If you’re looking for early Week 7 DFS targets before crafting your lineups, then you’ve come to the right place. We’ve analyzed each team’s highest-probability game scripts to assess which player on each team has a great shot at outproducing expectations. Some of these guys will be pricey for good reasons. Others might be cheap, high-upside bargains.
Favorite Week 7 Undervalued DFS Targets
Last week, I recommended deep bargains like Jake Ferguson and uber-rebound candidates like Ja’Marr Chase. The following recommended fantasy football lineup (for tournaments, 50/50, or head-to-head competitions) aims to lock in a relatively high floor while maximizing upside.
Thursday Night Football
A fascinating game between two underperforming 2-4 teams. Arizona lost Marquise Brown, but DeAndre Hopkins is returning from his six-game suspension, and the team has traded for Robbie Anderson. A major question concerns James Conner’s health and whether Eno Benjamin might earn another start.
Either way, given the Saints’ surprising challenges on defense (although Marshon Lattimore’s injury hasn’t helped), I’d feel comfortable betting on Kyler Murray to bounce back in a must-win game.
As for New Orleans, we’ll need to see if Jameis Winston is back under center and whether any of his starting WRs will return. For now, Alvin Kamara is safe and elite, so he offers the most early-week value.
Sunday 1 p.m. Eastern Games
There are seven games on this docket featuring 14 teams because there are no battle royales in the NFL — at least under the new collective bargaining agreement. So here we go with a rundown.
Bengals vs. Falcons
Remember, this is about value, not just projected cheap pricing (although sometimes that helps). Joe Burrow brings the most Bengals value in this DFS slate. He could hit four TDs.
For Atlanta, we might have to go bargain hunting, because I don’t foresee any blow-up performances. I’ve highlighted Olamide Zaccheaus all season as an affordable TD-dependent option with a little pop. Presumably playing from behind, Marcus Mariota will need to keep looking his way deep into this game.
Cowboys vs. Lions
Will Dak Prescott return? How about Dalton Schultz? If there’s no Schultz, then I’d be hard-pressed to fade the ultra-cheap Jake Ferguson. If Schultz and Prescott are back, then I’d fire up the presumably very inexpensive Michael Gallup in a bounce-back performance against an incredibly weak defense.
For Detroit, more injuries and more question marks. I wouldn’t overpay for a wideout against Dallas’ stout defense. Instead, a modest-priced T.J. Hockenson should bring enough production to be worth the investment.
Titans vs. Colts
Can we trust anyone besides Derrick Henry? Probably not. I’d like to say we could. But Henry easily could triple the DFS production of any Tennessee WR.
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For Indy, everything hinges on Jonathan Taylor’s health. In some DFS leagues, Deon Jackson might still be affordable and a must-add if Taylor remains sidelined. But if Jackson spikes based on his Week 6 numbers, then the perpetually affordable Alec Pierce remains the best value on the team.
Commanders vs. Packers
Can we trust any Washington RB? Not yet, at least based on their DFS pricing and capped ceilings. Instead, I’d roll with Taylor Heinicke if he’s super cheap, or a healthy Logan Thomas if he isn’t.
How much will Green Bay feed Aaron Jones? AJ Dillon isn’t getting it done. The passing game is a minor mess with occasional sparks. For the Packers to win, they need to deploy Jones early and often. He’s my favorite Green Bay DFS value play, regardless of his steep price.
Panthers vs. Buccaneers
Will Christian McCaffrey still be on the team, and who will be quarterbacking? Don’t be surprised if Sam Darnold re-takes the helm. Someone should make a movie about a team that keeps cycling through the same QBs, hoping someone will step up on the third rotation.
If Carolina is indeed serious about trading McCaffrey, then they might limit his touches a bit and put more on D’Onta Foreman’s shoulders. In what could be a blowout loss, I’m tempted to recommend the super-cheap Foreman on the chance that he nets 10+ touches.
For Tampa Bay, full speed ahead for Tom Brady. Probably overpriced. But between betting on him, Chris Godwin, or Mike Evans, I still believe Brady can seize the day against a team like Carolina.
Jaguars vs. Giants
It’s only a matter of time before Travis Etienne Jr. is priced higher than James Robinson. I’d go with Etienne as the safest high-upside play for a team that needs to establish the run, and which does so to great effect.
For New York, how affordable will Wan’Dale Robinson be? If he’s a third the price of Saquon Barkley, then I’d target Robinson for 10+ points. Otherwise, Barkley-Barkley-Barkley.
Ravens vs. Browns
If Gus Edwards remains out and Kenyan Drake is no more than 40% of the price of Lamar Jackson and Mark Andrews, then I’d take a shot on Drake. But realistically, DFS contest makers will catch on, and Drake will be priced beyond where he probably should be. In that case, Jackson would bring the most value.
And while I’d like to say Nick Chubb is the best play for Cleveland, given his price and potentially a negative game script, I’d rather go all in with the somewhat cheaper Amari Cooper.
Sunday 4 p.m. Eastern Games
There are four games on this docket featuring, yes, eight teams. Here’s the rundown of the best DFS bargains, regardless of price.
Broncos vs. Jets
How much will Mike Boone cost us? My thoughts on Denver hinge on this answer. For now, my favorite bargain would be Jerry Jeudy. He’s consistently less expensive than Courtland Sutton, but he brings the same ceiling, even though on the whole he hasn’t performed as well (yet).
For the Jets, it’s Breece Hall or bust. There are no other reliable options. Why pay $2,000 for a desperation TE when we can pay, say, $9,000 for a 15+ RB with blowup capabilities?
Raiders vs. Texans
In a must-win game for both teams, the Raiders have the edge based on superior firepower. I’d be shocked if Davante Adams doesn’t net 100+ yards and a score. He’s my favorite bargain despite a steep price.
For Houston, can we rely on anyone besides Dameon Pierce? Probably not. He’s the only Texan we can safely start in DFS. Everyone else is a flier.
Chargers vs. Seahawks
If Keenan Allen returns and is priced lower than Mike Williams, then I’d roll with Allen as my favorite bargain. I can envision Justin Herbert targeting him to get him going against a relatively soft defense.
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For the Seahawks, Kenneth Walker III should be affordable enough to be a bargain even if he pulls in only 12-14 DFS points. Of course, he could do much more, thanks to an active role in the passing game.
49ers vs. Chiefs
This one’s tough for me. This past weekend it was Brandon Aiyuk’s turn, although certainly Deebo Samuel and George Kittle got their points. So if Jeff Wilson Jr. is too expensive to call a “bargain,” I’d go all in on Samuel, who should be the highest-priced but also highest-ceiling option.
Meanwhile, how many points can the Chiefs rack up against a solid Niners defense on the road? Assuming he’s very cheap, Skyy Moore would be my favorite bargain. He doesn’t need to score to be useful. The rookie is a big-play receiver who could easily net 9+ DFS points on three receptions. Competing largely with the hit-or-miss Marquez Valdes-Scantling, I’d take a chance on Moore as a back-end DFS slate filler.
Sunday Night Football
Remember when the Dolphins were 3-0 and all their key guys were healthy? It’s been a season for the strong of heart, and few teams have endured more heart-wrenching dilemmas than Miami. If Tua Tagovailoa returns, I’d pick Tyreek Hill as my favorite bargain on a team that simply doesn’t have many reliable producers.
For Pittsburgh, will we see Kenny Pickett or Mitchell Trubisky? Either way, assuming George Pickens is priced below Diontae Johnson, I’d go with Pickens.
Monday Night Football
Finally, for the Patriots vs. the Bears, Chicago has a lot more trouble against the run than against the pass. So although he’ll be expensive, I’d go with Rhamondre Stevenson if Damien Harris remains sidelined. If Harris practices in full later this week and returns to the starting lineup, then I’d pivot to one of my favorite cheap Week 6 bargains, Tyquan Thornton.
For the Bears, what do we think of Dante Pettis’ seven targets last Thursday? Should we ignore that he caught his first passes since Week 1? Pettis should remain fairly cheap. I’d take a flier on him in the belief Justin Fields will need to throw a lot in the second half.