If you’re playing a Seattle Seahawks vs. Atlanta Falcons DFS lineup for Sunday in Week 3, then you’ve come to the right place. We’ve analyzed each team’s highest-probability game scripts to assess the most likely outcomes, including which players are in line to thrive more than anticipated or fall short of expectations.
The following recommended fantasy football lineup (for tournaments, 50/50, or head-to-head competitions) aims to lock in a relatively high floor while maximizing upside.
Recommended Seahawks vs. Falcons DFS lineup
Today, we’re playing DraftKings “Showdown Captain Mode,” which includes one player who earns 1.5 times his scoring output, plus five flex players. The following NFL betting recommendations are based on proprietary PFN predictive analytics pulled from decades of NFL historical data.
[bet-promo id=”149453″ ]Using this data, I’ve built dozens of models showing actionable probabilities of better-than-expected and worse-than-expected outcomes. Criteria such as age, durability, shifting personnel, schedule, and other factors help shape these final assessments.
Seahawks DFS considerations
Seattle didn’t ask to begin their post-Russell-Wilson era playing Denver and San Francisco. Had both teams crushed them, the Seahawks still would be the same squad we envisioned this summer: talented at key playmaking positions but lacking a quarterback to elevate them.
Instead, the Seahawks pulled off a surprising victory over the Broncos, and Geno Smith has played well enough to keep his starting job all season — or at least for now.
If you’re going to go all in on the Seahawks in DFS, this might be the week to do it. The opposing Falcons have yielded 14+ points to opponents in 24 straight contests and in 35 of their last 36 dating back to 2019.
In the backfield, while Rashaad Penny remains atop the depth chart, a cheaper Ken Walker could be appealing if Seattle leads comfortably in the second half, affording head coach Pete Carroll the luxury of running his rookie without worry. But for optimal ceiling, both are avoidable until/unless there’s a clear bell cow.
As for Tyler Lockett and DK Metcalf, you probably know what to do. One or both should shine on Sunday. We’ll have to pay good DFS money to secure both. But it ultimately might be worth it.
Falcons DFS considerations
Can Marcus Mariota feed Drake London and Kyle Pitts in the same game? We’re about to find out. Seattle’s pass defense leaves much to be desired. However, if Mariota can’t exploit it, I can’t envision him remaining the starter beyond October.
Regardless, Desmond Ridder’s time is coming. We could make the case for starting Mariota, London, or Pitts. But two or three of them seem too risky unless one comes surprisingly cheap.
As for Atlanta’s backfield, I’m anticipating a rebound game for Cordarrelle Patterson. What other choice does this team have? Tyler Allgeier’s volume dependency will keep him on the back burner of most DFS lineups.
Patterson remains the best play based on his normally high passing-game usage. Ignore last week’s zero catches. To win, Patterson almost certainly needs to be front-and-center.
Recommended DFS lineup
The rebound effect is a powerful law of sports. Well, not exactly a “law.” More of a trend. Great players often can’t be held back for long, just as sub-par players often can’t sustain great production for long. Offenses and defenses adjust, and with it, players’ production.
That’s why I’m all in on Pitts ($7,600). He might never be this cheap again — or at least until he’s a post-prime 31-year-old. Can he be elite this season? That depends a lot on quarterback play. But Sunday against a beatable Seattle defense, he’s a prime rebound candidate who’s flying under DFS radars.
I’m also all in on Metcalf ($10,400 normally, $15,600 as Captain) in our Captain slot. He took a backseat to Lockett last weekend. He should snap back, while Lockett ($8,600) is too good — and has too good of a matchup — to avoid.
Additionally, it’s hard to bench London ($9,800). The way I’ve crafted this lineup, we can choose him or Patterson. I’m going with the younger, ascending talent. Patterson’s zero targets last week bring back bad memories of his declining passing-game usage last season. He averaged 5.2 targets per contest in his first 12 games of 2021 but has averaged only 2.2 in the following six games.
That leaves enough funds for each team’s kicker: Younghoe Koo ($4,000) and Jason Myers ($3,800). If the DFS scoring is as top-heavy as I’m anticipating, then these kickers easily could be among the top 10 DFS scorers of the game.