As we look ahead to Week 10 of the season, where do each of the 32 teams stand in our 2024 NFL offense rankings?
PFN’s offense rankings combine statistics such as yards per play, points per drive, turnover percentage, success rate against the run and pass, third-down conversion rate, red-zone efficiency, pressure percentage when not blitzing, and various expected points added (EPA) measures against both the run and pass. These are then weighted accordingly to produce our rankings for each season.
Each team will be given a numerical score that we convert to a traditional letter grade. While some teams may share a letter grade, the order below is presented in order. That is to say that not all “B’s” are exactly the same – those teams reside in the same tier, but the order in which they are listed serves as an indicator as to who sits atop that specific tier.
At the top of the board is the Baltimore Ravens, something that should be a surprise to no one. This team is third on the odds board in terms of Super Bowl odds, but when it comes to our offensive-oriented metrics, they are on a level all their own.
We run through nearly a dozen metrics, and the Ravens rank in the 85th percentile in all but one of the categories – they are functioning at an elite level, and they even have room to improve as the postseason nears.
All stats referenced in this article are from TruMedia unless stated otherwise.
1) Baltimore Ravens
- Grade: A+
The 6-3 Ravens are led by the MVP front-runner in Lamar Jackson and have looked much better after losses to open the season against the Chiefs and Raiders.
Baltimore leads the league in EPA per play and red-zone efficiency — not a surprise when you consider that they also have the leader in the house for Offensive Player of the Year honors.
There is no bad way to describe what it is that Derrick Henry has done for the @Ravens thus far: pic.twitter.com/7GjLhTCaDu
— Kyle Soppe (@KyleSoppePFN) November 5, 2024
Diontae Johnson has yet to work his way into the regular mix of this offense. It stands to reason that the veteran receiver could take this team to another level, something that is hard to imagine given the numbers they’ve produced through nine weeks.
2) Washington Commanders
- Grade: A-
The Hail Mary to beat the Bears will be one of the highlights of the season, but that fortunate play undershoots just how good this offense has been. Jayden Daniels is in the MVP conversation, and while the splash plays get the attention of TV shows, how about his ability to do the simple things at an elite level?
Through nine weeks, Washington ranks second in turnover rate and fourth in third-down conversion percentage. This isn’t a flash in the pan — this offense is here to stay for 2024 and for many years to come.
3) Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Grade: B+
The Bucs have lost three straight games, but their offense isn’t to blame for the struggles. Despite a rash of injuries, Baker Mayfield continues to band-aid together a young core to put points on the board (27 points per game during this skid).
For the season, Tampa Bay is the second-best unit in red zone efficiency (scoring a touchdown on 70.6% of trips that reach the opponent’s 20-yard line) and third-down conversion rate (51.8%, trailing only the unblemished Kansas City Chiefs).
Will this team continue to produce at this level for the second half of the season? Only time will tell, but through nine weeks, this profile is as impressive as it gets.
4) Detroit Lions
- Grade: B+
The favorites to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl have appeared unstoppable for the majority of the season, and it’s only getting better with time.
Behind David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs, this is the second-best rush offense in terms of EPA, something that was expected to some degree entering 2024. Jared Goff, however, is playing like an MVP candidate who could lead this torched fanbase to the promised land.
Detroit’s signal-caller is on a career pace in completion percentage (74.9%) and yards per attempt (8.7), landing this pass game as third-best in the NFL when it comes to success rate. The Lions have won six straight games and, based on look-ahead betting lines, could win upwards of 15 games this regular season.
5) Buffalo Bills
- Grade: B
Josh Allen lost two of his primary weapons this offseason, and he hasn’t blinked even a little. This offense ranks third in both points per drive and EPA per dropback, impressive numbers by themselves, but even better when you consider that this team has yet to get much from Amari Cooper (wrist).
James Cook and Ray Davis create a versatile backfield that gives this squad the type of versatility that defenses are having trouble handling. Allen has yet to truly embrace his aggressive running style that we’ve seen in the past. If he is saving that for the winter, it stands to reason that the best days are ahead for this offense.
6) Kansas City Chiefs
- Grade: B
The undefeated Chiefs are the target of more criticism than praise because they aren’t as explosive as our eyes want them to be, but championships aren’t won through highlight shows. The Andy Reid/Patrick Mahomes tandem has this offense picking up third downs at the highest rate in the league (53.2%) while ranking second in pass success rate.
The résumé looks great, and it’s clear that the best days are ahead. Isiah Pacheco is expected back later this month, and if Week 9’s win over the Buccaneers was a sign of things to come, the acquisition of DeAndre Hopkins could alter the course of history.
Three-peat? Sportsbooks have it labeled as the most likely outcome for the 2024 season as we sit here at the halfway mark.
7) Arizona Cardinals
- Grade: B-
This franchise drafted Marvin Harrison Jr. in April. With that pick came plenty of offensive expectations. While the rookie star has yet to establish consistency, this offense has been all sorts of productive, rattling off three straight wins (57 points scored over the past two weeks).
Arizona is giving Kyler Murray time to operate (fifth in pressure rate allowed when not blitzed this season), and James Conner has yet to lose a step, landing this run game as the eighth-best in terms of success rate.
This may not be the perfect team, but their offense gives them the ability to contend with anyone in the NFL.
8) Cincinnati Bengals
- Grade: B-
The Bengals dropped three straight games to open the season and gave away a Week 5 contest with the Ravens, but they’ve won three of four since and are to be labeled as a threat on any given Sunday thanks to their explosive talent on the offensive side of the ball.
Through nine weeks, Cincinnati ranks fourth in pass success rate as Joe Burrow is pacing for a career-high touchdown total. He’s been nothing short of great despite a run game that hasn’t been very supportive (27th in success rate).
This team made an effort at Tuesday’s trade deadline to rectify that by acquiring Khalil Herbert and his 4.8 career yards per carry average. If this team can survive November, a late-season run is in the cards – this offense can score 30 points on any defense in the NFL.
9) Atlanta Falcons
- Grade: B-
In Kirk Cousins’ first season with the franchise, the Falcons have established themselves as one of the better units in the league. Thus far, Atlanta ranks third in rush success rate and sixth in EPA per dropback, versatility that makes them a real threat moving forward.
Bijan Robinson is a special talent and Drake London has proven to be a true alpha top target. The secondary pieces in Tyler Allgeier, Darnell Mooney, and Kyle Pitts give this unit upside to threaten the top five in our grading system, especially with a Raiders-Giants-Commanders-Panthers close to the season.
10) San Francisco 49ers
- Grade: B-
Absence makes the heart grow fonder. The 49ers are coming off their bye, and sometimes, we forget just how potent this team is.
Brock Purdy is leading the second-best yards per play offense, an incredible accomplishment given the injuries that he’s had to navigate in the first half of the season. Christian McCaffrey is expected back this weekend, giving San Francisco fans every reason to think their current ranking in points per drive (eighth) is likely to improve as the weather flips.
This team was as efficient as any last season, and if they can get viable WR2 production in the absence of Brandon Aiyuk, a return to that form is possible down the stretch.
11) Green Bay Packers
- Grade: C+
Jordan Love isn’t afraid to take a chance. While that creates some downside, this style of play has paid off more often than not up to this point in the season. The Packers are the fourth-best yards per play offense, a result of the potential that Love brings and a nice team debut from Josh Jacobs (4.8 yards per carry, up from 3.5 last season with the Raiders).
The 29th-ranked red-zone touchdown rate is dragging them outside of the top 10 and could end their season prematurely if not rectified.
12) Minnesota Vikings
- Grade: C+
I’m old enough to remember when we thought that a Sam Darnold-led offense had no chance at producing average metrics, let alone threaten the top 10. The 6-2 Vikings got back on track over the weekend with a win courtesy of an efficient effort from their QB (82.4% complete), and they seem poised to be a threat for the long run.
With T.J. Hockenson ramping up his activity, is it possible that this offense improves upon their strong marks in both red-zone efficiency (seventh) and pass success rate (ninth)? It’s certainly possible, especially with a relatively light schedule on tap over the next seven weeks.
13) Los Angeles Rams
- Grade: C
The Rams have had to navigate injuries to both of their star receivers and have done so in ways that were not expected this preseason.
This season, Kyren Williams has this offense ranking ninth in rush success rate, and the respect he demands from opposing defenses has allowed this team to own the ninth-lowest sack rate despite having a statue under center.
With both Puka Nacua and Cooper Kupp operating at full strength, this team has plenty of upward mobility as they look to challenge for the division title.
14) Philadelphia Eagles
- Grade: C
Can the Eagles peak at the perfect time instead of falling off a cliff? The highlight machine that is Saquon Barkley has opened up offensive versatility that simply didn’t exist last season and has this squad ranking fourth in rush EPA.
This team can produce against anyone, but if the offensive line remains a liability, the upside will be capped. Thus far, Philadelphia is the worst team in the league at preventing pressure when not blitzed, a flaw that could undo all the good they are capable of doing.
15) Jacksonville Jaguars
- Grade: C
The Jaguars have underachieved at a high level this season, and their offense, while not prohibitive, hasn’t taken the step we had projected under Trevor Lawrence. Through nine weeks, this is the third-worst third-down unit in the league, and the inability to sustain drives is often tied to team success.
All is not doom-and-gloom, however. Tank Bigsby has taken over the lead role in this backfield and has Jacksonville ranked eighth in rush EPA, a level of offensive balance that creates interesting upside as this pass game looks to develop with rookie Brian Thomas Jr.
16) Seattle Seahawks
- Grade: C-
The Seahawks opened the season with three straight wins, but they’ve dropped five of six since and are trending in the wrong direction. Geno Smith has this offense ranking eighth in pass success rate and is in a good spot with Jaxon Smith-Njigba seemingly in the midst of a Year 2 breakout.
Kenneth Walker III has been great at making the most of a bad situation — this team ranks 31st in rush success rate despite the talents of their lead back. There are talented playmakers all over the field when Seattle comes to town, but consistency has been an issue over the past month.
17) New York Jets
- Grade: C-
We are ranking based on what has happened. If Aaron Rodgers and Co. turned a corner in Week 9, they could fly up these rankings in short order, though an offense that ranks 29th in rush EPA is operating on the margins.
That said, this is the 10th-best third-down defense in the league, a ranking that easily could spike if the nonverbal communication of Rodgers and Davante Adams returns to form from their days in Green Bay.
18) New Orleans Saints
- Grade: C-
The Saints were tracking toward being the second coming of the Greatest Show on Turf through two weeks. Now, them ranking 18th feels optimistic.
Alvin Kamara has overcome offensive line limitations and has this team ranking seventh in rush success rate. Will that sustain as the season wears on for a 29-year-old back with over 2,000 touches on his résumé?
Derek Carr is back to help this passing game, but he continues to lose receivers, making their 24th-ranked pass success rate more likely than not to stick the rest of the way.
19) Miami Dolphins
- Grade: D+
Tua Tagovailoa is back in the fold and has completed 80.7% of his passes since returning. That level of efficiency will result in their 29th ranking in points per drive trending up with time, especially given the play-calling tendencies.
No offense in the league allows pressure less often when not blitzed than the ‘Fins, a scheme that allows Tagovailoa to get the ball in the hands of his playmakers. De’Von Achane’s pace with his QB1 under center this season is for over 2,200 scrimmage yards, and the Tyreek Hill explosion seems inevitable.
I don’t think there’s much debate here: Miami is the most likely team in the middle third of these rankings to elevate in a significant way during the second half of the season.
20) Dallas Cowboys
- Grade: D+
Dak Prescott will miss at least a month with a hamstring injury suffered in Week 9. While that is a significant loss, this offense has been struggling with their starting QB. Through nine weeks, Dallas ranks 27th in pass success rate and 31st in red-zone touchdown rate, metrics that seem unlikely to improve as this season progresses.
CeeDee Lamb is special, but the lack of offensive balance has undone this unit. The Cowboys haven’t been able to pick up yards on the ground this season, and the lack of a secondary pass catcher to the degree that they went out and acquired Jonathan Mingo at the deadline is a problem.
21) Pittsburgh Steelers
- Grade: D+
We are two starts into the Russell Wilson era and the hope is that the veteran improves the 30th-ranked red-zone offense in the league. Najee Harris is running as hard as he has at any point in his career (Week 10 Stats and Insights), something that gives this offensive the potential to move into the top half of the league by seasons end.
Pittsburgh does what Pittsburgh always does — they don’t beat themselves under Mike Tomlin. Even without much depth at the receiver position and a quarterback change, this team owns the fifth-lowest turnover rate, a strength that puts their offensive floor above most ranked in this tier.
22) Indianapolis Colts
- Grade: D+
The Colts appear committed to Joe Flacco for the rest of 2024, though that decision didn’t bear much fruit in the Week 9 loss to the Vikings. This team is fourth-best at preventing pressure when not blitzed, and that gives a pocket-locked quarterback like Flacco the opportunity to thrive like he did last season in Cleveland on his way to a Comeback Player of the Year award.
There is no secret as to what has Indy ranking this low — the QB play has been a mess. Due to the struggles of Anthony Richardson, this offense ranks 30th in pass success rate. The hope is that the shift to Flacco and the return of Jonathan Taylor gives this team more potential than what we’ve seen up to this point.
23) Houston Texans
- Grade: D+
The C.J. Stroud brand has quickly become a safe offense, and with the seventh-lowest turnover rate in the league, that much has remained. That said, since Nico Collins went on injured reserve, the Texans have seen their offensive rankings tank across the board.
For the season, they allow sacks at the seventh-highest rate, a flaw that caps their upside, especially with the receiver injuries that have limited the explosive nature of this offense. Collins is eligible to return this weekend, and with Joe Mixon running hard, there certainly is hope that this team can rank in the top half of the league when all is said and done. But there is no denying that this has been a disappointing start to the 2024 season.
24) Chicago Bears
- Grade: D
I think we’ve seen enough from Caleb Williams to say that he is likely the QB of the future for this franchise, but not all growth is linear and it’s certainly been a bumpy ride.
There have been moments, but the second-worst third-down offense is never going to grade well for us or have success at a high level. That flaw likely improves with time moving forward as their rookie signal-caller adjusts to the speed of the pro game, but it’s been prohibitive up to this point.
On the bright side, this is already an elite red-zone offense (fourth-best), not typically a calling card for an offense with this many moving pieces. The current grade isn’t strong, but Chicago is playing for the future, and I think their fanbase should be encouraged from what we’ve seen up to this point.
25) Denver Broncos
- Grade: D
Bo Nix is an exciting watch, but is that best when it comes to succeeding at a high level? The knock on Patrick Mahomes these days is that he leads a boring offense and — well, they never lose games.
Nix’s athleticism has this team posting the third-lowest sack rate, but that coin has two sides. As he looks to create, things can spiral out of control in a hurry, thus resulting in Denver ranking 29th in EPA per dropback.
Much like the Bears with Williams, I think there have been enough breadcrumbs laid thus far to give you long-term optimism, but the 2024 numbers aren’t likely to spike until this team gets consistent play under center.
26) Carolina Panthers
- Grade: D-
The Panthers are struggling across the board, and they will have to make a long-term decision on Bryce Young. He’s looked a little bit better by our QB+ metrics since returning to the starting lineup, but the overall numbers suggest that this franchise is a long way away from fielding a competitive team.
Through nine weeks, Carolina ranks 29th on third-down conversion rate and 30th in EPA per dropback. I like the trio of young pass catchers on this offense, and Jonathon Brooks, poised to make his NFL debut on Sunday, is promising. The cupboard isn’t bare, but they need to figure out how to cook properly with what they have in-house over the second half of the season.
27) Los Angeles Chargers
- Grade: D-
The Chargers are never going to grade out well for us because Jim Harbaugh doesn’t want them to!
Their passing metrics have spiked a bit lately, but the design is a conservative one (lowest turnover rate) and figures to lean on their defense for as long as they are having success in doing so.
J.K. Dobbins lit up the fantasy football world during the first few weeks, but his efficiency has regressed to his career mean and has this team ranking 28th in rush success rate. Justin Herbert is an above-average quarterback capable of moving this team up these rankings if he is unleashed over the next two months. This is an offense I’m intrigued by given the recent trends and will be tracking closely moving forward.
28) Las Vegas Raiders
- Grade: D-
Without promise at the quarterback position, you’re drawing dead in the NFL these days, and the Raiders are as good an example of that as anyone. Las Vegas ranks dead last in both turnover rate and rush success rate – defenses have no reason not to be aggressive against them, especially following the Davante Adams trade.
This offense doesn’t have a calling card, and that makes moving much higher than this in these rankings any time soon unlikely.
29) Tennessee Titans
- Grade: D-
The Titans lack direction right now,, and until that is rectified, there isn’t much upward mobility here. Will Levis (shoulder) is banged up now, but he hasn’t shown the growth that this team had hoped for this season. Their trading away of DeAndre Hopkins is a clear sign that they are waiving the white flag in terms of short-term development.
Do we trust this team to take the proper steps moving forward? Only time will tell on that front. But as far as 2024 is concerned, Tennessee ranks 31st in EPA per play and turnover rate, deficiencies that need to be addressed if this team wants to trend out of the cellar of the league.
30) New York Giants
- Grade: F
This team has a Daniel Jones problem, and situations like that are common for the bottom feeders in this grading system year over year. Their starting quarterbacks show flashes of competence just often enough to make the franchise think they might have something. But we aim to take a step back and look at the larger picture — a picture that hasn’t looked good for years now.
This season, the Giants are the second-worst offense in terms of points per drive, thanks in large part to the lowest red-zone touchdown rate in the league (40%, league average: 57%). Malik Nabers certainly looks like a special player at a position that is growing in value across the NFL, but without consistent quarterback play, this offense is going to be relegated to the bottom five in our rankings for the foreseeable future.
31) New England Patriots
- Grade: F
The Patriots are a unique case. Their 2024 numbers are a hot mess (29th in EPA per play and 31st in yards per play), but their willingness to admit as much and commit this season to developing Drake Maye is something that this fanbase can get excited about.
The rookie has taken his lumps thus far, but he has also shown promise by way of his athleticism and processing speed. Maye is far from a finished product, and there will likely be more downs than ups over the next two months. But New England is making it clear that they are willing to lose the battle that is 2024 with the hope of winning the war that is the next handful of years.
Of the teams toward the bottom of our rankings, this is the one with the most upward mobility over the next 12 months. Given that winning big in 2024 was never in the cards for this team, that trajectory makes this season a success, even given this disaster of a grade.
32) Cleveland Browns
- Grade: F
It’s a shame that the American grading system can’t go lower than an “F.” The Browns are in a tier unto themselves when it comes to their grade this season.
Consider this: the distance that separates them from the failing Patriots is, by percentage, greater than the difference between the Chiefs (fifth-best grade) and the Rams (13th). It’s almost difficult to describe how poor this profile is. While Jameis Winston is a fun watch, he’s far from a stabilizing force for an offense that currently ranks dead last in yards per play, EPA, and points per drive.
I just ran through the optimistic outlook for the Patriots — the Browns couldn’t be more different. They are unsure of how to fix the quarterback position, the receiving corps is limited, and the running game hinges on the superhuman healing abilities of Nick Chubb.
There was some hope this offseason that this could be a league-average unit; that hope is gone for 2024, and I’m not sure what changes to keep me from writing a similar profile this time next season.