The Baltimore Ravens vs. Los Angeles Chargers game features one team fighting to be the top seed in the AFC and another competing for the final playoff spot. The Chargers have struggled against good teams this season, as they have just one win against a team with a winning record, and that was the Minnesota Vikings back in Week 3. Before diving into the Ravens vs. Chargers predictions, let’s look at the betting lines.
Baltimore Ravens vs. Los Angeles Chargers Betting Lines
This spread has dropped a point since the Ravens vs. Chargers odds opened last Sunday night when it opened at Baltimore -4. The spread dropping is good news for Ravens bettors.
However, as per Evan Abrams at The Action Network, Lamar Jackson is 19-6 ATS as a favorite of three points or less or an underdog — 21-30 ATS in all other spots. Yet, the total has gone up two points, which is surprising given the success of prime-time unders this season.
All odds are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Spread
Ravens -3 - Moneyline
Ravens -164, Chargers +138 - Total
48.5
Baltimore Ravens vs. Los Angeles Chargers Predictions
Bearman: The Ravens enter with one of the best defenses in the league, allowing only 16.1 PPG (second to Niners). You know who doesn’t have any defense? The Chargers, who rank 31st in yards allowed and dead last in passing yards allowed. The end is near for Brandon Staley, and facing the AFC-leading Ravens isn’t going to help.
Pick: Ravens -3 (-112 at FanDuel)
Blewis: Losing Mark Andrew could be a huge blow to the Ravens’ passing game, which has looked better than ever in Lamar Jackson’s career. But without Lamar’s most reliable target, which Ravens receiver will step up in his absence, and how will their passing offense look?
MORE: NFL Against the Spread Standings
My concerns could be overstated, but that, combined with Baltimore’s elite defense, has me liking the under at a key number. Aside from a 27-6 win over the Jets, the Chargers have struggled against elite defenses this season, scoring just 17 points against both the Cowboys and Chiefs.
This being a prime-time game certainly makes the under even more appealing, with them hitting at an absurd rate of 77% going into Week 12.
Pick: Under 48.5 (-112 at FanDuel)
Katz: This is quite the lofty number for a quarterback who has struggled against every good pass defense he’s faced. In 10 games, Justin Herbert has completed at least 24 passes just four times. Based on that fact alone, these odds should be closer to -120, giving us good value. Add in the fact that the Ravens are elite against the pass, and I really like Herbert to struggle Sunday night.
Week 2 against the Titans is the only game in which the Chargers scored 24 points or fewer when Herbert went over 23.5 completions. The Chargers’ implied team total in this game is 22.5 points.
The Ravens allow just 201 passing yards per game, the sixth-fewest in the league. Opponents complete just 60% of their passes against them, the fourth-fewest in the league. Bank on Herbert finishing around 20-21 completions in a close game tonight.
Pick: Justin Herbert under 23.5 completions (-101 at Caesars)
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