The Monday Night Football game between the Philadelphia Eagles and Seattle Seahawks has been turned on its head by the news Jalen Hurts is struggling with an illness. With that in mind, our experts have picked out some of their favorite player prop bets for Eagles vs. Seahawks in Week 15.
Top Eagles vs. Seahawks Player Prop Bets
DK Metcalf Over 63.5 Receiving Yards (-115 at DraftKings)
Jason Katz: I jumped on this line early. It is incredibly low for a WR1 as talented as DK Metcalf in a game where the Seahawks should be trailing and throwing throughout.
There is a bit of narrative street at play here. The Eagles have lost two straight. I expect them to come out firing this week and lay the smackdown on the Seahawks. Negative game script means more passing.
When the Seahawks pass, they should have success.
The Eagles completely stymie the run but are the ultimate pass-funnel defense. They allow 193 receiving yards per game to wide receivers, the second-most in the league.
D’Andre Swift Under 13.5 Receiving Yards (-110 at DraftKings)
Kyle Soppe: D’Andre Swift’s role in this offense is trending in the wrong direction, as he has seemingly been less involved as Jalen Hurts has proven his health.
That is true for the ground game (under 15 carries in four straight games), but it’s been most evident through the air.
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Over his past three games, his 10 targets have resulted in 11 yards. Let me say that again.
- 10 targets for 11 yards.
That level of inefficiency is new (5.9 yards per target this season prior) and has relegated him from this offense, something I don’t see changing in this matchup and with Dallas Goedert rounding into form.
In those three games, Swift has accounted for 1.6% of Jalen Hurts’ passing yards, a steep decline from the 9.9% rate he had prior. Could he get right for the playoffs? Maybe, but this doesn’t seem like the spot.
Over the past three weeks, the Seahawks have played the 49ers twice and the Cowboys. In those games, Christian McCaffrey averaged 34.7% fewer yards per target than he has against all other teams this season, and Tony Pollard’s per-target production was down 24%.
For the season, Swift’s per-target averages suggest that he only needs three targets to go over his listed yardage prop.
But if we think the recent stretch is predictive, then four targets might be more the goal — he’s had one four-target game since mid-October.
Dallas Goedert Over 42.5 Receiving Yards (-110 ESPN BET)
Ryan Gosling: Unfortunately, there is going to be an additional risk with any player prop bet you can get in this game with the uncertainty around Jalen Hurts’ availability.
However, one thing that backup QBs love is the certainty and reliability of the tight end position. If Marcus Mariota does, in fact, end up playing in this one, quick dump-off passes to Dallas Goedert are all but a certainty. If it does end up being Hurts, well I still like Goedert to be heavily involved.
The Eagles TE made his return from injury last week and made the most of it. He caught all four of his targets for 30 yards. Now, he will be going up against a Seahawks defense that struggles against the position. Seattle allows 8.1 yards per attempt to TEs, which is 28th in the NFL.
Just look at some of the success other tight ends have had recently: Kittle three catches for 79, Ferguson six for 77, Andrews nine for 80, and Njoku four for 77. Even Logan Thomas managed five receptions for 40 yards. Whether it is Hurts or Mariota, Goedert should be a solid play.
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