The Buffalo Bills will face the Indianapolis Colts in Week 10. Here’s the latest fantasy football news and advice to help you with your lineups this week and moving forward, especially regarding QB Josh Allen.
Is Josh Allen Playing in Week 10?
Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen was a full participant all week while dealing with a hand with a left hand injury. He does not have an injury designation for Week 10.
It’s a recurring condition for Allen, who injured his left hand in the season-opener vs. the Arizona Cardinals and has been listed on the injury report every week since. However, he’s never been anything less than a full participant in practice this season, and this shouldn’t impact him at all on Sunday vs. the Indianapolis Colts.
We’ll continue to monitor the Bills’ injury report. You can also visit and bookmark our NFL Injury Tracker and Fantasy News Tracker for the latest updates.
Should You Start or Sit Josh Allen in Week 10?
What more is there to say about Josh Allen? He’s dialed back the reckless rushing and senseless risk-taking, making him a more consistent player for both the Bills and fantasy managers. The physical runs are still a part of his game, but he doesn’t seem to be seeking contact the way he did in the past. That’s good news across the board.
Allen has multiple touchdown passes in four straight contests, a sign to me that he is gaining comfort with his teammates. The level of talent around him is only going to improve as Amari Cooper gets healthy and acclimated, positioning Allen for yet another Tier 1 finish at the position this week and this season.
If you’re curious, the indoor status of this game can’t hurt: Allen has only played inside four times in his career, but he’s cleared 26 fantasy points in three of those instances. I think Jalen Hurts’ ceiling is a touch higher, but ranking Allen as my QB2 this week isn’t a knock — if you have him rostered, you have a chance to win any matchup.
Are you looking for start/sit advice for other players in your lineup? Read our Week 10 Fantasy Start-Sit Advice Cheat Sheet for every fantasy-relevant player in every game.
Josh Allen’s Fantasy Points Projection in Week 10
As of Sunday, Allen is projected to score 22.7 fantasy points in Week 10. This includes 238.7 passing yards, 1.9 passing touchdowns, and 0.7 interceptions. It also includes 6.4 rushing attempts for 35 yards and 0.5 touchdowns.
Check out the free PFN Fantasy Start-Sit Optimizer for the latest projections and advice for your lineups this week.
PFN Insight on the Colts’ Defense
The Indianapolis Colts fell back into their own ways after a couple of good weeks in Weeks 7 and 8. For the majority of the season they have been a league-average-or-worse defense, but briefly jumped up inside the top 10 for those two games. That improvement over a two-week span may have been part of their quarterback decision if they felt that the defense was reaching a point where it could give them stability.
Unfortunately, that has not been the case, as they struggled against the Vikings on Sunday Night Football. Despite investment in their pass rush, they struggle to get pressure without blitzing, and their pass defense is inside the lower half of the teams in the league. A 43.7% third-down conversion rate is also a concern, ranking as the ninth-lowest in the league.
Do you want more insight on all other defensive units across the NFL? Head over to our PFN Defense+ Rankings for analysis on all 32 teams.
Josh Allen’s Week 10 Fantasy Ranking
Our Weekly Consensus PPR Rankings are below — both positional and overall. They were last updated at 3:45 AM ET on Wednesday, December 25. If you're in a Superflex league, make sure you check out our Weekly Consensus Superflex Rankings.
Week 17 QB PPR Rankings
1) Josh Allen | BUF (vs. NYJ)
2) Lamar Jackson | BAL (at HOU)
3) Jalen Hurts | PHI (vs. DAL)
4) Joe Burrow | CIN (vs. DEN)
5) Jayden Daniels | WAS (vs. ATL)
6) Baker Mayfield | TB (vs. CAR)
7) Sam Darnold | MIN (vs. GB)
8) Kyler Murray | ARI (at LAR)
9) Bo Nix | DEN (at CIN)
10) Jordan Love | GB (at MIN)
11) Jared Goff | DET (at SF)
12) Anthony Richardson | IND (at NYG)
13) Brock Purdy | SF (vs. DET)
14) Tua Tagovailoa | MIA (at CLE)
15) Matthew Stafford | LAR (vs. ARI)
16) C.J. Stroud | HOU (vs. BAL)
17) Patrick Mahomes | KC (at PIT)
18) Justin Herbert | LAC (at NE)
19) Caleb Williams | CHI (vs. SEA)
20) Aaron Rodgers | NYJ (at BUF)
21) Geno Smith | SEA (at CHI)
22) Russell Wilson | PIT (vs. KC)
23) Cooper Rush | DAL (at PHI)
24) Bryce Young | CAR (at TB)
25) Drake Maye | NE (vs. LAC)
26) Michael Penix Jr. | ATL (at WAS)
27) Aidan O'Connell | LV (at NO)
28) Mac Jones | JAX (vs. TEN)
29) Mason Rudolph | TEN (at JAX)
30) Tommy DeVito | NYG (vs. IND)
31) Dorian Thompson-Robinson | CLE (vs. MIA)
32) Spencer Rattler | NO (vs. LV)
Buffalo Bills at Indianapolis Colts Insights
Buffalo Bills
Team: Buffalo is seeking a fifth straight win – they haven’t had a five-game win streak in the first 10 weeks of a season during the 2000s.
QB: In eight games this season, Josh Allen has been held without a deep touchdown pass seven times (on Sunday against the Dolphins, he attempted just three deep passes (five games prior: 8.6 deep pass attempts per game).
Offense: The Bills are turning the ball over just 0.44 times per game, the second-fewest in the NFL and down from 1.65 times per game a season ago.
Defense: Dink-and-dunk: opponents average a league-low 6.2 air yards per throw against Buffalo this season.
Fantasy: James Cook opened the season with a pair of games over 70 rushing yards – he’s reached 45 rushing yards in just two of six games since. He saved your day with a season-high five receptions against the Dolphins on Sunday, but that’s a dangerous way to live.
Betting: Under tickets have come through in five of Buffalo’s past six road games, but don’t mistake that for sportsbooks struggling to handicap this team – all of those games finished within three points of the closing total.
Indianapolis Colts
Team: Indianapolis’s offense has only been on the field for 25:41 per game this season, which is 100 seconds less per game than any other offense in the league.
QB: Over the past four weeks, Joe Flacco and Anthony Richardson have made two starts apiece.
- Flacco: 5.7 yards per attempt with as many touchdowns as interceptions
- Richardson: 5.4 yards per attempt with as many touchdowns as interceptions
Offense: The Colts rank 30th in offensive success rate (ahead of only the Chargers and Browns).
Defense: After a brutal start to the season, the Colts own the second-best rush defense by EPA (first: Chargers).
Fantasy: Josh Downs has a 36.5% on-field target share from Joe Flacco this season (Michael Pittman: 19%, Alec Pierce: 10.3%).
Betting: The Colts are 4-0 ATS at home this season (they haven’t had a winning ATS season in front of their home fans since 2017).