The NFL and the world of fantasy football head into Week 12 with our weekly weather report. Who doesn’t need more information to stress over? We break down the NFL slate, the weather forecast and report for Week 12, and if any of your fantasy players could be impacted.
As always, good luck. Stay safe. And let’s win this week.
Note: All times are Eastern Time, and the NFL Week 12 weather report will be updated if any changes happen from the time of writing to kickoff. The NFL weather forecast for Week 12 is based on reporting from the National Weather Service. All NFL odds are from the NFL’s official website.
NFL Weather Report and Forecast for Week 12: Worry-free weather for the slate
Usually, when you make content, you try to make sure to keep the person’s attention until the end. Leave some suspense or hold back an answer to ensure they don’t just get a TL;DR and bounce out. I’m going to break that rule because, well, anything else would be dishonest and far too much beating around the bush than any of us need at this point. I got nothing for you weather-wise. It’s going to be as clear as your plates were after devouring Thanksgiving dinner.
I’m still going to go through the games, and if you want to stick around for some of the info, you’re more than welcome. But I already spoiled the ending. At least I am honest about it. You can thank Michigan for putting me in such a good mood.
Philadelphia Eagles (-4) at New York Giants, O/U 45 | Sunday 1 PM ET
Through 11 weeks of the 2021 NFL season, the No. 1 fantasy QB is … Jalen Hurts. Say what you want about where his arm is right now and all that, but fantasy football doesn’t care, and neither do I.
Hurts has only one finish outside the top 12 this year and leads the league in carries (114) and rushing touchdowns (8) while trailing only Lamar Jackson in rushing yards with 618.
Hurts’ 56.1 rushing yards per game are more than D’Andre Swift and Aaron Jones. Both of whom are pretty good at football, a reliable source tells me. Not bad for a guy who only has 14 career starts.
As for the Week 12 weather in East Rutherford, expect 41-degree temperatures that feel closer to freezing, mostly cloudy skies, and 3 mph winds.
Carolina Panthers (-1.5) at Miami Dolphins, O/U 42 | Sunday 1 PM ET
Alright, here me out — I think I cracked the code on Myles Gaskin. Never start him in even-numbered weeks. Is that not the simplest advice you could ever ask for from someone? Okay, I can sense your doubt, but listen. Gaskin has failed to score more than 8.6 PPR points in any even-numbered week in 2021.
In odd-numbered weeks, he has scored double-digit points in every single one, with 15+ in his last four. Of his 133.2 PPR points, even weeks account for just 19.7% of his totals (26.3 points). That’s a 5.6 to 17.8 point difference. Am I a genius? Yeah, probably.
Miami’s Week 12 weather forecast should feature mostly sunny skies, 6 mph winds, and highs near 77 degrees.
Tennessee Titans at New England Patriots (-7), O/U 43.5 | Sunday 1 PM ET
In Week 1, the Titans had A.J. Brown, Julio Jones, and Derrick Henry leading their offense. Heading into Week 12, it’s *checks notes* Nick Westbrook-Ikhine, Chester Rogers, Dontrell Hilliard, and D’Onta Foreman.
This is the definition of life coming at you fast. If forced to pick one, I think I’ll ride with Hilliard based on his projected passing volume. Head coach Mike Vrabel has used his RBs to supplement the passing game when both Jones and Brown are out. Hilliard has RB3 upside in PPR formats this week.
As for the weather forecast in Foxborough, expect partly cloudy skies, 5 mph winds, and 40-degree temperatures at kickoff.
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals (-3.5), O/U 53.5 | Sunday 1 PM ET
Yes, the Steelers are getting T.J. Watt and Minkah Fitzpatrick back, but we need to stop calling this an “elite” defense. They’re last in rushing yards allowed per carry (4.8), 21st in net passing yards (6.6), and 24th in yards per play (5.8). They’re 29th in turnover percentage (7.1%) and have just 4 interceptions.
The only thing they have been good at is scoring, but that could change in Week 12. They just allowed 533 yards to the Chargers last week, and I can see the Steelers struggling to stop Joe Mixon, Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, and even Tyler Boyd.
Expect 44-degree temperatures, 9 mph winds, and mostly sunny skies in Cincinnati for Week 12.
Atlanta Falcons (-2) at Jacksonville Jaguars, O/U 45.5 | Sunday 1 PM ET
Before the season began, the hype around Kyle Pitts was at an all-time high. If he didn’t break all the records, he was doomed to be a disappointment. Is it just me, or are we not talking about Pitts enough now? He’s the TE8 in PPR scoring (11.3 fantasy ppg), but since his Week 5 breakout, he is the TE5 (13.1).
Over this stretch, he has the third-highest target share amongst TEs at 22.5. Additionally, Pitts is No. 2 in yards (446) and No. 1 in average depth of target (12.86) and team air yards percentage (35%). Do we really think Jacksonville will be able to contain him?
Jacksonville’s Week 12 weather forecast should feature mostly cloudy skies, 5 mph winds, and highs near 63 degrees.
Los Angeles Chargers (-2.5) at Denver Broncos, O/U 47 | Sunday 4:05 PM ET
I hate benching good players. It always feels like you’re playing Russian Roulette, and one of those times, it’s going to bite you. But Courtland Sutton is really testing my patience.
Since Jerry Jeudy has returned, Sutton has seen 10.8% of the targets while averaging 4.9 points per game. That’s it. He’s seen 9 targets while catching 5 passes for 78 yards. Since Week 8, he is the WR91. Allen Robinson came into the week ranked higher than him (WR90).
Despite sitting eighth in the NFL in intended air yards at 1,064, Sutton has seen just 116 since Week 8, which is third on his own team. It’s time for Sutton to ride the pine until things change.
As for the weather forecast in Denver, expect mostly sunny skies, 6 mph winds, and 65-degree temperatures.
Los Angeles Rams (-2) at Green Bay Packers, O/U 46.5 | Sunday 4:25 PM ET
What will we get out of Odell Beckham Jr. this week now that the Rams have had an extra week to figure it out? Beckham has a great matchup in Week 12 against Kevin King, who has allowed a 71% completion rate and 2 touchdowns this year. King is prone to allowing big plays, which is OBJ’s specialty. He could produce a top-30 outing this week.
Green Bay’s Week 12 weather forecast should feature mostly sunny skies, 12 mph winds dropping to 7 with 15+ mph gusts in the first half, and 33-degree temperatures that will feel closer to 20.
Minnesota Vikings at San Francisco 49ers (-3), O/U 49.5 | Sunday 4:25 PM ET
Ladies and gentlemen, a round of applause for Brandon Aiyuk, who managed to pull himself out of the shadow realm and back into fantasy relevancy. Aiyuk has posted two top-12 performances over the past three weeks and is the WR11 (averaging 12.6 half-PPR points) over that time.
Most importantly, he is doing this while not conflicting with the upside of Deebo Samuel and George Kittle. Since Week 9, Samuel is averaging 17.5 fantasy points (WR3), and Kittle has three straight weeks as a top-five TE with touchdowns in each game (TE2).
As for the weather forecast in San Francisco, expect sunny skies, 8 mph winds, and 68-degree temperatures at kickoff.
Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens (-3.5), O/U 47 | Sunday 8:20 PM ET
Both these teams and fantasy managers can breathe a bit easier this week. Not only are Lamar Jackson and Marquise Brown back for the Ravens, but so is Kareem Hunt for the Browns. All three players return directly into fantasy lineups — where they belong. And for the sixth game in a row, I am calling the Rashod Bateman breakout. One of these times, I am going to be right. And when I am, I will be insufferable.
Expect 43-degree temperatures, 6 mph winds, and partly cloudy skies in Baltimore for Week 12.
Seattle Seahawks (-1) at Washington Football Team, O/U 46.5 | Monday 8:15 PM ET
Curtis Samuel reportedly has a legitimate shot to suit up in Week 12. He’s been practicing, albeit limited, and was a game-time decision last week.
Go figure after burning some fantasy managers once, he has a shot at doing it again in what will be another game-time decision, this time on Monday Night Football. I’ll say the same thing I said the last time he was active, don’t do it.
If you have Samuel and he plays and comes out healthy, great. Good for you. You have a starting WR ready to plug in just in time for the playoff chase. Just take a week and see if he plays. Use it as a “prove-it” game. That’s much safer than getting burned. I mean, you’ve managed to find alternative options all season — one more week won’t kill you.
As for the weather forecast in Week 12, expect temperatures around 33 degrees, mostly clear skies, and 5 mph winds in Washington.
Week 12 indoor games
The teams below will play in optimal conditions, and there will be no effect on the passing and kicking game. This helps to eliminate at least one variable fantasy managers need to consider each week.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3) at Indianapolis Colts
O/U 53 | Sunday 1 PM ET - New York Jets at Houston Texans (-2.5)
O/U 45 | Sunday 1 PM ET
Week 12 bye week teams
The following teams have a bye in Week 12. Be sure to double-check lineups to remove any impacted players.
- Arizona Cardinals
- Kansas City Chief