As we inch toward the new season, the ever-changing NFL landscape has player fantasy values constantly on the move. Whether you’re used to the dynasty platform or are still learning the rules, let’s dive into the latest dynasty value of Aaron Rodgers.
Aaron Rodgers’ Dynasty Outlook and Value
Aaron Rodgers is a surefire Hall of Famer and a top-10 quarterback of all time. He’s also one of the greatest fantasy quarterbacks ever, but the end is near.
Rodgers is 39 years old. Tom Brady may have played until age 45, but Rodgers won’t. At best, we’ve probably got two or three years left.
From the moment he became a starting quarterback in 2008, Rodgers was a perennial QB1. From 2008-2014, he finished as a top-three fantasy quarterback every season.
It looked like Rodgers was at the end of the road in 2019 when he averaged a career-worst 17.3 fantasy points per game. Instead, at 36, the Packers legend rebounded to post consecutive 20+ ppg seasons and win back-to-back MVPs.
MORE: Top Dynasty RB Trade Targets 2023
Then, in 2022, Rodgers was tasked with his toughest job yet. He was asked to maintain his level of dominance without Davante Adams and without any meaningful replacement, and, for perhaps the first time in his career, Rodgers was unable to live up to expectations.
Rodgers’ 14.8 ppg was good for an overall QB21 finish, and he averaged 217.4 passing yards per game, a career low by a very wide margin. Rodgers’ 26 to 12 touchdown-interception ratio was the worst of his career.
While retirement was undoubtedly on the table for Rodgers, I never really expected him to hang it up. Not yet. Not after last season. But what do fantasy managers do with an old quarterback who might simply be done?
Aaron Rodgers’ Fantasy Ranking
Rodgers is signed through the 2024 season, and I would be very surprised if he played beyond that. If we knew Rodgers was still elite, or even a viable fantasy starter, he would be far easier to evaluate despite his age and limited years remaining.
There were a couple of issues we needed to work through. With the trade to the Jets official, we now know where Rodgers will presumably finish his career.
While Rodgers is obviously not the guy he once was, the move to New York has to be viewed positively. The Jets give Rodgers more weapons and better weapons than he had in Green Bay. He’s got a budding elite WR1 in Garrett Wilson, his old buddy Allen Lazard at WR2, and a capable situational playmaker in Mecole Hardman at WR3. Add in an elite running back in Breece Hall and this Jets offense should be quite potent in 2023.
The question dynasty managers need to answer is what does Rodgers have left? It was already unlikely for Rodgers to bounce back from his apparent decline in his late 30s. Now, we’re asking him to recover from a season where he sure looked just about done in a year in which he will turn 40.
MORE: 2023 Dynasty Rookie Rankings
There is a clear shortage of quality quarterbacks in the NFL. Beyond the elite four fantasy QBs and another couple of trustworthy guys, we’re all grasping at straws, hoping to find Justin Fields in a bottle. I’m not about to bet on a near-40-year-old having a renaissance.
Rodgers obviously needs to be on fantasy rosters regardless of league size simply because of his name and prior performance. But he’s only useful for win-now teams, and I don’t think Rodgers is the guy to help you win now.
He’s currently ranked as our QB19 and No. 73 overall in our latest dynasty Superflex rankings. If you have him and he’s your QB1 (or QB in Superflex), you need to prioritize upgrading the position. I wouldn’t have any interest in Rodgers in dynasty startup drafts.