Tyler Boyd DFS Value, Prop Bets vs. Titans: Bengals WR is inexpensive but has low floor

The Divisional Round of the NFL playoffs is upon us, which means just seven games remain in the season. Time is limited to capitalize on fantasy football and betting value. Here at Pro Football Network, we’re diving into each individual player taking the field this weekend to see what values might exist. Today, we’ll look at Tyler Boyd’s DFS value and whether any prop bets are worth taking.

Tyler Boyd’s DFS value vs. Titans

Boyd checks in at a cheap $4,800 on the DraftKings weekend slate. He fits very nicely in a Bengals stack and is a great contrarian bring-back option if you’re going with a lineup centered around Derrick Henry ($7,500).

The Titans are a bit of a pass-funnel defense. They allowed the fewest fantasy points to running backs this season but the second-most to wide receivers. Boyd is definitively the third option in Cincinnati’s passing game behind Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins. He’s also likely to be the least-rostered of the three, giving DFS players that use Boyd a potential edge.

Boyd has been sneaky productive recently, putting up double-digit fantasy points in six straight games. However, those numbers are a bit deceptive. Historically, Boyd made his hay with volume. For example, in 2019, before the Bengals had Chase or Higgins, Boyd saw double-digit targets in seven games. That’s only happened four times in the past two years combined — and just once this season.

The reality is Boyd’s recent production has stemmed largely from touchdowns. He’s found the end zone in four straight games. While Joe Burrow has been playing great football, Boyd’s lack of volume makes him a risky DFS option. Boyd’s seen exactly 5 or 6 targets in his last five games. That’s simply not enough volume to believe in. DFS players can still use Boyd given his cost and likely low roster rate, but he doesn’t have much of a ceiling.

Tyler Boyd prop bets this weekend

Boyd’s receiving yards total opened at 46.5 (-115) on Draftkings. He went over that number eight times this season. However, in most games in which he went over, it involved a chunk play. Boyd is not exactly known for his chunk plays.

Of his 388 career receptions, just 32 of them have gone for over 25 yards. In 2021, 7 of his 67 receptions were for 25 yards or more. In all but one of those games, Boyd went over 46 receiving yards. The conclusion we can draw is Boyd needs a chunk play to hit the over because he’s not getting there on volume. He only needs one to get there. This is a no bet for me because I do not want to put money on what essentially comes down to a singular play.