New England Patriots tight end Hunter Henry dominated the red zone in 2021. Can he continue that connection with Mac Jones? Will Henry produce enough to be on your fantasy football roster, and what is his current ADP in fantasy drafts?
Hunter Henry ADP | Is he worth his current price in fantasy drafts?
Henry’s current ADP is 159th overall and the 19th tight end selected in fantasy drafts. This means he’s being taken in the 15th round of standard leagues. Other players drafted in his range include Noah Fant and David Njoku.
While some players see an unexplainable jump in value, there are always individuals who produce effectively and then fail to see their price hold the following fantasy season. That’s Henry throughout this offseason. Despite ending 2021 as TE7, he’s fallen off the face of the Earth in fantasy drafts, often going undrafted.
Henry finished last season No. 2 in the red zone, catching all nine of his touchdowns within the 20-yard line. The Patriots added DeVante Parker, but is that really enough to drop Henry’s red-zone value? Probably not, but losing offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels might be.
Jones and Henry are a good match for each other. The worst case is the combination of Parker, reintegration of Jonnu Smith, and loss of McDaniels causes a massive target share drop for Henry. Fantasy drafters are already baking this into his price.
It’s fair not to assume Henry will repeat his 2021 production but also foolish to be taking guys like Irv Smith Jr. and Mike Gesicki over him. Henry is a massive value compared to those two.
Henry’s projected fantasy value in 2022
Even with a red-zone regression, Henry has TE2 value. He’s probably not going to repeat his efficiency of last season, so he’d land between a low-end starter and a solid backup. You could do worse, considering several others in the undrafted pile are coming off major injuries, such as Robert Tonyan and Logan Thomas.
If Henry were to somehow again land as a top-10 tight end, he would be arguably the steal of the 2022 tight end group like he was last season. It’s not a deep position across the league since few quarterbacks consistently target TEs.
Having Jones and the lack of a true alpha receiver helps Henry’s case. I like his value in drafts as a higher-end backup. Henry himself isn’t the reason why I’d bet against him being a TE1 in 2022, but rather the factors around him.
It’s worth spending more to avoid relying too heavily on Henry, but he’s a great fallback option to Albert Okwuegbunam and Cole Kmet for teams wanting to take a late swing on a player with some potential.