In Week 9 of the NFL season, we will get to watch the NFC North take on the NFC West as the Green Bay Packers battle the San Francisco 49ers at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, California. This Thursday Night Football matchup will feature two teams with significant injuries on both sides of the ball. However, there are some odds in the betting lines that are enticing. Can we find value in a game filled with backups and practice squad players? What are some of the Thursday Night Football betting trends we need to keep in mind as we consider the various betting lines and odds for this matchup?
[sv slug=betcontent]How to watch NFL Thursday Night Football game tonight in Week 9 | Start Time, TV Channel, and Live Stream
- Date: Thursday, November 5th
- NFL Thursday Night Football Start Time, Week 9: 8:20 PM ET
- Channel: NFL Network and FOX
Betting odds, lines, and trends for Week 9 | Green Bay Packers vs San Francisco 49ers
Let’s start by tacking a look specifically at the betting lines and odds for the Thursday Night Football matchup. The Packers are the clear favorites, laying seven points on the road. The total of the game has hovered around the 48 mark since the Thursday Night Football odds and lines were released.
Money line: Packers -323 (bet $323, win $100) | 49ers +260 (bet $100, win $260)
Against the spread/ATS: Packers -7 (-110) | 49ers +7 (-110)
Over/Under: 48.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Thursday Night Football Betting Trends | What to look for with the Packers
The Green Bay Packers began their season at 5-1, which included a 43-34 win over the Vikings in Week 1. They looked to be running away with the NFC North until a surprising home loss 28-22 to those same Vikings last week.
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The loss can’t be placed on the shoulders of the team’s star quarterback Aaron Rodgers. Rodgers had a solid showing as he threw for 291 yards with three TDs and no INTs. Those impressive numbers are simply added to what has been a great year already. Rodgers has thrown for 1948 yards with 20 TDs and only two INTs while leading an offense that is ninth in total yards, ninth in passing, ninth in rushing, and third in scoring, putting up 31.3 points per game.
What ultimately led to the Packers defeat last week was their run defense. Vikings running back Dalvin Cook put up insane numbers against Green Bay, accounting for 226 total yards and four total touchdowns at Lambeau Field. The run defense will be key if the Packers hope to bounce back against one of the most run-heavy teams in the NFL.
Thursday Night Football Betting Lines | What to look for with the 49ers
Last week, the 49ers fell at Seattle by a score of 37-27. The score seems close, but the game was never really in jeopardy for the Seahawks. What’s worse is that in the fourth quarter, 49ers QB Jimmy Garoppolo was hurt.
Garoppolo is added to a very long list of injured players for San Francisco. Heading into Thursday’s game, the 49ers will be without Garoppolo, George Kittle, Deebo Samuel, Raheem Mostert, Jeff Wilson, Weston Richburg, Ben Garland, Nick Bose, Ziggy Ansah, Dee Ford, Solomon Thomas, and Richard Sherman.
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It was already looking bleak, and then we learned today that the team will also need to play without WRs Kendrick Bourne and Brandon Aiyuk. They will also be without left tackle Trent Williams.
Due to injury and inconsistent play, the 49ers have not been great on offense, ranking 17th in passing, 11th in rushing, and 15th in scoring, putting up 26.0 points per game. Luckily for San Francisco, outside of last week and despite all of their injuries, they have been solid on defense, ranking sixth in total yards allowed, fourth against the pass, 10th against the run, and 10th in points allowed, giving up just 21.6 points per game.
Thursday Night Football Betting trends and odds to keep in mind before placing a wager
Packers 2020 betting trends
The Green Bay Packers are currently 5-2 against the spread. Green Bay’s games have also hit the over in four out of seven games this season (57.1%). Aaron Rodgers has garnered quite the reputation for himself off of a loss, with the Packers going 8-0 against the spread when the team losses the week before. The Packers are 3-2 against the spread when favored by at least three points.
49ers 2020 betting trends
The San Francisco 49ers are 4-4 to the over, against the spread, and overall on the season. The team has found some success against the Packers recently, going 3-0 against the spread, including a victory in last year’s playoffs. The 49ers have gone 6-2 straight up and 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight head-to-head meetings against the Packers.
Additional trends to keep in mind
The Packers have put an average of 31.3 points per game on the scoreboard this season, 9.7 more than the 21.6 the 49ers have surrendered in each contest.
The 49ers defense has allowed an average of 314.6 yards per game so far this season, 80 yards fewer than the 394.6-yard average from the Packers offense. On average, the Packers gain 6.2 yards per play and the 49ers allow 5.2.
This year, the 49ers turn the ball over 1.4 times per game, 0.8 more turnovers per game than the 0.6 the Packers force on average.
This season, Green Bay has a 4-0 record against the spread and a 4-0 record overall when it forces at least one turnover.
Thursday Night Football Betting | Packers vs 49ers NFL Picks and NFL Odds
This Thursday Night Football betting pick is easy for me. There is absolutely no way that I am willing to bet against Aaron Rodgers off of a loss. It doesn’t matter what the odds or betting lines are, he is 8-0 ATS after a loss. I am sure that Rodgers had circled this game when the schedule was released, salivating at the idea of being able to avenge their embarrassing loss to the 49ers in last year’s playoffs.
With all of the injuries to the San Francisco 49ers, backup Nick Mullens will be throwing to his WR1 Trent Taylor. That does not spell a potential route to success for me. What the 49ers will end up doing is running the ball as much as they can in hopes of finding the same kind of success Cook did last week. However, Week 8 was an anomaly. The Packers are actually decent against the run, ranking 15th in the NFL with 116 yards allowed per game.
The rushing attack of JaMycal Hasty and Jerick McKinnon does not scare me nearly enough to think that they will find any sort of success.
The Packers will come out early and look to put points on the board. Davante Adams has been playing on a completely different level than everyone else in the NFL, and there is a chance that Allen Lazard might even return in this game.
Yes, the Packers have their own depth issue right now. Running back Aaron Jones might miss another week with an injury, and both Jamaal Williams and AJ Dillon will be out. That leaves unknowns Tyler Ervin or Dexter Williams as the lead backs.