Usually, we have one game on Monday nights — but tonight, we get two. Halle-two-yah! From a fantasy perspective, we like both games in terms of offensive output, and we’re seeing several players in the DraftKings player pool that are looking primed to pop.
Week 15 DFS Picks
- QB: Caleb Williams
- RB: Aaron Jones
- RB: Bijan Robinson
- WR: DJ Moore
- WR: Jakobi Meyers
- WR: Jordan Addison
- TE: T.J. Hockenson
- DEF: Falcons
DFS Strategy: Stacking Caleb Williams and DJ Moore
This is one of those times where I’m relying on the potential game script over player stats. Although Caleb Williams has actually been a pretty solid fantasy option this season, the Chicago Bears have had some lopsided games and ugly efforts, where Williams has been able to find value in garbage time. I think this could be one of those games.
In the last three weeks, Williams has thrown 2+ TDs in each of his games and has established a minimum rushing floor of 27 yards, topping 250 yards passing twice. One of those games was actually against Minnesota back in Week 12, and with the Vikings firing on all cylinders, we see an opportunity for Williams to put up some stats trying to stay in this game.
In that Week 12 matchup against the Vikings, DJ Moore caught seven passes for over 100 yards and a TD. Over the last four games, Moore has seen a minimum of seven targets each. This is the type of production that we like to see from the Bears’ top WR, and it gives me good confidence in his floor and optimism at a high ceiling if Minnesota jumps out early.
It’s Always Been Bijan
Even with the offense collapsing around him, Bijan Robinson has reached 20 touches in six of his past seven games and has scored four times over the past month. Last week, in what was eventually a 42-21 loss in Minnesota, the Falcons made it clear how they planned on competing — Robinson had six touches on the opening drive.
The Raiders are a middle-of-the-pack run defense in the NFL this season, and with Atlanta ranking seventh in rush rate over expectation, this could be an explosion spot for the former eighth overall pick. We haven’t seen an explosive touch from Robinson in three straight games — I think there’s a good chance that changes tonight in the midst of a top-five performance.
Targeting Target Share: Jakobi Meyers
In the fantasy world, consistency is key, and this Raiders offense has been about as concentrated as any in the NFL. That doesn’t lock in production, but it gives the featured options a chance, and Jakobi Meyers is a prime example of that.
Meyers has six top-30 PPR finishes this season, an impressive accomplishment all things considered. With Aidan O’Connell under center this season, Meyers has posted a 29.4% on-field target (2.6 yards per route). That’s a role I can justify playing against a Falcons defense that creates pressure at the second-lowest rate, thus allowing Vegas’ WR1 time to create separation.
Jonesin’ for Aaron Jones
Jones produced over expectations in consecutive games after going through five straight underachieving performances. Behind the impressive season from Sam Darnold, this Vikings offense ranks third in pass rate over expectation, and Jones has been able to pay that off with an 86% catch rate.
We already have proof of production against the Bears (25 touches for 129 yards and a score in Week 12). This offense hasn’t been shy about loading up their bell cow with work (five games with 20 touches and six games with four targets), and that is the driving force behind ranking him as a strong RB2 in this spot as a sizable favorite.
The fumble issues are not to be ignored (four fumbles in the three games before a strong showing last week against the Falcons), but as long as he can hold onto the rock, he’s a solid bet.
