Entering the 2024 NFL season, all eyes were on the Chicago Bears to see if this team could make some noise. They drafted No. 1 overall pick Caleb Williams and No. 9 overall pick Rome Odunze, acquired veteran weapons like Keenan Allen and D’Andre Swift, and brought back key pieces like DJ Moore, Jaylon Johnson, Montez Sweat, T.J. Edwards, and Cole Kmet.
Now, over halfway through the season, and with another loss in Week 11 to the Packers, do the 4-6 Bears still have a shot at making the playoffs?
Can the Bears Make the Playoffs?
After all the action in Week 11, the Chicago Bears are 4-6 and now have a 0.6% chance to make the playoffs.
They have a 0.0% chance for the 1 seed, a 0.0% chance for the second seed, a 0.0% chance for the third seed, a 0.0% chance for the fourth seed, a 0.0% chance for the fifth seed, a 0.1% chance for the sixth seed, and a 0.5% chance for the seventh seed.
Can the Bears Win the NFC North?
Here’s what the NFC North race looks like after all the Sunday action in Week 11:
- The Detroit Lions have a 67.2% chance to win the NFC North.
- The Minnesota Vikings have a 27.5% chance to win the NFC North.
- The Green Bay Packers have a 5.4% chance to win the NFC North.
- The Chicago Bears have a 0.0% chance to win the NFC North.
Current NFC North Standings
- Detroit Lions (9-1)
- Minnesota Vikings (8-2)
- Green Bay Packers (7-3)
- Chicago Bears (4-6)
Bears’ Super Bowl Chances After Week 11
Can the Bears win the Super Bowl? The PFN Playoff Predictor projects that Chicago has a 0.0% chance to win it all.
Bears’ Remaining Schedule
- Week 12: vs. Minnesota Vikings
- Week 13: at Detroit Lions
- Week 14: at San Francisco 49ers
- Week 15: at Minnesota Vikings
- Week 16: vs. Detroit Lions
- Week 17: vs. Seattle Seahawks
- Week 18: at Green Bay Packers
What PFN Predicted for the Packers vs. Bears Matchup
Chicago is reeling from three straight losses, including a home loss in Week 10 to New England, which resulted in the firing of offensive coordinator Shane Waldron. Now they face a Packers team getting healthy off the bye.
The Bears are on an active streak of 23 straight drives without a touchdown, a miserable streak even by Chicago’s offensively challenged standards. Over the past 20 seasons, that’s tied for the Bears’ second-longest streak of drives without a touchdown.
Williams is down to 30th in EPA per dropback (-0.13) despite improving that figure in each of his first six career games. Williams has particularly struggled when pressured, posting the third-worst EPA per dropback (-0.61) when pressured. That’s concerning considering that he’s been pressured at the second-highest rate (46.3%) since Week 7, behind only C.J. Stroud.
As for the other quarterback, Packers quarterback Jordan Love has labored to recover from a Week 1 knee injury that caused him to miss the next two games. Love has the second-highest interception rate in the league, trailing only Will Levis. He’ll now face a Chicago defense that ranks first in EPA per dropback.
This is also a matchup between two of the best teams in turnover margin, which plays a significant role in every game. Chicago is tied for the fourth-best turnover margin (+8), while Green Bay is tied for seventh-best (+6).
Green Bay is currently listed as a six-point favorite and the total for the game sits at 41.0.
PFN Prediction: Packers 23, Bears 16