The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will face the Washington Commanders on Wild Card Weekend. Here’s the latest fantasy football news and advice to help you with your lineups this week and moving forward, especially regarding WR Mike Evans.
Is Mike Evans Playing vs. the Commanders?
Evans does not have an injury designation heading into the game this weekend. Barring any setbacks, he is on track to play vs. the Commanders.
We’ll continue to monitor the Buccaneers’ injury report. You can also visit and bookmark our NFL Injury Tracker and Fantasy News Tracker for the latest updates.
Should You Start or Sit Mike Evans on Wild Card Weekend?
It took some doing, but we got Mike Evans to his 1,000 yards last weekend, and he is very much trending in the right direction to make an impact in both Wild Card and postseason-long formats.
I find that players like this are the ones who swing those extended events. He’s a clear star, but with his team being involved in a coin-flip first game, there’s not the same level of excitement that a player like A.J. Brown generates, a similar player with a greater chance to advance.
Evans is the top-scoring PPR receiver since Week 13 who qualified for the playoffs, thanks in large part to earning 9.8 targets per game over that stretch. Based on his résumé, I see no reason to think that changes this week – 12.3% production over expectation for his playoff career with 25+ points in three of his past five postseason games.
If you want to get a little more specific in slicing the data, he’s thrived as a playoff favorite (23.5 PPG compared to 12.9 as an underdog) and that’s the situation he finds himself in this week.
Dragging down his DFS ownership number is the matchup with Marshon Lattimore. The two did battle on a twice-annual basis while Lattimore was with the New Orleans Saints, and the matchups have largely gone the way of the talented cornerback.
Evans’ career splits:
- Evans vs. Saints: 79 air yards per game with a 17.5% on-field target share
- Evans vs. the rest of the NFL: 125.8 air yards per game with a 24.3% on-field target share
Those numbers are enough to have me leery, but if I see a low enough ownership projection entering the weekend, I’d be willing to throw caution to the wind with a few lineups with the thought being that divisional games simply play differently. This version of Baker Mayfield is capable of keeping his WR1 fed, even in a difficult spot.
That said, I’m more likely to attack this game on the ground. I think the Bucs can control this game, and if that’s going to be the case, we should get a heavy dose of Bucky Irving. Personally, I like that angle with the Commanders passing attack rostered on the other end, though that plays into my projection for how this game will go.
If you like the Commanders, flipping my build on its head with a Mayfield-Evans-Brian Robinson core is plenty reasonable.
Are you looking for start/sit advice for other players in your lineup? Read our Wild Card Weekend Fantasy Start-Sit Advice Cheat Sheet for every fantasy-relevant player in every game.
Mike Evans’ Fantasy Points Projection on Wild Card Weekend
As of Sunday, Evans is projected to score 21.2 fantasy points in PPR formats. This includes 6.2 receptions for 89.9 yards and 1 touchdowns.
Check out the free PFN Fantasy Start-Sit Optimizer for the latest projections and advice for your lineups this week.
Mike Evans’ Fantasy Ranking
Our Weekly Consensus PPR Rankings are below — both positional and overall. They were last updated at 11:45 PM ET on Saturday, January 25.
Conference Championship WR PPR Rankings
1) A.J. Brown | PHI (vs. WAS)
2) Terry McLaurin | WAS (at PHI)
3) DeVonta Smith | PHI (vs. WAS)
4) Khalil Shakir | BUF (at KC)
5) Xavier Worthy | KC (vs. BUF)
6) Hollywood Brown | KC (vs. BUF)
7) DeAndre Hopkins | KC (vs. BUF)
8) Keon Coleman | BUF (at KC)
9) Dyami Brown | WAS (at PHI)
10) Mack Hollins | BUF (at KC)
11) Amari Cooper | BUF (at KC)
12) Curtis Samuel | BUF (at KC)
13) Olamide Zaccheaus | WAS (at PHI)
14) JuJu Smith-Schuster | KC (vs. BUF)
15) Jahan Dotson | PHI (vs. WAS)
16) Jamison Crowder | WAS (at PHI)
17) Luke McCaffrey | WAS (at PHI)
18) Justin Watson | KC (vs. BUF)
19) Johnny Wilson | PHI (vs. WAS)
20) Parris Campbell | PHI (vs. WAS)
21) Nikko Remigio | KC (vs. BUF)
22) Ainias Smith | PHI (vs. WAS)
