Rewind time just a few seasons, and everyone was excited for Gabe Davis’ fantasy outlook. Now, fast forward back to the present, and as a community, we can’t decide what Davis is regarding our fantasy football teams.
Davis is an excellent best-ball candidate because you don’t have to guess his spike weeks, but in regular fantasy football, trying to figure out which week Davis will score 40 points and which week he will goose egg can be maddening.
Now, Davis has left the cold scenery of Buffalo for blue skies and sun in Jacksonville. Can Davis elevate his game and remind us why we were excited just a few years back? Let’s break down Davis’ fantasy outlook.
Gabe Davis’ Fantasy Profile for the 2024 Season
As weird as it may sound, Davis does receive a slight upgrade heading to Jacksonville to play with Trevor Lawrence regarding the deep throw. Lawrence ranked higher than Josh Allen last season in deep ball accuracy.
However, we struggle to see the light at the end of the tunnel for Gabe Davis’ fantasy outlook in Jacksonville. Before the NFL Draft, it looked like Davis would replace Calvin Ridley’s production within the Jaguars’ offense.
After the draft, we see that Davis now has a cluttered wide receiver room to compete against as the Jaguars drafted Brian Thomas Jr.
With Christian Kirk, Evan Engram, Travis Etienne, and now Thomas, Davis could be the fourth or fifth option on any given play, thus demolishing any hope of a breakout season from the deep ball threat.
Davis’s struggles were felt last season when he only recorded 45 receptions on his 81 targets. TruMedia ranked Davis 68th best in the NFL in receptions per target. Yes, Davis does provide the fifth-highest receiving yards per reception (16.6), but betting on Davis is betting on chaos within your lineup.
Is Gabe Davis a Good Fantasy Pick?
Drafting Davis is not for the weak of the heart. You must have a strong stomach to survive the bust weeks, and we believe you can find a better player with a less crowded situation at his average draft position (ADP) of 145th overall.
There is a draft strategy that pushes for players like Davis, who supply an inconsistent production level at wide receiver — Heavy RB.
When drafting Heavy RB, you start your draft with multiple running backs while fading wide receivers. Toward the end of your draft, you lean on the players who can provide upside-scoring production, as Davis will randomly do.
The reasoning behind this strategy is that you will see your fantasy production floor with your running backs and hope to receive boom weeks from your wide receivers to put you over the top.
Davis is also useful in weeks where projections have you losing by a substantial amount. These are the weeks you must throw this grenade in hopes of shaking up the projections and leaving the week with a win.
Just remember that the Jaguars enjoy their bye week in Week 12, which means Davis won’t be there to offer another option for your team in the crucial weeks before the playoffs.
Even if Davis can provide you a few weeks with 20+ fantasy points, the bust weeks happen too often to feel comfortable putting Davis on our fantasy team in 2024.