Fantasy football is more than just the weekly head-to-head games we’ve all grown to love. On Underdog, fantasy managers can put their player-projection skills to the test by predicting player stat lines. Here are my top Underdog plays for the Monday Night Football Pick’em contest between the Denver Broncos and Buffalo Bills.
Top Underdog Pick’ems for Monday Night Football
Underdog Pick’ems allows managers to predict stat lines and fantasy-point totals for almost all fantasy-relevant players. You can make two picks that pay out three times even money or add more selections to your entry for higher payouts.
The levels are 3x, 6x, 10x, and 20x, progressing with each additional pick’em you add to your entry. Let’s take a look at this week’s Monday night Underdog Pick’ems.
Josh Allen Higher Than 22.35 Fantasy Points
This is a curiously low projection for a guy who has had at least 23 fantasy points in seven of his last eight games.
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When we last saw the Bills, they were losing on the road to the Bengals. In that game, Josh Allen did not play his best, throwing for 258 yards and a single touchdown that didn’t come until the fourth quarter. But he did run for 40+ yards and a touchdown for the second consecutive game.
I think we get a motivated Allen tonight. Against a Broncos defense allowing the sixth-most fantasy points per game to QBs, this could be a 30+ point outing for Allen.
Stefon Diggs Higher Than 9.5 Targets
Against Cincinnati, Stefon Diggs only saw seven targets. Prior to that game, he saw at least 11 targets in four straight games.
Diggs has seen more than 9.5 targets in all but three games this season. Given how I feel about his quarterback, if Allen is having a big game, he’s taking Diggs with him.
The Broncos are allowing a 71.8% catch rate to wide receivers, the second-highest rate in the league. They may try and scheme to take away Diggs, but I don’t think they will be successful. Look for Allen to target Diggs early on and often.
Russell Wilson Higher Than 0.5 Interceptions
Believe it or not, Russell Wilson has only thrown an interception in three games this season. But a big part of that has been ugly, low-scoring games limiting Wilson’s pass attempts.
He’s attempted at least 30 passes in four games and thrown a pick in two of them.
If Allen smashes like I think he will, that means the Broncos will be trailing and, thus, throwing. Wilson throwing from behind increases the likelihood he throws an interception. All we need is one mistake.
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