The Philadelphia Eagles (-7, 43) will travel to take on the Dallas Cowboys in Week 10. Below is our final pick and prediction for the game.
Below are our final picks for the game, which include contributions from Chief Content Officer David Bearman, Analyst Kyle Soppe, and/or Analyst Jason Katz.
Note that all odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are current as of Nov. 7, 2024. Stats are from TruMedia unless stated otherwise. If you’re looking for other games, check out our final NFL Week 10 Picks and Predictions for the entire slate.
Pick: Cooper Rush Under 21.5 Completions
(Jason Katz) Rush has been with the Cowboys for seven of his eight years in the NFL. Over that span, he’s made six starts. Do you know how many times he’s completed more than 21 passes? Once. In his first career start back in 2021.
Rush started five consecutive games in the 2022 season after Dak Prescott injured his hand in Week 1. The Cowboys won four of those games. Rush averaged 16.6 completions per game, with 21 as his max.
With a career completion percentage of 60% against an Eagles pass defense allowing the seventh-fewest passing yards per game this season, this is a bad spot for Rush. Combine that with a banged-up CeeDee Lamb and subpar ancillary pieces, a recipe for disaster for the Cowboys offense.
Pick: Cowboys +7
(Kyle Soppe) The Cowboys are a very public team, and that works in both directions. With morale awfully low in Big D, fading them is the direction I expect the public to land.
I’ll be different. All the Cowboys have done is cover 16 of their past 19 (84.2%) home games against divisional opponents. Is this situation a little different? Yeah, but I’m not sure the possession count allows the Eagles to cover this number.
In Weeks 1-4, Philadelphia was operating with pace (sixth fastest offense), but since then, they rank fourth slowest, seeing their time of possession per play increase by 9.9%.
Combine a conservative game plan on the other side with Rush calling the shots, and I think we get a bit of a slog – that’s a game script that plays favorably when catching a full touchdown.
Eagles vs. Cowboys Week 10 Promo Codes
Be sure to check out all the latest Sportsbooks promos. If you are already signed up with a book or aren’t interested, continue to scroll down for our picks.
Note that sportsbook promo codes will only appear if you are in a legalized area. If you’re in a location that has not legalized sports betting, you’ll see a list of top fantasy sports operators, which are available in most states.
Eagles vs. Cowboys Game Stats and Insights
Philadelphia Eagles
Team: The Eagles are averaging 4.63 plays of 20-plus yards per game this season, the fourth most in the league, just ahead of the Commanders (4.56). The Cowboys rank 22nd at 3.13 per game.
QB: The ball hit the ground on three of four Jalen Hurts third-down passes in the Week 7 win against the Giants – he’s completed 12-of-14 third-down passes since.
Offense: The Eagles run the ball 73.6% of the time in the red zone, which is easily the highest rate in the league and a drastic bump from their already high 63.8% rate that they posted a season ago. Philadelphia is pacing to increase their red zone rush rate for a fourth straight season.
Defense: Through nine weeks, Philadelphia is allowing the third-fewest yards per game (290.1).
Fantasy: Saquon Barkley has reached 110 yards from scrimmage in seven of eight games and twice this season (including Week 9) has he had a 20-plus yard rush AND reception.
Betting: Philadelphia’s last three divisional road games haven’t landed anywhere near the close spread – all have finished more than 16 points off of the script presented by sportsbooks.
Dallas Cowboys
Team: The Cowboys are averaging just 0.13 runs of 20-plus yards this season, easily the lowest mark in the league (only three other teams even sit below 0.38 per game).
QB: Over his past five games against the Eagles, Dak Prescott has thrown 16 touchdown passes and is averaging 305 yards through the air per game.
Offense: Dallas has the second-worst turnover differential in the NFL (-1.38; only the Raiders have been worse).
Defense: By total defensive EPA, only the Jaguars and Panthers grade out worse this season than the Cowboys. On a per-game basis, Dallas is pacing toward its worst defensive season (by EPA) since 2013.
Fantasy: Jake Ferguson and Brock Bowers lead the position in games with six-plus receptions this season (five).
Betting: The Cowboys are 16-3 ATS (84.2%) in their past 19 home divisional games (four straight covers).