Week 6 NFL picks: Tommy Teaser (+6 points)
Dallas -1 & Chargers -1 (-120) risk $30 to win $25
The Jets will get back franchise QB Sam Darnold this week after missing the better part of a month with the dreaded kissing disease. While I expect Darnold to make a huge difference throughout the remainder of the season, asking him to knock off a motivated Dallas team in his first week back seems unlikely. The Cowboys are 7-1 against the spread in their last eight road games when facing a team with a losing record. If Dallas gets back even one of their two missing Pro-Bowl caliber tackles, I’d expect a breakout performance from Ezekiel Elliott against a Jets team that has gone 0-6-1 in their last seven home games.
The Chargers looked putrid offensively in an upset loss to the Broncos on Sunday. Philip Rivers cannot possibly play that poorly again this weekend. While the soccer stadium they play in provides no real home-field advantage, Los Angeles should be talented enough to overmatch a Pittsburgh team on their “4th string” Quarterback on Sunday Night. Sharp money appears to be on Pittsburgh against the spread, but we only need the Chargers to win outright here thanks to the teaser. They also rank towards the top of most Survivor Pool confidence rankings this week. Entering our Week 6 NFL picks, we are 6-3 on our Tommy Teaser plays through the first five weeks of the season.
Patty Parlay: OVER Parlay (+265) – KC-Houston 55.5 & Atlanta-Arizona 51 risk $15 to win $40
Life is too short to bet the under. Let’s start with the banged-up Kansas City Chiefs who might get Tyreek Hill back this week. Patrick Mahomes and company were averaging 34 points per game before Sunday Nights debacle. A severely hobbled Mahomes could put a damper on the Chiefs team total, but if his ankle allows him to play with normal mobility, the injuries to his Offensive Line might not matter much against this Texans defense. Stunningly, the UNDER had come through in three straight Houston games prior to last week, but Deshaun Watson against a hideous Kansas City defense just screams shootout. Over has hit in 4 of the last 5 Texans road games and 7 of the last 9 Chiefs games against opponents with a winning record.
Meanwhile, in Arizona, two bad teams with explosive playmakers on the offensive side of the football do battle this weekend. Opponents are averaging 30 points per game against the Falcons this year while the Cardinals are giving up 28 ppg. Julio Jones, Calvin Ridley, David Johnson & Kyler Murray on that fast surface in the desert? Give me this OVER all day, every day, and for a Unit on Sunday. With our Week 6 NFL picks, the entire PFN Gambling Staff is on the OVER for this one, marking the first time in our short history here that we have a consensus “best bet” across the board. Feeling frisky? Throw Denver-Tennessee UNDER 41 into the mix on a $5 three total play to earn an extra $30.
Bonus: Texans LIVE Future – Win AFC South (+150) risk $50 to win $75
Survivor Play:
Week 1 – Seattle Seahawks ✅
Week 2 – New England Patriots ✅
Week 3 – Dallas Cowboys ✅
Week 4 – San Diego Chargers ✅
Week 5 – Philadelphia Eagles ✅
Week 6 – Baltimore Ravens
Make sure you follow @PFN365 and @PFN365AA on Twitter for all of our writers’ Week 6 NFL picks and more.
[sv slug=”pfnbets”]