If you’re planning to make Week 5 NFL prop bets for Sunday Night Football’s scintillating Baltimore Ravens vs. Cincinnati Bengals matchup, then you’ve come to the right place.
We’ve analyzed the game’s highest-probability scripts to assess the most likely outcomes, including which players are in line to thrive more than anticipated and which could fall short of expectations. All prop bets are based on DraftKings Sportsbook, FanDuel Sportsbook, or BetMGM.
Ravens vs. Bengals Prop Bets To Target
The following NFL betting recommendations are based on proprietary PFN predictive analytics culled from decades of NFL historical data.
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Using this data, I’ve built dozens of models showing actionable probabilities of better-than-expected and worse-than-expected outcomes. Criteria such as age, durability, shifting personnel, scheduling, and other factors help shape these final assessments.
Lamar Jackson Week 5 Prop Bets
Admittedly, Lamar Jackson has been better than I expected. Now, I know that might sound ridiculous. But consider that J.K. Dobbins, Mike Davis, and Kenyan Drake have averaged a mere 2.7 yards per carry thus far. Yes, Justice Hill has looked terrific, but he didn’t earn more than six touches until last weekend when he and Dobbins combined for 120 yards and two scores. Not coincidentally, Jackson struggled statistically.
With Hill out and Dobbins still working his way back, I’m bullish about Jackson rebounding in a must-win divisional matchup.
Passing yards over 227.5 (-115) — DraftKings
Interceptions under 0.5 (-145) — DraftKings
Justin Tucker Week 5 Prop Bet
Betting on a kicker? Hey, they’re real people, too. And few NFL kickers have been better than Justin Tucker. I love his betting line, assuming Cincinnati’s decent defense steps up at least a couple of times inside their own 40-yard line.
Kicking points over 7.5 (+105) — DraftKings
Joe Mixon Week 5 Prop Bets
Just like last year with Derrick Henry, I’ll keep sharing the same warning about Joe Mixon. RBs coming off 400+ touch seasons (including the postseason) are significant injury/regression risks. That’s based on all historical NFL data going back to the league’s founding.
With that in mind, despite the Ravens’ struggles against the run, I’m banking on them to step up against a running back who’s rushed 233 times for 757 yards (3.2 YPC) since Week 13 of last season. We can blame it on the offensive line, his over-usage, or both. Regardless, it’s a real concern heading into this road matchup.
Rushing attempts under 16.5 (-115) — DraftKings
Rushing yards under 59.5 (-115) — DraftKings
Ja’Marr Chase Week 5 Prop Bets
Did I tell you how I tried to trade for Ja’Marr Chase this week? Didn’t get him. But I put on the charm. So at least my opponent knows I’m charming.
In a game that should favor Baltimore, I’m betting on Joe Burrow to recalibrate his gaze onto Chase. Tee Higgins remains a co-No. 1, but Chase has blow-up potential. I’d bet on at least a modest blow-up. Guys like Chase aren’t dormant for very long. He’s averaged 5.0 receptions for 55 yards in his last three games while scoring only once. For context, last year, Tyler Boyd averaged 4.2 receptions for 52 yards while netting a touchdown every 3.4 games.
So Chase is producing like 2021 Boyd. Think about that. Then act on it.
Receptions over 5.5 (-130) — DraftKings
Receiving yards over 70.5 (-125) — DraftKings