The New York Jets have made a number of aggressive moves — from blockbuster trades for Aaron Rodgers, Davante Adams, and Haason Reddick to firing head coach Robert Saleh after the team’s 2-3 start — so missing the playoffs would be a major disappointment.
After their Week 11 loss to the Colts, can the Jets still earn a postseason berth or is that a long shot?
Can the Jets Make the Playoffs?
After all the action in Week 11, the New York Jets are 3-8 and now have a 3.3% chance to make the playoffs.
They have a 0.0% chance for the 1 seed, a 0.0% chance for the second seed, a 0.0% chance for the third seed, a 0.1% chance for the fourth seed, a 0.2% chance for the fifth seed, a 0.8% chance for the sixth seed, and a 2.2% chance for the seventh seed.
Can the Jets Win the AFC East?
Here’s what the AFC East race looks like after all the Sunday action in Week 11:
- The Buffalo Bills have a 98.8% chance to win the AFC East.
- The Miami Dolphins have a 1.1% chance to win the AFC East.
- The New England Patriots have a 0.0% chance to win the AFC East.
- The New York Jets have a 0.1% chance to win the AFC East.
Current AFC East Standings
- Buffalo Bills (9-2)
- Miami Dolphins (4-6)
- New York Jets (3-8)
- New England Patriots (3-8)
Jets’ Super Bowl Chances After Week 11
Can the Jets win the Super Bowl? The PFN Playoff Predictor projects that New York has a 0.0% chance to win it all.
Jets’ Remaining Schedule
- Week 12: BYE
- Week 13: vs. Seattle Seahawks
- Week 14: at Miami Dolphins
- Week 15: at Jacksonville Jaguars
- Week 16: vs. Los Angeles Rams
- Week 17: at Buffalo Bills
- Week 18: vs. Miami Dolphins
What PFN Predicted for Jets vs. Colts
The Jets posted a season-saving win over the Houston Texans in Week 9, but their momentum was halted in Week 10 with a loss to the Arizona Cardinals. Now, they’ll look to take down a Colts team that is once again dealing with a starting quarterback change.
When the Jets acquired Adams in a blockbuster trade with the Las Vegas Raiders, everyone expected Rodgers and Adams to pick up right where they left off with the Green Bay Packers. However, that hasn’t been the case.
While Adams has been targeted a ton since joining the Jets — 39 times in four weeks, the fourth-most of any WR over that span — he’s averaging just 51.5 yards and 0.25 touchdowns per game thus far.
Perhaps this will be Adams’ breakout game, as the Colts are allowing the sixth-most passing yards per game (238.4). Meanwhile, the Jets’ other splashy acquisition, Reddick, has recorded just 0.5 sacks and three total tackles in the three games since he ended his holdout.
The Colts are once again starting Anthony Richardson, just two weeks after he was benched for veteran Joe Flacco. Initially, Colts head coach Shane Steichen committed to Flacco for the duration of the season, but after the veteran QB struggled in back-to-back weeks, Richardson will return under center.
Entering Week 10, Flacco threw just two interceptions on his 135 pass attempts. Then, against the Bills last Sunday, two of his first five passes were picked off (including a pick-six), and he finished the game with three picks and four sacks. Now, all eyes will be on Richardson to see if he can realize the immense potential that got him drafted No. 4 overall in the 2023 NFL Draft.
Before being benched, Richardson completed just 44% of his passes and ranked 27th among 32 qualifying QBs in EPA (expected points added) per dropback. In Weeks 7 and 8, he completed just 20 of 56 attempts (36%). Since 2000, only four other quarterbacks have completed 36% or fewer of their passes across a two-game stretch. Richardson was the first to do it since 2009.
Richardson has an F grade in PFN’s QB+ metric, behind only Deshaun Watson and Bryce Young this season. Richardson is on pace for the seventh-lowest score in PFN’s database, which dates back to 2019.
PFN Prediction: Jets 17, Colts 14