Over his first three seasons in the league, Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence has produced two seasons with at least 4,000 passing yards. He also became one of the faces of the league after signing a five-year, $275 million contract extension.
But has Lawrence done enough to warrant being considered as one of the top quarterbacks selected in fantasy football drafts?
Here’s the fantasy outlook for Trevor Lawrence this season.
Trevor Lawrence’s Fantasy Profile for the 2024 NFL Season
Lawrence had his highest passing yards per game average last season (251.0) and, for the second straight season, managed at least 20 touchdown passes, finishing with 21 tosses.
But for many, Lawrence’s season was defined by the final five weeks of the season, when he struggled and the Jaguars won just once over that span.
Over his final four games (he missed Week 17), Lawrence averaged 253 passing yards per game. But he also had as many interceptions (7) as touchdown passes (7) and a less-than-impressive 74.1 passer rating.
Keep in mind that over his first 12 games of the season, Lawrence had a passer rating of 94.4 and twice as many touchdown passes (14) as interceptions (7).
Interceptions remain are a concern with Lawrence. He finished with 14 interceptions last season after throwing only eight in 2023. The 14 interceptions were tied for fourth-most in the NFL with Patrick Mahomes and Tua Tagovailoa. However, while Mahomes threw 27 touchdown passes, and Tagovailoa had 29, Lawrence was well behind with 21.
Lawrence continues to provide some value, but not too much, out of the quarterback position with his running ability. Lawrence rushed for a career-high 339 yards last season along with four rushing touchdowns. He’s not Lamar Jackson, but at 4.8 yards a carry, Lawrence is still an effective running quarterback.
Is Trevor Lawrence a Good Fantasy Pick?
Lawrence enters this season ranked No. 18 in the Pro Football Network’s 2024 Fantasy Quarterback Rankings. He threw for 300 or more yards only twice in 16 games last season but had twice as many games in which he threw multiple interceptions (4).
By the way, the mistakes not only hurt fantasy managers, but they also hurt the Jaguars, as they went 0-4 last season in games in which Lawrence threw two or more interceptions.
The Jaguars did add speed at the wide receiver position, bringing in Gabe Davis from the Buffalo Bills and drafting Brian Thomas Jr. out of LSU. They’ll play alongside Christian Kirk, who averaged nearly 14 yards a reception (13.8) in only 12 games last season.
The Jaguars still have one of the league’s best tight ends in Evan Engram (114 receptions last season) and a running back in Travis Etienne who rushed for over 1,000 yards (1,008) and caught nearly 60 passes (58) last season.
So, the pieces appear to be there for Lawrence to take the next step and produce numbers that will have him ranked among the elite quarterbacks in fantasy football. However, until he shows that he can play more consistently, Lawrence probably should not be considered many fantasy managers’ QB1 when it comes time to draft.