Have the Baltimore Ravens been a disappointment this season? It’s tough to say.
On the one hand, the Ravens have won seven of their last nine games after starting the season 0-2. On the other hand, they’ve lost to the Browns and the Las Vegas Raiders and have one of the worst defenses in the NFL. So, it’s hard to get a good read on this team, even though they should be considered top contenders in the AFC.
But what are Baltimore’s chances of making the playoffs or winning the Super Bowl? Let’s look at all the scenarios in play.
Can the Ravens Make the Playoffs?
Ahead of their Week 12 road game against the Chargers, the Ravens are 7-4 and have a 96.8% chance to make the playoffs.
They have a 2.5% chance for the first seed, an 18.8% chance for the second seed, a 30.1% chance for the third seed, a 1.7% chance for the fourth seed, an 18.9% chance for the fifth seed, a 16.4% chance for the sixth seed, and an 8.4% chance for the seventh seed.
Can the Ravens Win the AFC North?
Here’s what the AFC North race looks like with one game left on the Week 12 slate.
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have a 46.5% chance to win the AFC North.
- The Baltimore Ravens have a 53.1% chance to win the AFC North.
- The Cincinnati Bengals have a 0.4% chance to win the AFC North.
- The Cleveland Browns have a <0.1% chance to win the AFC North.
Current AFC North Standings
- Pittsburgh Steelers (8-3)
- Baltimore Ravens (7-4)
- Cincinnati Bengals (4-7)
- Cleveland Browns (3-8)
Ravens’ Super Bowl Chances in Week 12
Can Baltimore win the Super Bowl? The PFN Playoff Predictor projects that the Ravens have a 7.2% chance to win it all.
Ravens’ Remaining Schedule
- Week 12: at Los Angeles Chargers
- Week 13: vs. Philadelphia Eagles
- Week 14: BYE
- Week 15: at New York Giants
- Week 16: vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
- Week 17: at Houston Texans
- Week 18: vs. Cleveland Browns
Chargers vs. Ravens Preview
From the PFN staff:
Monday Night Football brings The Harbaugh Bowl, the third iteration of a football family clash between head coach brothers John and Jim.
The only other times the Harbaughs have faced each other as NFL head coaches was in Super Bowl XLVII when John’s Ravens edged out Jim’s 49ers for a 34-31 victory, as well as a 2011 regular-season contest. While this week’s game doesn’t have quite as much on the line as a Super Bowl, Baltimore and Los Angeles are both trying to solidify their spots in the AFC playoff race.
Lamar Jackson is still in the midst of an outstanding campaign, even if Week 11 was a step back. He’s earned a perfect 100.0 grade in PFN’s QB+ system this season, the No. 1 mark for all quarterbacks dating back to 2019. The only other QBs to earn an A+ grade since 2019 were Aaron Rodgers and Patrick Mahomes in 2020 (Rodgers won MVP).
However, the Los Angeles Chargers — like the Steelers in Week 11 — represent another stiff defensive test. The Bolts have allowed just 14.5 points per game this season, No. 1 in the league. In Week 11, the Bengals became the first team to score more than 20 points against the Chargers all year.
Meanwhile, Justin Herbert is playing like a man possessed. The Jim Harbaugh magic has worked, and Herbert seems like an altogether different quarterback who’s more willing to rip throws than ever before. His average depth of target is up to a career-high 8.6 yards.
That’s a problem for a Baltimore secondary that cannot stop the pass. It’s not surprising that the Ravens allow the most passing yards per game since they’re usually winning. However, Baltimore also ranks second-worst in explosive pass rate and seventh-worst in pass-defense efficiency.
PFN Prediction: Chargers 28, Ravens 27