Currently in possession of the longest playoff drought in the NFL by a whopping five years over the second-longest, the New York Jets made a big offseason splash to try and change that. Aaron Rodgers’ arrival has the Jets as a contender for the first time in over a decade. What else can the betting lines tell us?
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All odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook unless noted otherwise.
New York Jets Futures Odds
Super Bowl Odds: +1600
Think the Jets will win the Super Bowl? Place your Super Bowl wager directly on DraftKings Sportsbook using the widget below.
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AFC East Odds: +270
Win Total: 9.5 (Over -115/Under -105)
To Make/Miss the Playoffs: -130/+110
New York Jets Offense
After sputtering offensively for the better part of the past decade, the Jets reached into an old bag of tricks for 2023. Much like they did in 2008, New York acquired a former Green Bay Packers future Hall of Fame quarterback.
Along with Rodgers came his buddies Randall Cobb and Allen Lazard. Neither will move the needle much, but Rodgers will have a grand ole time throwing to sophomore stud WR Garrett Wilson.
The Jets also hope to get Breece Hall back to full speed at some point this season as he recovers from an early season ACL tear. With no shortage of weapons, expectations for this team are as high as ever.
New York Jets Defense
The Jets’ defense has a chance to be very good in 2023, and they know it. New York spent a first-round pick on DE Will McDonald IV. Then, in July, they gave star DE Quinnen Williams a four-year extension.
With Sauce Gardner already one of the top shutdown cornerbacks in the NFL, playing more games with leads as a result of a better offense will only benefit this defense this season.
One Betting Trend To Know
The Jets were undefeated (6-0) against the spread (90.6% ROI) vs. top 10 pass defenses in the 2022 season — tied for best in the NFL. The league average was .529.
From PFN Fantasy & Betting Analyst Kyle Soppe using Inside Edge
Best Bet for the Jets in 2023
It’s always tricky to navigate a team’s betting odds when that team is popular. Rodgers’ Jets have high expectations. That often leads to inflated lines.
If you look at the AFC as a whole, there’s a lot of competition. If the Jets were in the NFC, they’d be considered a lock to make the playoffs. In the AFC, we can safely pencil in the Chiefs, Bengals, Bills, and Jaguars. The Ravens are safe bets, and if Tua Tagovailoa is healthy, the Dolphins are probably getting in as well. While none of this is guaranteed, that’s one spot remaining.
Then, we’ve got the Chargers, possible resurgent years from Deshaun Watson with the Browns and Russell Wilson with the Broncos. The Steelers are always competitive under Mike Tomlin. Maybe Jimmy Garoppolo is better than people expect. Maybe Anthony Richardson is the second coming of Cam Newton.
The point is there is a lot of competition in the AFC. Despite being the fifth favorite to win the AFC, the Jets are not even a lock to make the playoffs. Rodgers will undoubtedly make them better, and the team will be competitive, but the hype feels like it will wind up being greater than reality.
Jets to miss the playoffs (+110)
