throw 3+ touchdown passes. Goedert has a great shot at securing one of them.
Antonio Gibson (+270) — FanDuel
Philly’s biggest weakness on defense is against the run. While Antonio Gibson operates more effectively through the air, if Washington gets near the end zone, I’d be shocked if Taylor Heinicke tries to laser one into the Eagles’ defense, which has the most interceptions in the league.
Instead, we might anticipate a higher-probability dump-off to his top pass-catching back. Gibson’s playmaking abilities have never been in doubt. He has as good a chance as any Commander of scoring tonight.
Logan Thomas (+850) — FanDuel
Unlikely and realistic. How is that possible?
Well, the odds say it all. Logan Thomas probably won’t score in this one. He’s an often-injured TE who operates in a secondary, and sometimes tertiary, offensive role.
Yet, his last 11 TD receptions have come inside the red zone. Thomas hasn’t dropped a pass since 2020. He’s a big target, and Philly’s already given up three touchdown passes to tight ends.
So yes, it’s doable. Likely? No. But doable. And at +850 odds, it’s a solid bet.
Quez Watkins, (+850) — FanDuel
Never stop dreaming, baby.
Last week, I hyped Quez Watkins on this very website. He racked up the most yards he’s had since Week 2.
But B.J., he had only two catches for 25 yards.
Ah yes, good context. So I whiffed badly last week. Still, Watkins remains a TD waiting to happen. His nickname is Fast Batman because of his 4.35 speed, and perhaps because he recently outfitted his car with lasers.
Watkins might score only three times this season. But you know what? If we get +850 odds each time, we’ll come out on top in the end.