As we close in toward the new season, the ever-changing NFL landscape has player fantasy values constantly on the move, with key events like free agency and the 2023 NFL Draft still to come. Whether you’re used to the dynasty platform or are still learning the rules, let’s dive into the latest dynasty fantasy football value of TE Mark Andrews.
Mark Andrews’ Dynasty Outlook and Value
At a minimum, Andrews is the TE3 in dynasty rankings. There’s a case for him to be the TE1. Although Travis Kelce finished as the TE1 overall in a bonkers season, Andrews was the TE4 overall and tied for third in points per game with T.J. Hockenson at 13.7 PPR.
His value to the Ravens is nearly unparalleled. Andrews was second in the league in target share at 23.6% and first in air-yard share at 26.3%. In 15 games, Andrews hauled in 73 of his 113 targets for 847 yards and five touchdowns. He finished as a TE1 in 60% of his games in 2022 despite the lackluster passing attack and dip in TD production from nine the year before.
At 27, Andrews is still in his prime. He was fifth in aDOT (9.8), fourth in red-zone targets (18), No. 2 in xFTPS/g (-0.56), fourth in YPRR (2.19), No. 2 in YPTPA (2.01), fifth in EPA, and third in fantasy points per route run (0.49 PPR).
The only thing lacking for Andrews was the overall volume. He dropped from a league-high 153 targets in 2021 to “only” 113 due to the Ravens sitting 28th in pass attempts per game (28.7).
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But when we look at the TE landscape, there’s an honest debate that could be had for Andrews as the overall TE1. While Kelce has put up far better numbers and has a higher ceiling, he’s 33, and every year, we play the game of “will this be the year Kelce falls off?”
Then we look at Kyle Pitts, who, after a monster rookie season and being physically one of the most gifted players to enter the NFL in a long time, saw a near no-show in 2022 and missed the bulk of the season due to an injury. There is even a debate that could be had that his situation could be worse in 2023 if Desmond Ridder doesn’t take a significant step forward in what was a very low-volume offense (31st in attempts per game).
Of the Tier 1 TEs, Andrews, while not having the highest ceiling, is the most stable to project over the next two to three years. Hockenson is just outside this range with George Kittle and Dallas Goedert. The next player who could hit this range or reach Tier 1 is Michael Mayer, who deserves to be a late first-round pick regardless of the draft landing spot.
Mark Andrews’ Fantasy Ranking
If you have an elite TE, you have an advantage over the rest of the league. With that said, that advantage comes at a premium due to there being so few difference-making players in the NFL. Currently, Andrews is the TE2 for dynasty in PPR formats and is No. 36 overall in Superflex dynasty rankings, where QBs see an increase in value due to positional scarcity.
I could just as easily have Andrews No. 1 at TE over Pitts. The production certainly favors Andrews, but Pitts’ upside as a unicorn is absolutely a factor, as is his age. There is no wrong answer, and it is splitting hairs.
I would send out feelers to see where managers value Andrews after his “down” season. Having an elite, reliable TE is one of the most significant advantages you can have in dynasty, and Andrews is worth every penny.
At the same time, make sure to consider what Andrews’ future will look like if Lamar Jackson ends up leaving town. With that said, Andrews has the talent to succeed anywhere and in any system. The only thing that changes is the variance in his weekly outcomes.