Kyle Busch’s 20th NASCAR season is under a microscope. Richard Childress Racing overhauled its roster this offseason, bringing in experienced executives like Keith Rodden and Richard Boswell while securing sponsorships such as Rebel Bourbon.
But optimism is clashing with reality. Busch’s 2024 Cup Series campaign marked his first winless season since his 2005 debut, with an 18.3 average finish—his worst in two decades.
Industry insiders are now questioning whether the two-time Cup champion can return to form. Their skepticism contrasts sharply with Busch’s continued dominance in the Craftsman Truck Series, where he continues adding to his already historic résumé.
Skepticism Shadows Kyle Busch’s 20th Season
Busch’s career includes 60 Cup wins, two championships, and a record 19-year streak of at least one victory per season. That streak ended in 2024, sparking debate about his longevity.
During a recent Performance Racing Network roundtable, analysts discussed his outlook for 2025.
“Black flag, I’m sorry. I don’t think so, but then again, I’ve been wrong before. I’m just giving it a black flag… I got no reason,” said eight-time Cup winner Kyle Petty when asked if Busch would win before the Coca-Cola 600.
PRN President Doug Rice echoed the sentiment, citing Busch’s age.
“I do want him to, despite what I have said begrudgingly about him in the past. I want him to win,” Rice said. “He could get one if they out-strategize people, or maybe he has another hot road course car, but no. Black flag. Can’t outrun the calendar.”
PRN’s Alexis Erickson added bluntly, “Can’t outrun his age!”
Busch’s 2025 Cup results have shown some promise. He secured two top-10 finishes in three races and nearly won at COTA before mechanical issues ended his chances. Still, critics argue these glimpses of success aren’t enough.
“There being guys that are at 17 (years) and one guy was at 18, and now one guy at 19,” Busch admitted, referencing the influx of younger competitors. “It’s hard to put that many good years together in a row. It’s difficult.”
The No. 8 team’s struggles highlight a larger trend—NASCAR’s evolving landscape favors youth. Rookies like Josh Berry and Carson Hocevar are gaining momentum, putting added pressure on veterans like Busch.
His comment, “I would have much rather it been a 25-year streak,” underscores the challenge he faces: adapt or fade.
Busch’s Truck Series Success Offers a Glimmer of Hope
While doubts surround his Cup career, Busch’s dominance in the Craftsman Truck Series remains undeniable.
On Feb. 23, 2025, he clinched his 67th Truck Series victory at Atlanta Motor Speedway, edging out Stewart Friesen by just 0.017 seconds. Leading 80 of 135 laps, Busch showcased the tactical brilliance that once defined his Cup success.
“Awesome run for this Spire Chevrolet,” he said post-race, crediting his team and sponsor Gainbridge. “I just made sure to keep battling back and got back to the front so I could control it the best I could.”
Busch’s 232 wins across NASCAR’s three national series, including 102 Xfinity victories, solidify his legacy. But even in Trucks, questions persist. Can success there translate back to the Cup Series?
Erickson offered a lone vote of confidence, but most analysts see the Truck Series as a consolation podium rather than a career resurgence.
While Busch continues to thrive in Trucks, his Cup efforts face unprecedented challenges. Sponsorship deals and simulator investments can only go so far in offsetting the physical toll of a 20-year career.
As Rice pointed out, out-strategizing competitors might win Busch a race, but staying competitive long-term is another challenge entirely.
For now, Busch remains defiant. His Atlanta win proved he still has what it takes, but with each passing race, the clock ticks louder. Whether he silences his critics or fades into history, his 20th season will be a defining chapter in an already legendary career.
