As we look ahead to Week 11 of the season, where do each of the 32 teams stand in our 2024 NFL offense rankings?
PFN’s offense rankings combine statistics such as yards per play, points per drive, turnover percentage, success rate against the run and pass, third-down conversion rate, red-zone efficiency, pressure percentage when not blitzing, and various expected points added (EPA) measures against both the run and pass. These are then weighted accordingly to produce our rankings for each season.
Each team will be given a numerical score that we convert to a traditional letter grade. While some teams may share a letter grade, the order below is presented in order. That is to say that not all “B’s” are exactly the same – those teams reside in the same tier, but the order in which they are listed serves as an indicator as to who sits atop that specific tier.
At the top of the board is the Baltimore Ravens, something that should be a surprise to no one. This team is third on the odds board in terms of Super Bowl odds, but when it comes to our offensive-oriented metrics, they are on a level all their own.
We run through nearly a dozen metrics, and the Ravens rank in the 85th percentile in all but one of the categories – they are functioning at an elite level, and they even have room to improve as the postseason nears.
All stats referenced in this article are from TruMedia unless stated otherwise.
1) Baltimore Ravens
- Grade: A+
The 7-3 Ravens are led by the MVP front-runner in Lamar Jackson and have looked much better after losses to open the season against the Chiefs and Raiders.
Baltimore leads the league in EPA per play and red-zone efficiency — not a surprise when you consider that they also have the leader in the house for Offensive Player of the Year honors.
Diontae Johnson has yet to work his way into the regular mix of this offense (one catch in two games following the trade from the Panthers). It stands to reason that the veteran receiver could take this team to another level with time, something that is hard to imagine given the numbers they’ve produced through 10 weeks.
2) Washington Commanders
- Grade: B+
The Hail Mary to beat the Bears will be one of the highlights of the season, but that fortunate play undershoots just how good this offense has been. Jayden Daniels is in the MVP conversation, and while the splash plays get the attention of TV shows, how about his ability to do the simple things at an elite level?
Through 10 weeks, Washington ranks second in turnover rate and fourth in third-down conversion percentage. The loss last week to the Steelers was a step back, but even in a down week, the Commanders scored 27 points against one of the best defenses in the league.
This isn’t a flash in the pan — this offense is here to stay for 2024 and for many years to come.
3) Arizona Cardinals
- Grade: B+
This franchise drafted Marvin Harrison Jr. in April with the intent to make this offense a powerhouse. While the rookie has had an up-and-down season, the balance of this unit is nothing short of elite. The biggest mover in these rankings from last week, the Cardinals rank in the 80th percentile in yards per play, points per drive, rush success rate, and third-down avoidance through 10 weeks.
This may not be the perfect team, but their offense gives them the ability to contend with anyone in the NFL, something that is evident by them rattling off four straight wins and now being labeled as the favorite to win the NFC West.
Don't make @K1 mad. Noted 📝 pic.twitter.com/ShB9bP07dp
— Arizona Cardinals (@AZCardinals) November 12, 2024
4) Detroit Lions
- Grade: B+
The favorites to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl have appeared unstoppable for the majority of the season, and it’s only getting better with time.
Behind David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs, this is the second-best rush offense in terms of EPA, something that was expected to some degree entering 2024. Jared Goff, despite the five-interception game on Sunday night, is having the best statistical year of his career, benefiting from the potent ground game.
Amon-Ra St. Brown is on the short list for best receivers in the game, and that elevates the floor of this offense. If Sam LaPorta can regain his 2023 form or Jameson Williams can develop, this offense has the potential to improve this ranking even further over the next month.
5) Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Grade: B+
The Bucs have lost four straight games, but their offense isn’t to blame for the struggles. Despite a rash of injuries, Baker Mayfield continues to band-aid together a young core to put points on the board (25.3 points per game during this skid).
For the season, Tampa Bay is the third-best unit in red-zone efficiency (scoring a touchdown on 68.4% of trips that reach the opponent’s 20-yard line) and second-best when it comes to converting third downs (50%, trailing only the unblemished Kansas City Chiefs).
Tampa Bay goes on bye this week and is expected to return from the off week with Mike Evans at their disposal. Bet against this offense at your own peril.
6) Buffalo Bills
- Grade: B
Josh Allen lost two of his primary weapons this offseason, and he hasn’t blinked even a little. This offense ranks third in both points per drive and EPA per play, impressive numbers by themselves, but even better when you consider that this team has yet to get much from Amari Cooper (wrist) and is operating around recent injuries to Keon Coleman and Dalton Kincaid as well.
James Cook (eight rushing touchdowns this season after pushing just four carries across the line in his first two seasons) and Ray Davis create a versatile backfield that gives this squad the type of versatility that defenses are having trouble handling. Allen has yet to truly embrace his aggressive running style that we’ve seen in the past. If he is saving that for the winter, it stands to reason that the best days are ahead for this offense.
7) Kansas City Chiefs
- Grade: B
The undefeated Chiefs are the target of more criticism than praise because they aren’t as explosive as our eyes want them to be, but championships aren’t won through highlight shows. The Andy Reid/Patrick Mahomes tandem has this offense picking up third downs at the highest rate in the league (52%) while ranking second in pass success rate.
The résumé looks great, and it’s clear that the best days are ahead. Isiah Pacheco is expected back later this month and while this team seems to be walking a thin line in terms of their perfect record, there is no denying that this offense has put together an impressive resume, one that looks more likely to progress than regress with time.
Three-peat? Sportsbooks have it labeled as the most likely outcome for the 2024 season as we sit here past the halfway mark.
8) San Francisco 49ers
- Grade: B-
Brock Purdy is leading the second-best yards per play offense, an incredible accomplishment given the injuries that he had to navigate in the first half of the season. Christian McCaffrey made his season debut in the Week 10 win and while the raw numbers weren’t overwhelming, he handled 19 touches and made a 30-yard catch on a wheel route that few backs in the NFL do.
He’s back and that has me thinking this grade is more symbolic of a floor moving forward than an expectation.
The 49ers were as efficient as any last season, and if they can get viable WR2 production in the absence of Brandon Aiyuk (Jauan Jennings and rookie Ricky Pearsall have looked good when given the opportunity), a return to that form is possible down the stretch.
9) Cincinnati Bengals
- Grade: B-
The Bengals dropped three straight games to open the season and gave away a Week 5 contest with the Ravens. But they’ve won three of five since and are to be labeled as a threat on any given Sunday thanks to their explosive talent on the offensive side of the ball, something we saw in Week 10 as they pushed the dominant Ravens to the brink.
Through 10 weeks, Cincinnati ranks fifth in pass success rate as Joe Burrow is pacing for a career-high touchdown total. He’s been nothing short of great despite a run game that hasn’t been very supportive (27th in success rate).
This team made an effort at the trade deadline to rectify that by acquiring Khalil Herbert and his 4.8 career yards per carry average. If this team can survive November, a late-season run could be in the cards — this offense can score 30 points on any defense in the NFL.
10) Atlanta Falcons
- Grade: B-
In Kirk Cousins’ first season with the franchise, the Falcons have established themselves as one of the better units in the league. Thus far, Atlanta leads the league in rush success rate and ranks seventh in EPA per dropback, versatility that makes them a real threat moving forward.
Bijan Robinson is a special talent and Drake London has proven to be a true alpha top target. The secondary pieces in Tyler Allgeier, Darnell Mooney, and Kyle Pitts give this unit upside to threaten the top five in our grading system, especially with a Raiders-Giants-Commanders-Panthers close to the season.
Everything that we wanted to be true about Cousins unlocking this roster has come to fruition.
11) Green Bay Packers
- Grade: C+
Jordan Love isn’t afraid to take a chance. While that creates some downside, this style of play has paid off more often than not up to this point in the season. The Packers are the fourth-best yards-per-play offense, a result of the potential that Love brings and a nice team debut from Josh Jacobs (4.8 yards per carry, up from 3.5 last season with the Raiders).
The 29th-ranked red-zone touchdown rate is dragging them outside of the top 10 and could end their season prematurely if not rectified. That said, they are coming off of their bye and a correcting of that flaw could elevate them in a significant way.
12) Minnesota Vikings
- Grade: C+
I’m old enough to remember when we thought that a Sam Darnold-led offense had no chance at producing average metrics, let alone threaten the top 10. The 7-2 Vikings haven’t been an elite unit since their Week 6 bye, but they remain an efficient group that can succeed at a well-above-average rate.
With T.J. Hockenson ramping up his activity, is it possible that this offense improves upon their strong marks in both red-zone efficiency (19th) and pass success rate (10th)? It’s certainly possible, especially with a relatively light schedule on tap over the next six weeks.
This team might not be as potent as what we saw early in the season, but this isn’t a New Orleans Saints situation where a cliff is coming.
13) Los Angeles Rams
- Grade: C
The Rams have had to navigate injuries to both of their star receivers and have done so in ways that were not expected this preseason.
This season, Kyren Williams has this offense ranking eighth in rush success rate, and the respect he demands from opposing defenses has allowed this team to own the 11th-lowest sack rate despite having a statue under center.
With both Puka Nacua and Cooper Kupp operating at full strength (60.8% of the Rams’ receiving yards in their Monday night loss to the Dolphins), this team has plenty of upward mobility as they look to challenge for the division title.
14) Philadelphia Eagles
- Grade: C
Can the Eagles peak at the perfect time instead of falling off a cliff? The highlight machine that is Saquon Barkley has opened up offensive versatility that simply didn’t exist last season and has this squad ranking fourth in rush EPA.
This team can produce against anyone, but if the offensive line remains a liability, the upside will be capped. Thus far, Philadelphia is the worst team in the league at preventing pressure when not blitzed, a flaw that could undo all the good they are capable of doing.
That said, with playmakers at every level, counting this offense out isn’t a wise move.
15) Seattle Seahawks
- Grade: C
The Seahawks opened the season with three straight wins, but they’ve dropped five of six since and are trending in the wrong direction. Geno Smith has this offense ranking eighth in pass success rate and is in a good spot with Jaxon Smith-Njigba seemingly in the midst of a Year 2 breakout.
Kenneth Walker III has been great at making the most of a bad situation — this team ranks 31st in rush success rate despite the talents of their lead back. There are talented playmakers all over the field when Seattle comes to town, but consistency has been an issue over the past month.
In the middle portion of these rankings, Seattle’s upside elevates them above the rest, even if the floor is a low one.
16) Jacksonville Jaguars
- Grade: C-
The Jaguars have underachieved at a high level this season, and their offense, while not prohibitive, hasn’t taken the step we had projected under Trevor Lawrence. Through nine weeks, this was the third-worst third-down unit in the league, and the inability to sustain drives is often tied to team success. Things didn’t get any better with Mac Jones taking over last week (10 first downs on 10 drives).
All is not doom-and-gloom, however. Jacksonville owns the ninth-best success rate on the ground behind their tandem of Tank Bigsby and Travis Etienne. The upside is limited for the remainder of this season with Christian Kirk out for the season and Lawrence’s status TBD, but there are some breadcrumbs being laid for a better finish in 2025.
17) New York Jets
- Grade: C-
We are ranking based on what has happened, and in 2024, Aaron Rodgers isn’t cutting it. The Jets haven’t scored 24 points since their Week 3 win over the Patriots, and you could argue that Week 10 was symbolic of rock bottom — they scored six points against a below-average Cardinals defense.
That said, this is the ninth-best third-down offense in the league, a ranking that easily could spike if the nonverbal communication of Rodgers and Davante Adams returns to form from their days in Green Bay.
That’s a big if.
18) Miami Dolphins
- Grade: C-
Tua Tagovailoa is back in the fold and has completed 77.7% of his passes since returning. That level of efficiency will result in their 27th ranking in points per drive trending up with time, especially given the play-calling tendencies.
No offense in the league allows pressure less often when not blitzed than the Dolphins, a scheme that allows Tagovailoa to get the ball in the hands of his playmakers. De’Von Achane has looked significantly better since the return of his QB1, but in terms of trying to project forward, the nagging wrist injury to Tyreek Hill is concerning for an offense that relies on him in a similar fashion in which the Golden State Warriors do Steph Curry.
I don’t think there’s much debate here: Miami is the most likely team in the middle third of these rankings to elevate in a significant way as we come down the stretch of the regular season.
19) New Orleans Saints
- Grade: C-
The Saints were tracking toward being the second coming of the Greatest Show on Turf through two weeks. Now, them ranking 19th feels awfully optimistic.
Alvin Kamara has overcome offensive line limitations and has this team ranking seventh in rush success rate. Will that sustain as the season wears on for a 29-year-old back with over 2,000 touches on his résumé?
Derek Carr is back to help this passing game, but he continues to lose receivers, making their 27th-ranked pass success rate more likely than not to stick the rest of the way unless you think that Marquez Valdes-Scantling is the answer like he was in Week 10.
20) Pittsburgh Steelers
- Grade: C-
We are three starts into the Russell Wilson era and the hope is that the veteran improves the 25th-ranked red-zone offense in the league. Najee Harris is running as hard as he has at any point in his career, something that gives this offense the potential to move into the top half of the league by season’s end if he can shake this ankle injury.
Pittsburgh does what Pittsburgh always does — they don’t beat themselves under Mike Tomlin. They added Mike Williams at the trade deadline in an effort to add upside to a unit that checks the basic boxes (12th in third-down rate and sixth in turnover percentage).
21) Indianapolis Colts
- Grade: C-
The Colts appear committed to Joe Flacco for the rest of 2024, though that decision didn’t bear much fruit in the Week 10 loss to the Bills (two interceptions on his first five passes, including a pick-six). This team is fourth-best at preventing pressure when not blitzed, and that gives a pocket-locked quarterback like Flacco the opportunity to thrive like he did last season in Cleveland on his way to a Comeback Player of the Year award.
(Editor’s Note: The Colts have gone back to Anthony Richardson as the starter, per Adam Schefter.)
There is no secret as to what has Indy ranking this low — the QB play has been a mess. Due to the struggles of Anthony Richardson, this offense ranks 29th in pass success rate and Flacco didn’t help that mark last week. The hope is that the shift under center and the health of Jonathan Taylor gives this team more potential than what we’ve seen up to this point.
Josh Downs looks the part of a legitimate WR1, giving this offense upward trajectory if they can get the QB situation figured out. I’m not buying more 2024 stock for this offense, but if 2025 shares are available, I’m interested.
22) Los Angeles Chargers
- Grade: D+
The Chargers are never going to grade out well for us because Jim Harbaugh doesn’t want them to, but he’s slowing opening things up, and it looks good on Justin Herbert
Their passing metrics have spiked a bit lately, but the design is a conservative one (lowest turnover rate) and figures to lean on their defense for as long as they are having success in doing so.
J.K. Dobbins lit up the fantasy football world during the first few weeks, but his efficiency has regressed to his career mean and has this team ranking 28th in rush success rate. Herbert is an above-average quarterback capable of moving this team up these rankings if he continues to be unleashed during the second half of this season.
This is an offense I’m intrigued by given the recent trends and will be tracking closely moving forward — their strong defense can put this offense in position to succeed.
23) Denver Broncos
- Grade: D+
Bo Nix is an exciting watch, but is that best when it comes to succeeding at a high level? The knock on Patrick Mahomes these days is that he leads a boring offense and — well, they never lose games.
Nix’s athleticism has this team posting the fourth-lowest sack rate, but that coin has two sides. As he looks to create, things can spiral out of control in a hurry, thus resulting in Denver ranking 24th in EPA per dropback.
Much like the Bears with Williams, I think there have been enough breadcrumbs laid thus far to give you long-term optimism, but the 2024 numbers aren’t likely to spike until this team gets consistent play under center. I was impressed with what I saw in Week 10 from Nix against the Chiefs (115.3 passer rating against one of the best units in the league), and if he can build on that, this unit will grade as an above-average one moving forward.
24) Houston Texans
- Grade: D+
The C.J. Stroud brand has quickly become a safe offense, and with the eighth-lowest turnover rate in the league, that much has remained. That said, since Nico Collins went on injured reserve, the Texans have seen their offensive rankings tank across the board.
For the season, they allow sacks at the sixth-highest rate, a flaw that caps their upside, especially with the receiver injuries that have limited the explosive nature of this offense. The hope is that Collins returns this week, and with Joe Mixon running hard, there certainly is hope that this team can rank in the top half of the league when all is said and done. But there is no denying that this has been a disappointing first half of the 2024 season.
C.J. STROUD 67-YARD DIME TO NICO COLLINS 🎯
📺: @NFLonCBS pic.twitter.com/QwShMEO3ut
— Houston Texans (@HoustonTexans) October 6, 2024
25) Dallas Cowboys
- Grade: D
Dak Prescott will miss the rest of the season with a hamstring injury suffered in Week 9, all but ending a forgettable season. While that is a significant loss, this offense has been struggling with their starting QB. Through nine weeks, Dallas ranked 27th in pass success rate and 31st in red-zone touchdown rate, metrics that seem unlikely to improve as this season progresses under the lead of Cooper Rush.
CeeDee Lamb is special, but the lack of offensive balance has undone this unit. The Cowboys haven’t been able to pick up yards on the ground this season, and the lack of a secondary pass catcher to the degree that they went out and acquired Jonathan Mingo at the deadline is a problem.
26) Carolina Panthers
- Grade: D
The Panthers are struggling across the board, and they will have to make a long-term decision on Bryce Young. He’s looked a little bit better by our QB+ metrics since returning to the starting lineup, but the overall numbers suggest that this franchise is a long way away from fielding a competitive team.
Through 10 weeks, Carolina ranks 28th on third-down conversion rate and 31st in EPA per dropback. I like the trio of young pass catchers on this offense, and Jonathon Brooks, poised to make his NFL debut, is promising. The cupboard isn’t bare, but they need to figure out how to cook properly with what they have in-house over the second half of the season.
27) Tennessee Titans
- Grade: D
The Titans lack direction right now, and until that is rectified, there isn’t much upward mobility here. Will Levis returned from a shoulder injury in Week 10 and showed well for himself, but he hasn’t shown the type of development to date that we entered 2024 hoping for. Their trading away of DeAndre Hopkins is a clear sign that they are waiving the white flag in terms of short-term development.
Do we trust this team to take the proper steps moving forward? Only time will tell on that front. But as far as 2024 is concerned, Tennessee ranks 30th in EPA per play and turnover rate, deficiencies that need to be addressed if this team wants to trend out of the cellar of the league.
28) Chicago Bears
- Grade: D
I think we’ve seen enough from Caleb Williams to say that he is likely the QB of the future for this franchise, but not all growth is linear. It’s certainly been a bumpy ride.
There have been moments, but the second-worst third-down offense is never going to grade well for us or have success at a high level. That flaw likely improves with time moving forward as their rookie signal-caller adjusts to the speed of the pro game, but it’s been prohibitive up to this point.
On the bright side, this is already an elite red-zone offense (eighth-best), not typically a calling card for an offense with this many moving pieces. The current grade isn’t strong, but Chicago is playing for the future, and there are some pieces in place that I think are here to stay.
29) Las Vegas Raiders
- Grade: D
Without promise at the quarterback position, you’re drawing dead in the NFL these days, and the Raiders are as good an example of that as anyone. Las Vegas ranks dead last in both turnover rate and rush success rate — defenses have no reason not to be aggressive against them, especially following the Davante Adams trade.
This offense doesn’t have a calling card, and that makes moving much higher than this in these rankings any time soon unlikely. Raiders fans would be wise to get a jump start on scouting the incoming QB class.
30) New York Giants
- Grade: D-
This team has a Daniel Jones problem, and situations like that are common for the bottom-feeders in this grading system year over year. Their starting quarterbacks show flashes of competence just often enough to make the franchise think they might have something. But we aim to take a step back and look at the larger picture — a picture that hasn’t looked good for years now.
This season, the Giants are the second-worst offense in terms of points per drive, thanks in large part to the lowest red-zone touchdown rate in the league (42.8%, league average: 57%). Malik Nabers certainly looks like a special player at a position that is growing in value across the NFL, but without consistent quarterback play, this offense is going to be relegated to the bottom five in our rankings for the foreseeable future.
31) New England Patriots
- Grade: F
The Patriots are a unique case. Their 2024 numbers are a hot mess (29th in EPA per play and 30th in yards per play), but their willingness to admit as much and commit this season to developing Drake Maye is something that this fan base can get excited about.
The rookie has taken his lumps thus far, but he has also shown promise by way of his athleticism and processing speed. Maye is far from a finished product, and there will likely be more downs than ups over the next two months. But New England is making it clear that they are willing to lose the battle that is 2024 with the hope of winning the war that is the next handful of years.
Of the teams toward the bottom of our rankings, this is the one with the most upward mobility over the next 12 months. Given that winning big in 2024 was never in the cards for this team, that trajectory makes this season a success, even given this disaster of a grade.
32) Cleveland Browns
- Grade: F
It’s a shame that the American grading system can’t go lower than an “F.” The Browns are in a tier unto themselves when it comes to their grade this season.
Consider this: the distance that separates them from the failing Patriots is, by percentage, greater than the difference between the Chiefs (fifth-best grade) and the Rams (13th). It’s almost difficult to describe how poor this profile is. While Jameis Winston is a fun watch, he’s far from a stabilizing force for an offense that currently ranks dead last in yards per play, EPA, and points per drive.
I just ran through the optimistic outlook for the Patriots — the Browns couldn’t be more different. They are unsure of how to fix the quarterback position, the receiving corps is limited, and the running game hinges on the superhuman healing abilities of Nick Chubb.
There was some hope this offseason that this could be a league-average unit; that hope is gone for 2024, and I’m not sure what changes to keep me from writing a similar profile this time next season.