Four NFL teams are on bye this week (Cleveland Browns, Green Bay Packers, Las Vegas Raiders, and Seattle Seahawks), so the Week 10 slate features 14 games.
Who are the best players to target in DFS this week? Using DraftKings’ prices, let’s build a lineup that could win big in Week 10!
Week 10 DFS Picks
- QB: Sam Darnold ($6,200)
- RB1: D’Andre Swift ($6,500)
- RB2: Aaron Jones ($6,700)
- WR1: Brian Thomas Jr. ($6,600)
- WR2: DeAndre Hopkins ($5,300)
- WR3: Jordan Addison ($5,300)
- TE: Hunter Henry ($3,900)
- FLEX: James Conner ($6,500)
- D/ST: Bears ($3,000)
DFS Strategy: Attack the Vikings-Jaguars Game
The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been dreadful this season. They are allowing the second-most yards per game (389.3) and the third-most points per game (28), so the Minnesota Vikings stack is pretty appealing this week.
The Jaguars allow the most fantasy points per game to quarterbacks (27.3), the fourth-most fantasy ppg to running backs (20.8), and the fourth-most to wide receivers (24.1), so Sam Darnold, Aaron Jones, and Jordan Addison are attractive at cost.
Justin Jefferson is obviously a terrific play as well, but he’s by far the most expensive player on this week’s slate ($8,800), so it’s difficult to build a solid lineup around him. Still, attacking this game makes a lot of sense, especially because Darnold, Jones, and Addison are relatively inexpensive considering their production and the excellent matchup.
Sam Darnold. Jordan Addison.
Strong start to the 2nd half. #Skol
📺: @SNFonNBC pic.twitter.com/5pjzLNzq70
— Minnesota Vikings (@Vikings) November 4, 2024
Since we’re expecting the Vikings to put up a lot of points in this one, it makes sense to also select Brian Thomas Jr. in the full-game stack. Minnesota allows the second-most fantasy points per game to wide receivers (26.5), and Thomas should be targeted early and often in this contest.
Not only will Jacksonville have to pass the ball if they fall behind, but Minnesota allows the second-fewest rushing yards per game (81.9), so the Jaguars will likely have no choice but to attack the Vikings through the air.
Lean on D’Andre Swift and Bears DST
The New England Patriots are allowing the third-most fantasy ppg to running backs (21.1), and D’Andre Swift has been one of the best RBs in the league as of late.
Swift was awful during the first three weeks of the season, ranking as the RB41 and averaging 6.5 PPR points per game. Since then, however, in Weeks 4-9, he’s been the RB3 and has averaged 20.9 PPR ppg.
New England is allowing opposing running backs to rush for 124.5 yards per game (second-worst in the NFL) and score 1.1 rushing touchdowns on average (fourth-worst).
Swift is averaging 17.6 carries over the last five games, so this is a smash spot for the Bears’ RB. Also, his involvement in the passing game has helped fantasy numbers quite a bit. He has at least four catches or a 35+ yard gain in five straight games.
Since we expect Swift to run the ball well, it also makes sense to pick the Bears D/ST. Not only do these picks complement each other, Chicago’s defense is a strong play regardless. The Patriots are averaging 264.8 yards of offense per game, the lowest mark in the NFL this season and the sixth-worst through nine weeks over the past decade.
Meanwhile, the Bears have the NFL’s third-best red-zone defense (40.9% touchdown rate, tops in the NFC).
While Drake Maye has been solid since taking over as the Patriots’ starter, this is a brutal matchup for the rookie, with Chicago allowing the fewest fantasy points per game to quarterbacks (10.2).
DeAndre Hopkins and Hunter Henry Are Bargains
It turns out DeAndre Hopkins still has quite a bit left in the tank; it just took some competent quarterback play to unlock it.
During the Kansas City Chiefs’ overtime victory over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Monday Night Football, Hopkins finished with eight receptions (on nine targets) for 86 yards and two touchdowns.
Hopkins again 🔥
📺: #TBvsKC on ESPN/ABC
📱: Stream on #NFLPlus and ESPN+ pic.twitter.com/KWQ2pYZpm8— NFL (@NFL) November 5, 2024
Hopkins was the WR4 on the week, totaling 28.6 PPR points. For comparison, through the first seven weeks of the 2024 season with the Tennessee Titans, Hopkins totaled 38.3 PPR points.
Hopkins will be the Chiefs’ WR1 going forward, so at $5,300, he feels like a steal. This price was set on Monday morning, so it’s not factoring in his dominant MNF performance.
While Hopkins obviously won’t have a two-TD performance every week, he doesn’t need to in order to return value at his cost. If last Monday is any indication, Patrick Mahomes will be targeting him quite a bit going forward (including on some deep shots).
Addison is another bargain considering the matchup against the Jaguars, but we already covered why he’s a strong play.
As for Hunter Henry, he’s been significantly more productive since Maye took over as the Patriots’ starter. In the four games with Maye under center, Henry is the TE8, with 23 receptions and 234 yards (sixth-most among tight ends).
Henry is currently leading the Patriots in receptions (39), targets (53), receiving yards (414), and receiving touchdowns (one, tied with seven others).
While quarterbacks have really struggled against the Bears’ defense, they’ve been a middle-of-the-pack team against tight ends. This season, TEs are averaging 5.1 receptions (13th-most in the NFL) and 55.1 receiving yards (13th-most) against Chicago.