Perhaps the game of the day is the San Francisco 49ers vs. Jacksonville Jaguars, a matchup of two teams with a combined 11-5 record, as well as two of the best offenses in the NFL. Both teams are coming off their bye week, but prior to that, they were headed in opposite directions, as the Jags have the longest winning streak in the NFL and the 49ers have lost three straight.
With an extra week of rest for both teams, which players are due for big performances in this pivotal matchup? Are Brock Purdy’s player props worth targeting in a potential bounce-back spot? Let’s dive into our favorite 49ers vs. Jaguars player prop bets.
Top 49ers vs. Jaguars Player Prop Bets To Target
Brock Purdy Player Props
- Passing Yards: 244.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
- Pass Touchdowns: 1.5 (Over -110/Under -120)
- Pass Completions: 20.5 (Over -135/Under +105)
- Pass Attempts: 30.5 (Over -105/Under -125)
- Interceptions: 0.5 (Over +105/Under -135)
Broyles: Kyle Shanahan and the 49ers want to dominate up front with their running game. Purdy has been shaky the last month of the season and must perform better. Christian McCaffrey sets the tone for the 49ers’ offense, but the versatile back provides Purdy with a play-action game, and the second-year QB gets back on track this week.
Pick: Brock Purdy over 1.5 passing touchdowns (-110 at DraftKings)
Christian McCaffrey Player Props
- Rushing Yards: 65.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
- Rush Attempts: 16.5 (Over -120/Under -110)
- Receiving Yards: 32.5 (Over -110/Under -120)
- Receptions: 4.5 (Over +120/Under -150)
- Anytime Touchdown Scorer: -175
- First Touchdown Scorer: +360
Blewis: McCaffrey is one game away from breaking the NFL record for most consecutive games with a touchdown. But you don’t need me to tell you to bet on McCaffrey to score a touchdown, as that’s the easiest bet to make right now, so I’ll give you another prop instead.
McCaffrey’s receptions line at 4.5 seems pretty high to me. He has gone over this number just three times in eight games this season (and only once with both Brandon Aiyuk and Deebo Samuel in the lineup). After a two-game absence, Samuel is back, so the 49ers will have both of their starting WRs active.
The juice is high here, but as of this writing, there is a discount at FanDuel compared to DraftKings.
Pick: Christian McCaffrey under 4.5 receptions (-130 at FanDuel)
Deebo Samuel Player Props
- Receiving Yards: 45.5 (Over -120/Under -110)
- Receptions: 4.5 (Over +120/Under -150)
- Longest Reception: 19.5 (Over -130/Under +100)
- Anytime Touchdown Scorer: +160
- First Touchdown Scorer: +900
Katz: This line is borderline disrespectful. I know the 49ers have “a lot of mouths to feed.” But as I mentioned in the Ridley writeup, this game has shootout potential.
Samuel has not been healthy for nearly two months. After missing two games and having the bye week, he is now ready to rock. Despite the perceptions about his performance, when healthy Samuel has been quite good.
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He’s gone over 44 yards in four of six games this season. He failed to get there in Week 4, when he was going by his alias, Decoy Samuel, who didn’t so much as see a target. And he failed to get there in Week 6, when he played nine snaps before getting hurt.
Essentially, this bet is “Will Deebo Samuel stay healthy?” I bet yes.
Pick: Deebo Samuel over 44.5 receiving yards (-110 at BetMGM)
Trevor Lawrence Player Props
- Passing Yards: 241.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
- Pass Touchdowns: 1.5 (Over +114/Under -145)
- Pass Completions: 23.5 (Over +105/Under -135)
- Pass Attempts: 33.5 (Over -135/Under +105)
- Interceptions: 0.5 (Over -120/Under -110)
Broyles: The 49ers’ defense hasn’t been itself lately. Entering the season, San Francisco was arguably the most feared defense in football. Following their bye week, expect a revitalized unit, especially in the front seven. If the Jaguars want to keep pace with the 49ers’ offense, they must win through the air. Lawrence has struggled at times throughout the 2023 season, but the Jaguars QB steps it up in this one.
Picks: Trevor Lawrence over 241.5 passing yards (-115 at DraftKings) and over 1.5 passing touchdowns (+114 at DraftKings)
Travis Etienne Player Props
- Rushing Yards: 65.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
- Rush Attempts: 16.5 (Over -130/Under +100)
- Receiving Yards: 23.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
- Receptions: 3.5 (Over -110/Under -120)
- Anytime Touchdown Scorer: -125
- First Touchdown Scorer: +550
Rolfe: It has been a mixed year for Etienne when it comes to his output. While the volume has been there for the majority of the season, the results have varied from week to week. In the last four games, he has rushed for more than 65 yards on two occasions and under that on two others.
This week, the Jaguars face a tough run defense in the form of the 49ers. They have allowed an average of just 37 rushing yards per game to the RB position at an average of 3.6 yards per attempt. Taking an under is always tricky because just one long run can flip the narrative of a day for a running back, but this could be a long game for Etienne in a matchup they could easily find themselves trailing.
Pick: Travis Etienne under 65.5 rushing yards (DraftKings -115)
Calvin Ridley Player Props
- Receiving Yards: 54.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
- Receptions: 4.5 (OVer -105/Under -125)
- Longest Reception: 21.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
- Anytime Touchdown Scorer: +190
- First Touchdown Scorer: +1200
Katz: This is another one that causes me physical pain because of how bad of a receiver I think Calvin Ridley is. However, I must put personal feelings aside to win money.
The Jaguars are coming out of their bye to face a 49ers defense that has been surprisingly vulnerable against the pass. They’re allowing 16.1 receptions per game to wide receivers, the second-most in the league. More specifically, they struggle to defend perimeter receivers.
Even if Christian Kirk catches 6-8 passes, where are the other 10-12 going? The Jaguars do not have a WR3 to speak of unless Zay Jones returns. But even if he does play, Ridley only needs five receptions to win this bet.
This game has sneaky shootout potential. Ridley caught six of 10 targets in the Jaguars’ final game before the bye. I’m banking on them working Ridley in early and often to move the ball against a 49ers defense that is far tougher at defending the run than the pass.
Pick: Calvin Ridley over 4.5 receptions (-110 at DraftKings)
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