The New York Jets will face the Miami Dolphins in Week 18. Here’s the latest fantasy football news and advice to help you with your lineups this week and moving forward, especially regarding QB Aaron Rodgers.
Is Aaron Rodgers Playing in Week 18?
Rodgers is not listed on the injury report this week, so barring any setbacks, he is on track to play this weekend.
We’ll continue to monitor the Jets’ injury report. You can also visit and bookmark our NFL Injury Tracker and Fantasy News Tracker for the latest updates.
Should You Start or Sit Aaron Rodgers in Week 18?
Rodgers has had more downs than ups this season, but he has completed 17 of 21 play-action passes over the past two weeks (81%), and with the Dolphins giving up more yards per carry after contact than any other defense, it’s easy to envision a scenario where the play fake is weaponized this weekend.
Rodgers looked good in the first game against the ‘Fins (Week 14: 339 passing yards and a touchdown), and all signs seem to point to him finishing the season. This is a weird ranking week for the QB position, as I’ve prioritized Russell Wilson (vs. CIN) and Michael Penix Jr. while weighing team motivation in a significant way toward the bottom of my QB1 rankings.
That drops Rodgers outside of my top 12, even in a reasonable spot. The Jets looked like a mess last week, and there is no overlooking that potential for this week. The future Hall of Famer has just two finishes better than QB10 this season, and while it’s possible that he adds to that total if he continues to weigh down Davante Adams with targets, I’m not ranking it that way, opting for better matchups in big team spots.
Are you looking for start/sit advice for other players in your lineup? Read our Week 18 Fantasy Start-Sit Advice Cheat Sheet for every fantasy-relevant player in every game.
Aaron Rodgers’ Fantasy Points Projection in Week 18
As of Sunday, Rodgers is projected to score 14.7 fantasy points in Week 18. This includes 201.7 passing yards, 1.6 passing touchdowns, and 0.5 interceptions. It also includes 1.5 rushing attempts for 4.7 yards and 0.1 touchdowns.
Check out the free PFN Fantasy Start-Sit Optimizer for the latest projections and advice for your lineups this week.
PFN Insight on the Dolphins' Defense
The Dolphins crack the top 10 after a season-best 86.8 (B) grade against the woeful Browns offense. To Miami's credit, the defense has feasted on poor offenses this season, recording another top-five weekly finish after doing so in both games vs. the Patriots as well (to be fair, their other top-five finish was vs. the Rams).
The Dolphins had the best EPA per dropback of any defense in Week 17 and are up to eighth in that category on the year. That's especially impressive, considering that the pass rush has the fifth-lowest sack rate, a category in which most strong pass defenses excel.
Miami has made up for it with the second-best red-zone defense (46% TD rate allowed) and fifth-best third-down defense (35.5% conversion rate allowed). No other defense ranks in the top five in both categories this season.
Overall, this unit executes better situationally than on a down-to-down basis. But that's still resulted in a firmly above-average defense and gives the Dolphins a realistic shot at a third straight playoff appearance with help from the Chiefs in Week 18.
For more insight on all other team defenses, head to our PFN Defense+ Metric Analysis.
Aaron Rodgers’ Week 18 Fantasy Ranking
Our Weekly Consensus PPR Rankings are below — both positional and overall. They were last updated at 7:00 AM ET on Sunday, January 5. If you're in a Superflex league, make sure you check out our Week 18 Consensus Superflex Rankings.
Week 18 QB PPR Rankings
1) Lamar Jackson | BAL (vs. CLE)
2) Jayden Daniels | WAS (at DAL)
3) Baker Mayfield | TB (vs. NO)
4) Joe Burrow | CIN (at PIT)
5) Sam Darnold | MIN (at DET)
6) Jared Goff | DET (vs. MIN)
7) Jordan Love | GB (vs. CHI)
8) Bo Nix | DEN (vs. KC)
9) Kyler Murray | ARI (vs. SF)
10) Justin Herbert | LAC (at LV)
11) Drake Maye | NE (vs. BUF)
12) Bryce Young | CAR (at ATL)
13) Russell Wilson | PIT (vs. CIN)
14) Geno Smith | SEA (at LAR)
15) Caleb Williams | CHI (at GB)
16) Aaron Rodgers | NYJ (vs. MIA)
17) Joe Flacco | IND (vs. JAX)
18) Michael Penix Jr. | ATL (vs. CAR)
19) Mason Rudolph | TEN (vs. HOU)
20) Aidan O'Connell | LV (vs. LAC)
21) Mac Jones | JAX (at IND)
22) Tanner McKee | PHI (vs. NYG)
23) Kenny Pickett | PHI (vs. NYG)
24) Cooper Rush | DAL (vs. WAS)
25) C.J. Stroud | HOU (at TEN)
26) Drew Lock | NYG (at PHI)
27) Jimmy Garoppolo | LAR (vs. SEA)
28) Carson Wentz | KC (at DEN)
29) Davis Mills | HOU (at TEN)
30) Tyler Huntley | MIA (at NYJ)
31) Joshua Dobbs | SF (at ARI)
32) Spencer Rattler | NO (at TB)
33) Mitchell Trubisky | BUF (at NE)
34) Taylor Heinicke | LAC (at LV)
35) Bailey Zappe | KC (at DEN)
36) Dorian Thompson-Robinson | CLE (at BAL)
37) Sam Howell | SEA (at LAR)
38) Josh Allen | BUF (at NE)
Dolphins at Jets Trends and Insights
Miami Dolphins
Team: Miami has won six of eight after opening the season with six losses in their first eight.
QB: Tyler Huntley averaged 8.7 yards per pass and had one touchdown on 26 attempts against the Browns on Sunday – in his first 66 passes this season, he averaged 5.7 yards per pass and had one touchdown.
Offense: Miami has not turned the ball over in four of their past five games (3-1 record in those four games).
Defense: The Dolphins improved to 5-0 this season when allowing a score on no more than 30% of opponent drives.
Fantasy: De’Von Achane managers are signing up to be Tua Tagovailoa fans when they draft him. This season:
- Tagovailoa: 18.6% production over expectation, 1.2 points per touch, 24.1% on-field target.
- Tyler Huntley: 23.1% production under expectation, 0.5 points per touch, 11.5% on-field target.
Betting: Miami Has covered six of their past seven road divisional games (their last 3-0 ATS season in terms of road divisional games was 2019).
New York Jets
Team: The Jets lost by 26 to the Bills on Sunday and were fortunate that the final score was that close. The blowout came on the heels of their previous four losses, which were by a total of 22 points.
QB: Aaron Rodgers has had more downs than ups this season, but he has completed 17-of-21 play-action passes over the past two weeks (81%).
Offense: New York averaged 1.4 points per drive on Sunday and fell to 0-8 this season when they failed to clear 2.0 points per drive.
Defense: The defense hasn’t traveled this season—the Jets have allowed 3+ points per drive in five games this year, and they’ve all been on the road (Sunday at Buffalo: 3.5).
Fantasy: The only players with more targets than Davante Adams (102) since he debuted for the Jets are Ja’Marr Chase (119) and Malik Nabers (110).
Betting: Under tickets have cashed in five of New York’s past seven home divisional games.