The Hall of Fame Game. It’s time! We have football tonight. Real. Professional. NFL football. Does it count for anything? Does it matter? You’re tuning in, and that gives you the green light to bet on this thing.
No, this isn’t going to be the Aaron Rodgers vs. Deshaun Watson offensive spectacle that we hope to see when these teams meet for real in Week 17, but there are some interesting trends for tonight’s action that are helping me sort out my (low-investment) NFL betting card.
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Hall of Fame Game: New York Jets at Cleveland Browns
- Point Spread: Jets -1.5
- Over/Under: 33.5
Over the past seven Hall of Fame games, there has been an average of just 28.4 total points scored. For reference, there were 43.8 points scored per game last regular season. Thus, the low projected total makes plenty of sense.
Last season snapped a run of three straight HOF games that went under this number, and even that game was on pace to go under (23 points through three quarters) until late.
Want to bet on tonight’s game? Use the widget below!
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- Jets
League-high 70.6% under rate in 2022 - Browns
Unders were 5-1 when CLE was a ‘dog with a total under 47 points
If you’re looking to pick a winner in this game, you should first determine which team you like to win more games this regular season … and then fade that team!
Each of the past four HOF game-winners were the team that went on to have the less impressive regular season. (In 2019, the two teams finished with the same record, so I used point differential as a tie-breaker.)
Sportsbooks have both of these teams at 9.5 wins, but given the juice, the Wise Guys favor the Jets to win slightly more games. Browns it is!
Who takes you to victory and gives you an undefeated NFL betting record for 2023? Well, that could be Dorian Thompson-Robinson, a dual-threat quarterback out of UCLA. Reports are suggesting that he will get the bulk of the work in the second half as he battles for the QB3 role on this roster, and the Browns’ depth chart at receiver is loaded with size.
I mentioned the low-scoring tendency of this game, making any chunk gain an impactful one, and I could see the rookie making enough plays late to cash your ticket!
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